Lauri Markkanen
Utah Jazz · F · last 1 games
NBA · Regular Season
Oct 13, 2026 · 01:00
Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Finished
Utah Jazz
vs
San Antonio Spurs.
Quick answer
Who will win Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs?
9 of 10 AI models pick San Antonio Spurs to win (90%). The mean predicted score is 116–117 at 39% average confidence (low).
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward San Antonio Spurs (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 116–117 at 39% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Utah Jazz win
10%
1 / 10 models
San Antonio Spurs win
90%
9 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: San Antonio Spurs win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
San Antonio Spurs win
116–117
58%
San Antonio won four of the last five meetings and recently scored efficiently against Utah. Preseason rotations add uncertainty, but the Spurs’ modest recent matchup edge outweighs Utah’s home-court advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
San Antonio Spurs win
113–119
52%
Preseason rosters limit certainty, but Spurs have recently won most meetings; Wembanyama-led talent edge slightly outweighs home court.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
San Antonio Spurs win
108–115
58%
San Antonio has held the upper hand in recent matchups, and their interior length presents persistent defensive problems for Utah, even within preseason rotation management.
04
Grok 4.6
San Antonio Spurs win
112–119
56%
Preseason at Delta Center; Spurs won four of last five H2H at a high pace. Exhibition rotations keep the edge modest.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
118–119
56%
Spurs have won three of the last five H2H meetings and averaged over 120 points in those wins; Utah's home edge is modest in preseason.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
San Antonio Spurs win
119–120
53%
Spurs dominated recent H2H (4-1) with superior talent, but preseason unpredictability and Jazz home venue keep confidence moderate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
San Antonio Spurs win
122–123
60%
Spurs won 4 of last 5 vs Jazz; preseason tempo favors higher scores.
08
Kimi K3
San Antonio Spurs win
112–118
58%
Preseason matchup with rotations uncertain; Spurs have won three of the last four H2H meetings and bring stronger recent form into Salt Lake City.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
116–117
53%
Preseason opener with heavy rotation uncertainty; Spurs won four of the last five meetings and carry the stronger roster, though Delta Center keeps Utah close.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 116–117. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
116–117
2 models
-
105–97
1 model
-
113–119
1 model
-
122–123
1 model
-
118–119
1 model
-
119–120
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Spurs −1
AI total
233
Models picking
90%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 1 games
Lauri Markkanen
Utah Jazz · F
17
PTS
15.5
2
REB
3.5
0
AST
4
14
MIN
22
DH
San Antonio Spurs · G
D. Harper
San Antonio Spurs · G
Utah Jazz
0-1 · #12 Western Home 0-0 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
6 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
San Antonio Spurs
0-1 · #10 Western Home 0-1 · Away 0-0 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
2 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Utah Jazz
San Antonio Spurs
111.2
Points
112.7
46.5%
Field goal %
43.4%
35.7%
3-point %
33.9%
73.9%
Free throw %
80.7%
45
Rebounds
49.2
24
Assists
24.7
17
Turnovers
19.8
9.2
Steals
8.5
6
Blocks
7.2
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Jazz | Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 107.4 | 105.3 |
| Defensive rating | 103.3 | 105.1 |
| Net rating | +4.1 | +0.2 |
| Pace | 103.5 | 107 |
| Effective FG % | 53.5 | 50.9 |
| Turnover % | 16.4 | 18.5 |
| Free throw rate | 32.5 | 32.4 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 39.6 | 44.7 |
Key players · Utah Jazz
-
Lauri MarkkanenF 17 pts · 2 reb · 0 ast
-
Keyonte GeorgeG 10.5 pts · 2 reb · 3.5 ast -
AB
A. BaileyG 10 pts · 6 reb · 1.5 ast
Averages over the last 1 games.
Key players · San Antonio Spurs
-
DH
D. HarperG 15.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 4 ast
-
Stephon CastleG 13.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4 ast -
Victor WembanyamaF 11 pts · 6.5 reb · 3.5 ast
Averages over the last 2 games.
Last ten games
Utah Jazz
LW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 107.5 / 107
- Total over 220.5
- 1/2
- Total over 230.5
- 0/2
- Scored 110+
- 0/2
- Won by 6+
- 1/2
San Antonio Spurs
LL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 107 / 112.5
- Total over 220.5
- 1/2
- Total over 230.5
- 1/2
- Scored 110+
- 1/2
- Won by 6+
- 0/2
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Lauri Markkanen by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Keyonte George by Brady Saylor (CC BY-SA 4.0), Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0), Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Keyonte George
Utah Jazz · G · last 2 games
A. Bailey
Utah Jazz · G · last 2 games
D. Harper
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 2 games
Stephon Castle
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 2 games
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F · last 2 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Utah Jazz 116, San Antonio Spurs 117: a projected total of 233 points. Utah Jazz games went over 230.5 in 0 of the last 2; San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 2.
- What is the AI spread pick for Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs?
- The consensus has San Antonio Spurs winning by 1 points (117–116), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs?
- Leading scorers over the last 1 games. Utah Jazz: Lauri Markkanen (17 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast), Keyonte George (10.5 pts, 2 reb, 3.5 ast). San Antonio Spurs: D. Harper (15.5 pts, 3.5 reb, 4 ast), Stephon Castle (13.5 pts, 5.5 reb, 4 ast).
- Is Utah Jazz or San Antonio Spurs on a back-to-back?
- Utah Jazz have had 6 days of rest; San Antonio Spurs have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors San Antonio Spurs
90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Low confidence
Mean 39% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 115.11 vs 118.56
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (116 - 117; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Antonio Spurs win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 90% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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