AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-1 BOR · 61% STA 1-1 NIC · 56% TOR 1-0 MON · 59% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 1-2 NOT · 57% ALA 1-0 MAL · 58% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-1 BOR · 61% STA 1-1 NIC · 56% TOR 1-0 MON · 59% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 1-2 NOT · 57% ALA 1-0 MAL · 58%
TuringStats
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 7 Oct 25, 2026 · 17:00 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford Not Started

New York Jets
vs
Miami Dolphins.

Quick answer

Who will win New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins?

10 of 10 AI models pick New York Jets to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 24–17 at 63% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 59% of the time (56 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Jets (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–17 at 63% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where New York Jets and Miami Dolphins stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Jets win 100%

10 / 10 models

Miami Dolphins win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
New York Jets win
23–17
66%
The Jets have the stronger quarterback efficiency and a much better turnover profile, while Miami’s 0-5 record and 26.4 points allowed per game outweigh its extra rest. MetLife adds a modest edge in a likely competitive game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
New York Jets win
24–13
68%
Dolphins are winless with a struggling Willis and worst turnover/scoring marks; Jets' Geno Smith and home venue should be enough despite Jets' own slump.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Jets win
23–16
64%
Miami comes off a bye but has struggled offensively behind Malik Willis (14.0 ppg). Geno Smith's steadier play gives the Jets the edge at home against an 0-5 Dolphins squad.
04
Grok 4.6
New York Jets win
23–16
62%
Jets' Geno Smith form and 2-4 record beat 0-5 Miami's Willis struggles and 14 ppg; home plus Dolphins' scoring drought outweigh bye and older H2H.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New York Jets win
24–17
63%
Jets have better quarterback play, fewer turnovers, and home field; Miami's 0-5 form and 4 INTs from Willis offset their bye-week rest.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New York Jets win
23–14
63%
Jets' superior QB play (Smith 101.8 rating vs Willis 68.4), fewer turnovers, and home edge outweigh Dolphins' bye-week rest against an 0-5 team scoring just 14 ppg.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
New York Jets win
24–17
62%
Jets' better QB play and home rest outweigh Dolphins' bye; Dolphins' poor defense and turnovers hurt.
08
Kimi K3
New York Jets win
23–16
62%
Jets have better QB play (Smith 101.8 rating vs Willis 68.4) and fewer turnovers; Miami is 0-5 with weak offense despite bye rest. Home field and Miami's 14 PPG scoring support a moderate home win.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Jets win
24–17
62%
Miami is 0-5 with Malik Willis at 2 TD/4 INT and heavy turnover issues; Jets' superior QB play and home venue outweigh Miami's bye-week rest. H2H slightly favors Miami but rosters have changed.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New York Jets win
21–17
58%
Jets' Geno Smith (101.8 rating, 7-1 TD-INT) beats Willis's 68.4 rating and 1.6 turnovers a game; Miami's bye helps but its 0-5 form and 26.4 points allowed keep this close at MetLife.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 24–17. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–17
    3 models
  • 23–16
    3 models
  • 23–17
    1 model
  • 24–13
    1 model
  • 23–14
    1 model
  • 21–17
    1 model

NFL · Week 7

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Jets −7 41 Jets 100%
Market Jets −4.5 39.5 Jets 68%

The AI total is 1.5 points above the market total (Bet365).

Quarterback matchup · season
Geno Smith
Geno Smith
New York Jets · QB
222.7 YDS/G 169.8
7 TD 2
1 INT 4
101.8 RATING 68.4
Malik Willis
Malik Willis
Miami Dolphins · QB

New York Jets

2-4 · #3 AFC East
Home 1-1 · Road 1-3 · Division 0-1 · Streak L1 · Points 112–122
7 days of rest

Miami Dolphins

0-5 · #4 AFC East
Home 0-2 · Road 0-3 · Division 0-0 · Streak L5 · Points 70–132
Off a bye: 14 days of rest

Injury report

New York Jets 10 on injured reserve
  • Breece Hall
    Breece HallRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • Adonai Mitchell
    Adonai MitchellWR
    Finger
    Questionable
  • Joseph Ossai
    Joseph OssaiDE
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Dylan Parham
    Dylan ParhamG
    Knee
    Questionable
Miami Dolphins 7 on injured reserve
  • CD
    Caleb DouglasWR
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Justin Joly
    Justin Joly
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • RT
    Reese TaylorCB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • RJ
    Robert Beal Jr.DE
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Michael Taaffe
    Michael TaaffeS
    Chest
    Questionable
  • JS
    Jonah SavaiinaeaG
    Ankle
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

New York Jets Miami Dolphins
17.8 Points scored 14
22.4 Points allowed 26.4
275.4 Total yards 280.2
192.4 Passing yards 153.6
83 Rushing yards 126.6
0.8 Turnovers 1.6
38 Third-down % 41
31 Red-zone TD % 46
2.8 Sacks 0.8
29:00Time of possession27:48

Skill players · New York Jets

  • Braelon Allen
    Braelon AllenRB
    314 rushing yards (52.3 a game, 4.2 a carry), 2 TD
  • Garrett Wilson
    Garrett WilsonWR
    35 catches, 418 receiving yards (69.7 a game), 3 TD
  • Kenyon Sadiq
    Kenyon SadiqTE
    15 catches, 158 receiving yards (26.3 a game), 1 TD

Skill players · Miami Dolphins

  • OG
    Ollie GordonRB
    236 rushing yards (47.2 a game, 5 a carry), 3 TD
  • MW
    Malik WashingtonWR
    23 catches, 262 receiving yards (52.4 a game), 0 TD
  • Greg Dulcich
    Greg DulcichTE
    13 catches, 127 receiving yards (25.4 a game), 0 TD

Last ten games

New York Jets LWLLLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
18.7 / 20.3
Total over 41.5
2/6
Total over 44.5
2/6
Total over 47.5
1/6
Won by 7+
1/6
Miami Dolphins LLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
14 / 26.4
Total over 41.5
2/5
Total over 44.5
2/5
Total over 47.5
2/5
Won by 7+
0/5

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: Bet365, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Kenyon Sadiq by Bobak Ha'Eri (CC BY 3.0), Justin Joly by Airman 1st Class Monique Stober (Public domain), Michael Taaffe by Maize & Blue Nation (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith

New York Jets · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o222.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
215
247
321
119
182
252
Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen

New York Jets · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o52.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
40
7
14
59
116
78
Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

New York Jets · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o69.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
79
57
107
27
104
44
Receptions o5.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
6
5
10
3
7
4
Kenyon Sadiq

Kenyon Sadiq

New York Jets · TE · last 6 games
Receiving yards o26.5 1/6 · 17% Ask AI
21
17
105
0
3
12
Receptions o2.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
2
7
0
2
1
Malik Willis

Malik Willis

Miami Dolphins · QB · last 5 games
Passing yards o169.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
220
197
210
85
137
OG

Ollie Gordon

Miami Dolphins · RB · last 4 games
Rushing yards o59.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
7
41
100
88
MW

Malik Washington

Miami Dolphins · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o52.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
53
43
56
67
43
Receptions o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
3
4
5
5
6
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich

Miami Dolphins · TE · last 4 games
Receiving yards o31.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
18
17
55
37
Receptions o3.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
2
2
5
4

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New York Jets 24, Miami Dolphins 17: a projected total of 41 points. The market total is 39.5.
What is the AI spread pick for New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins?
The AI consensus has New York Jets winning by 7 points (24–17). The market spread has New York Jets favoured by 4.5.
Who are the quarterbacks in New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins?
Geno Smith (New York Jets): 1,336 passing yards (222.7 a game), 7 TD, 1 INT, rating 101.8. Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): 849 passing yards (169.8 a game), 2 TD, 4 INT, rating 68.4.
Who is injured for New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins?
New York Jets have no one listed out or doubtful. Miami Dolphins have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Jets

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 63% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.20 vs 16.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 17; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Jets win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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