AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47%
NBA · Regular Season Oct 15, 2026 · 23:30 Madison Square Garden, New York Finished

New York Knicks
vs
Toronto Raptors.

Quick answer

Who will win New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors?

Final score: New York Knicks 122–120 Toronto Raptors. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick New York Knicks to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 113–106.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Knicks (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 113–106 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where New York Knicks and Toronto Raptors stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Knicks win 90%

9 / 10 models

Toronto Raptors win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
New York Knicks win
113–106
58%
Toronto’s 148-98 preseason win two days ago adds uncertainty, but New York’s strong prior head-to-head run and Madison Square Garden favor a tighter Knicks response in this rematch.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
New York Knicks win
114–105
52%
Preseason game limits reliability of recent blowout loss; Knicks' regular-season roster depth and MSG setting favor a bounce-back win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Knicks win
114–106
62%
Returning home to Madison Square Garden, the Knicks should bounce back from their blowout road preseason loss against Toronto by deploying their primary rotation players deeper into the game.
04
Grok 4.6
New York Knicks win
115–108
54%
Preseason at MSG after Toronto's 148-98 blowout two days ago; Knicks owned the regular-season H2H, so a home bounce-back in a still-loose rotation game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New York Knicks win
118–106
58%
Knicks won three of the last four regular-season meetings and return to MSG after a heavy preseason loss; expect a bounce-back with home energy. Raptors' 148-point outburst looks unsustainable on the road.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New York Knicks win
108–101
52%
Preseason volatility is high; Knicks dominated Toronto in last regular season meetings, but the 148-98 loss two days ago adds uncertainty. Home edge at MSG gives slight lean.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Toronto Raptors win
110–111
60%
Raptors won the most recent preseason meeting by 50; Knicks' regular season edge may not carry over in early form.
08
Kimi K3
New York Knicks win
114–106
58%
Preseason rematch after Toronto's 148-98 rout, but Knicks won the prior four meetings; expect New York's regulars to respond at MSG in a moderate-tempo exhibition.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Knicks win
113–106
55%
Preseason at MSG with rotation uncertainty; Knicks won four of the last five meetings, but Toronto's 148-98 rout two days ago shows volatility, so only modest home lean.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New York Knicks win
112–105
55%
Preseason rosters are volatile, but Knicks lost 148-98 two days ago and should respond at MSG; regular-season H2H favored New York strongly.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 8 models settled on 113–106. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 113–106
    2 models
  • 114–106
    2 models
  • 114–105
    1 model
  • 110–111
    1 model
  • 118–106
    1 model
  • 108–101
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Knicks −7
AI total
219
Models picking
90%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 1 games
Jalen Brunson
Jalen Brunson
New York Knicks · G
15 PTS 21
3 REB 5
3 AST 0
19 MIN 17
Kawhi Leonard
Kawhi Leonard
Toronto Raptors · F

New York Knicks

0-1 · #9 Eastern
Home 0-1 · Away 0-0 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days

Toronto Raptors

1-0 · #1 Eastern
Home 1-0 · Away 0-0 · Last ten 1-0 · Streak W1
2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Season averages per game

New York Knicks Toronto Raptors
105 Points 128.4
41.7% Field goal % 49.2%
26.4% 3-point % 37.5%
73.7% Free throw % 77.8%
43.3 Rebounds 45.8
25.8 Assists 27.4
16.8 Turnovers 15.8
7.5 Steals 11.2
5.5 Blocks 5.4

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

KnicksRaptors
Offensive rating 100.1 121.6
Defensive rating 119.5 96.6
Net rating -19.4 +25
Pace 104.9 105.6
Effective FG % 47.3 56.9
Turnover % 16.1 15
Free throw rate 32.1 46.2
3-point attempt rate 42.6 41

Key players · New York Knicks

  • Jalen Brunson
    Jalen BrunsonG 15 pts · 3 reb · 3 ast
  • OA
    O.G. AnunobyF 12.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 0.7 ast
  • JW
    James WisemanC 10 pts · 5.3 reb · 0 ast

Averages over the last 3 games.

Key players · Toronto Raptors

  • Kawhi Leonard
    Kawhi LeonardF 21 pts · 5 reb · 0 ast
  • RJ Barrett
    RJ BarrettF 18.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 4 ast
  • CM
    C. Murray-BoylesF 16 pts · 9 reb · 2.5 ast

Averages over the last 1 games.

Last ten games

New York Knicks LLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
102 / 125.3
Total over 220.5
2/4
Total over 230.5
1/4
Scored 110+
0/4
Won by 6+
0/4
Toronto Raptors WW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
131 / 102
Total over 220.5
1/2
Total over 230.5
1/2
Scored 110+
2/2
Won by 6+
2/2

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Jalen Brunson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Kawhi Leonard by U.S. Marine Corps photo by Lance Cpl. Mhecaela J. Watts (Public domain), RJ Barrett by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

New York Knicks · G · last 3 games
Points o15.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
12
13
20
Assists o3.5 0/3 · 0% Ask AI
3
3
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o21.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
19
16
28
OA

O.G. Anunoby

New York Knicks · F · last 3 games
Points o12.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
12
10
15
Rebounds o4.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
6
5
2
Pts + Reb + Ast o17.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
18
16
18
JW

James Wiseman

New York Knicks · C · last 3 games
Points o10.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
8
4
18
Rebounds o5.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
5
1
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o15.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
13
5
28
Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard

Toronto Raptors · F · last 1 games
Points o21.5 0/1 · 0% Ask AI
21
Rebounds o5.5 0/1 · 0% Ask AI
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o26.5 0/1 · 0% Ask AI
26
3-pointers made o4.5 0/1 · 0% Ask AI
4
RJ Barrett

RJ Barrett

Toronto Raptors · F · last 2 games
Points o18.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
20
17
Rebounds o4.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
5
4
Assists o4.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
5
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
30
24
3-pointers made o2.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
3
1
CM

C. Murray-Boyles

Toronto Raptors · F · last 2 games
Points o16.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
13
19
Rebounds o9.5 0/2 · 0% Ask AI
9
9
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
25
30

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New York Knicks 113, Toronto Raptors 106: a projected total of 219 points. New York Knicks games went over 220.5 in 2 of the last 4; Toronto Raptors games went over 220.5 in 1 of the last 2.
What is the AI spread pick for New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors?
The consensus has New York Knicks winning by 7 points (113–106), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors?
Leading scorers over the last 1 games. New York Knicks: Jalen Brunson (15 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast), O.G. Anunoby (12.3 pts, 4.3 reb, 0.7 ast). Toronto Raptors: Kawhi Leonard (21 pts, 5 reb, 0 ast), RJ Barrett (18.5 pts, 4.5 reb, 4 ast).
Is New York Knicks or Toronto Raptors on a back-to-back?
New York Knicks have had 2 days of rest; Toronto Raptors have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Knicks

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 113.10 vs 106.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (113 - 106; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Knicks win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.