AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-1 BOR · 61% STA 1-1 NIC · 56% TOR 1-0 MON · 59% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 1-2 NOT · 57% ALA 1-0 MAL · 58% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-1 BOR · 61% STA 1-1 NIC · 56% TOR 1-0 MON · 59% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 1-2 NOT · 57% ALA 1-0 MAL · 58%
TuringStats
AI consensus
Get the app
Ask multiple AI Forecasts League tables AI board AI poll AI vs Polymarket Check my picks Journal Sign in with Google Get the free app
← NFL games NFL hub →
NFL · Regular Season · Week 7 Oct 23, 2026 · 00:15 Soldier Field, Chicago Not Started

Chicago Bears
vs
New England Patriots.

Quick answer

Who will win Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots?

8 of 10 AI models pick Chicago Bears to win (80%). The mean predicted score is 24–20 at 56% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Chicago Bears (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 56% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Chicago Bears and New England Patriots stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Chicago Bears win 80%

8 / 10 models

New England Patriots win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Chicago Bears win
24–21
53%
Chicago's Soldier Field advantage and recent head-to-head split support a narrow home win, while the limited 2026 context warrants modest confidence and a competitive, moderate-scoring projection.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Chicago Bears win
24–20
55%
Bears at home with likely improved offensive rhythm under Caleb Williams in year two; Patriots competitive but road division-crossing trip favors Chicago slightly.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Chicago Bears win
23–17
58%
Chicago holds the home advantage at Soldier Field, where their dynamic offense and disciplined defensive front edge out New England in a closely contested battle.
04
Grok 4.6
Chicago Bears win
24–20
54%
Thin 2026 form data; Soldier Field home edge and mixed H2H favor a one-score Bears win over a Patriots side that last beat Chicago 19-3 in 2024.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Chicago Bears win
23–20
52%
Soldier Field gives Chicago a slight edge, but New England's 2024 win and uncertain 2026 form make this close. Bears' defense likely keeps it tight.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Chicago Bears win
23–16
53%
Bears' young core entering third year at home gives slight edge over still-rebuilding Patriots; limited 2026 form data keeps confidence moderate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
New England Patriots win
24–25
62%
Patriots' recent H2H dominance and likely stronger defense edge out Bears' home form.
08
Kimi K3
Chicago Bears win
24–20
58%
Bears' home advantage at Soldier Field and recent defensive improvement edge out Patriots' inconsistent offense, despite New England's historical H2H success.
09
GLM 5.3
Chicago Bears win
24–17
58%
2026 season data is thin, but Bears at Soldier Field against a Patriots side still early in a rebuild; home edge plus defensive matchup suggests a modest one-score margin.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New England Patriots win
20–24
55%
Patriots' W3 streak, 25.2 ppg and 56% red-zone efficiency edge Chicago's 18.2 ppg and 41% red-zone rate; Bears' short week and LB injuries hurt, though Soldier Field keeps it close.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 8 models settled on 24–20. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–20
    3 models
  • 20–24
    1 model
  • 24–21
    1 model
  • 24–25
    1 model
  • 23–20
    1 model
  • 23–16
    1 model

NFL · Week 7

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Bears −4 44 Bears 80%
Market Bears −3 50.5 Bears 60%

The AI total is 6.5 points below the market total (Bet365).

Quarterback matchup · season
Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams
Chicago Bears · QB
237.3 YDS/G 243.8
3 TD 11
1 INT 7
101.5 RATING 92.8
Drake Maye
Drake Maye
New England Patriots · QB

Chicago Bears

4-2 · #3 NFC North
Home 2-1 · Road 2-1 · Division 0-2 · Streak W1 · Points 150–119
Short week: 4 days of rest

New England Patriots

4-2 · #2 AFC East
Home 3-0 · Road 1-2 · Division 2-0 · Streak W3 · Points 136–113
Short week: 4 days of rest

Injury report

Chicago Bears 10 on injured reserve
  • Kyle Monangai
    Kyle MonangaiRB
    Toe
    Questionable
  • Jack Sanborn
    Jack SanbornLB
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • T.J. Edwards
    T.J. EdwardsLB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Jonah Jackson
    Jonah Jackson
    Hip
    Questionable
  • MS
    Marlen SewellS
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
New England Patriots 14 on injured reserve
  • A.J. Brown
    A.J. BrownWR
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • KP
    Karon PruntyCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • CC
    Channing CanadaCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Carlton Davis III
    Carlton Davis IIICB
    Neck
    Questionable
  • Morgan Moses
    Morgan Moses
    Foot
    Questionable
  • Ben Brown
    Ben Brown
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker
    Alijah Vera-Tucker
    Hamstring
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Chicago Bears New England Patriots
18.2 Points scored 25.2
16.4 Points allowed 20
355.6 Total yards 393.6
221 Passing yards 258.6
134.6 Rushing yards 135
2 Turnovers 2
41 Third-down % 43
41 Red-zone TD % 56
3 Sacks 2.4
36:24Time of possession30:42

Skill players · Chicago Bears

  • D'Andre Swift
    D'Andre SwiftRB
    398 rushing yards (66.3 a game, 4.2 a carry), 6 TD
  • Luther Burden III
    Luther Burden IIIWR
    31 catches, 361 receiving yards (60.2 a game), 1 TD
  • Rome Odunze
    Rome OdunzeWR
    20 catches, 312 receiving yards (52 a game), 0 TD

Skill players · New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    Rhamondre StevensonRB
    263 rushing yards (43.8 a game, 3.7 a carry), 2 TD
  • Romeo Doubs
    Romeo DoubsWR
    14 catches, 261 receiving yards (43.5 a game), 3 TD
  • DD
    Demario DouglasWR
    20 catches, 233 receiving yards (38.8 a game), 3 TD

Last ten games

Chicago Bears WLWWLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
25 / 19.8
Total over 41.5
2/6
Total over 44.5
2/6
Total over 47.5
2/6
Won by 7+
4/6
New England Patriots WWWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
22.7 / 18.8
Total over 41.5
3/6
Total over 44.5
3/6
Total over 47.5
2/6
Won by 7+
3/6

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: Bet365, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Caleb Williams by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Luther Burden III by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Rome Odunze by Bobak Ha'Eri (CC BY 3.0), Drake Maye by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0), Kyle Monangai by Maize & Blue Nation (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o237.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
269
138
305
D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o66.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
124
45
84
58
43
44
Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III

Chicago Bears · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o60.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
63
32
61
63
47
95
Receptions o5.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
5
3
7
4
4
8
Rome Odunze

Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o52.5 1/6 · 17% Ask AI
52
43
44
94
40
39
Receptions o3.5 1/6 · 17% Ask AI
2
3
3
6
3
3
Drake Maye

Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o243.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
178
208
199
269
374
235
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o43.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
51
43
22
47
64
36
Romeo Doubs

Romeo Doubs

New England Patriots · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o43.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
0
96
49
58
16
42
Receptions o2.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
0
3
3
6
1
1
DD

Demario Douglas

New England Patriots · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o38.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
20
9
38
15
65
86
Receptions o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
5
1
1
2
4
7

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Chicago Bears 24, New England Patriots 20: a projected total of 44 points. The market total is 50.5.
What is the AI spread pick for Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots?
The AI consensus has Chicago Bears winning by 4 points (24–20). The market spread has Chicago Bears favoured by 3.
Who are the quarterbacks in Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots?
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears): 712 passing yards (237.3 a game), 3 TD, 1 INT, rating 101.5. Drake Maye (New England Patriots): 1,463 passing yards (243.8 a game), 11 TD, 7 INT, rating 92.8.
Who is injured for Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots?
Chicago Bears have no one listed out or doubtful. New England Patriots have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Chicago Bears

80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 56% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.30 vs 20.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Chicago Bears win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

From the blog

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction: AI Panel Backs Bills
NFL
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction: AI Panel Backs Bills

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots prediction for NFL Week 4: AI panel unanimously favors Buffalo with 62% confidence and a 27-20 scoreline.

 Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction: AI Panel Backs Road Win
NFL
Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction: AI Panel Backs Road Win

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction for NFL Week 3: the AI panel sees a narrow Eagles road win at Soldier Field. Full model breakdown inside.

 Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense Prediction: AI Panel Backs Home Win
UEFA Europa League
Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense Prediction: AI Panel Backs Home Win

Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense prediction for their UEFA Europa League clash. The AI panel unanimously backs a home win at Groupama Aréna – see the…

 Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction: AI Panel Unanimous
UEFA Europa League
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction: AI Panel Unanimous

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction for their UEFA Europa League clash: AI panel consensus, model picks, key factors and predicted score.

 NBA results Wednesday 21 October 2026: AI predictions review
Results
NBA results Wednesday 21 October 2026: AI predictions review

NBA results Wednesday 21 October 2026: the ten-model panel went 4 of 6 on its picks, missing on Spurs and Nets. Full verdicts, model tallies and scores.

 Hockey results Wednesday 21 October 2026: AI predictions review
Results
Hockey results Wednesday 21 October 2026: AI predictions review

Hockey results Wednesday 21 October 2026: the 10-model AI consensus went 5 of 8 in the NHL, missing on the Blues, Sabres and Senators. Full review.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.

Ask with match data App Store Google Play