AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 Oct 22, 2026 · 19:00 · UTC Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok Not Started

Jagiellonia
vs
Anderlecht.

Quick answer

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

4 of 10 AI models pick Anderlecht to win (40%). A draw is in play: 6 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 45% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Jagiellonia form Anderlecht form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 45% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Jagiellonia and Anderlecht stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Jagiellonia win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Anderlecht win 40%

4 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
30%
With no form or head-to-head data supplied, the matchup is difficult to separate. Jagiellonia’s home venue offsets Anderlecht’s likely European experience, supporting a cautious 1-1 draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Draw
1–1
40%
Europa League league-stage clash between two mid-tier sides; Jagiellonia solid at home but Anderlecht's squad depth balances it out, favoring a close contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
50%
Jagiellonia are resilient at Chorten Arena, but Anderlecht's continental pedigree provides quality balance. A closely fought European encounter points toward a shared result.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
38%
No H2H or form given; Anderlecht are the stronger European side but Jagiellonia at Chorten Arena should keep it tight, so a low 1-1 is the safest exact guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Anderlecht win
1–2
52%
Anderlecht's Europa League experience and squad depth edge a Jagiellonia side strong at home but less tested at this level; expect a tight contest with the visitors edging it.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Anderlecht win
0–1
32%
Anderlecht's superior squad depth and European experience should edge a tight contest, but Jagiellonia's home support keeps it low-scoring.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Anderlecht win
0–1
62%
Anderlecht's stronger squad and Europa League experience edge out Jagiellonia's home advantage in a tight, low-scoring game.
08
Kimi K3
Anderlecht win
1–2
55%
Anderlecht's superior European pedigree and squad depth should edge a competitive match, though Jagiellonia's home advantage in Bialystok makes a narrow away win the most likely outcome.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
50%
No H2H data and thin context; Jagiellonia's home edge in Bialystok is offset by Anderlecht's European pedigree, so a tight draw fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Both sides carry strong Europa League form and similar goal output; Anderlecht's injuries (Sardella, Hey, Camara) blunt their edge, and Jagiellonia's home crowd points to a tight, shared spoils draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 0–1
    2 models
  • 1–2
    2 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.10 / 3.50 / 2.25
Jagiellonia Market 31% · AI 0%
Draw Market 27% · AI 60%
Anderlecht Market 42% · AI 40%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Jagiellonia

4-3-3
W-D-L
4-1-1
Goals
13-6
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Anderlecht

4-4-2
W-D-L
5-1-2
Goals
15-7
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
1
Best win run
5
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
  4. 4 Oh Hyeon-Gyu Beşiktaş 2
  5. 5 M. van Buren Hradec Králové 2
Venue Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok
Referee Ondrej Berka
New at Jagiellonia B. Wdowik (SC Braga), A. Ćirković (Ferencvarosi TC), H. Finndell (Djurgardens IF)
New at Anderlecht I. Koutsoupias (Frosinone), A. Omobamidele (Strasbourg), T. Aasgaard (Rangers)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.80 vs 1.20

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Jagiellonia
#17 · 3 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
L W L L W
10 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 L
  • Ararat-Armenia 3-1 W
  • Gornik Zabrze 1-3 L
  • Polonia Warszawa 1-2 L
  • Suduva Marijampole 5-0 W
Team news
D. Drachal — Off the roster C. Polak — Off the roster N. Prelec — Inactive D. Rallis — Off the roster N. Wojtuszek — Inactive Z. Zalewski — Off the roster
Anderlecht
#29 · 0 PTS · GD -2
Last 5
L L W W W
9 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Beerschot VA 2-1 L
  • Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 L
  • Cercle Brugge 1-2 W
  • Reims 3-0 W
  • Zulte Waregem 3-0 W
Team news
G. Biancone — Hamstring Injury I. Camara — Foot Injury L. Hey — Broken Leg I. Koutsoupias — Off the roster K. Sardella — Thigh Injury

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Jagiellonia, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Jagiellonia
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Anderlecht
~40%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Jagiellonia is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Anderlecht win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Anderlecht win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 60% / 40% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.