Kyrie Irving
Dallas Mavericks · G · last 1 games
NBA · Regular Season
Oct 15, 2026 · 00:00
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Finished
Dallas Mavericks
vs
New Orleans Pelicans.
Quick answer
Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans?
Final score: Dallas Mavericks 97–101 New Orleans Pelicans. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick Dallas Mavericks to win (70%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 115–116.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Dallas Mavericks (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 115–116 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Dallas Mavericks win
70%
7 / 10 models
New Orleans Pelicans win
30%
3 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Dallas Mavericks win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Dallas Mavericks win
114–110
54%
Preseason uncertainty makes this close, but Dallas gains the venue edge and projects for a modestly better offensive performance. Recent meetings favor New Orleans, keeping confidence and margin restrained.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Dallas Mavericks win
114–109
52%
Preseason matchup with rotations uncertain; recent H2H favors Pelicans but Dallas has home court and this is low-stakes, unpredictable exhibition play.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Dallas Mavericks win
110–105
56%
In preseason play, rotations are unpredictable, but Dallas holds home court advantage and typically displays deeper perimeter scoring across secondary units.
04
Grok 4.6
Dallas Mavericks win
114–108
52%
Preseason at AAC; thin form data and mixed H2H (NOP took last two). Modest home edge, typical NBA pace, small margin.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Dallas Mavericks win
116–110
58%
Preseason at Dallas, where the Mavericks have won two of the last three meetings. Pelicans won the most recent matchup, but home court and familiarity in this venue give Dallas a slight edge.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Dallas Mavericks win
108–103
45%
Preseason game with unpredictable rotations and minutes; slight home edge at American Airlines Center, but low confidence due to exhibition nature and roster uncertainty.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
New Orleans Pelicans win
118–119
58%
Pelicans won 3 of last 5 vs Mavs; preseason but recent H2H edge and balanced pace supports narrow away win.
08
Kimi K3
New Orleans Pelicans win
112–118
58%
Pelicans won three of the last four H2H meetings including two recent victories, showing matchup advantage. Preseason game at American Airlines Center, but New Orleans' recent dominance over Dallas suggests they control tempo.
09
GLM 5.3
Dallas Mavericks win
113–108
52%
Preseason opener with rotated rosters and thin evidence; H2H is close and mixed. Slight home edge from Dallas venue, so a narrow Mavericks win in a moderate-paced game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New Orleans Pelicans win
115–116
58%
Pelicans have won the last two matchups and show a scoring edge; preseason context adds uncertainty, but recent H2H dominance favors the away team.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
1 of 6 models settled on 115–116. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
115–116
1 model
-
114–110
1 model
-
114–109
1 model
-
118–119
1 model
-
116–110
1 model
-
108–103
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Pelicans −1
AI total
231
Models picking
30%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 1 games
Kyrie Irving
Dallas Mavericks · G
17
PTS
11.5
2
REB
2
3
AST
1.5
22
MIN
18
JF
New Orleans Pelicans · G
J. Fears
New Orleans Pelicans · G
Dallas Mavericks
0-1 · #11 Western Home 0-0 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
3 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
New Orleans Pelicans
0-1 · #9 Western Home 0-1 · Away 0-0 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
6 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Dallas Mavericks
New Orleans Pelicans
113.4
Points
112.4
45.1%
Field goal %
43.1%
31.9%
3-point %
33.1%
77.1%
Free throw %
77.3%
41.2
Rebounds
48.4
26.6
Assists
23.2
19.6
Turnovers
17.6
10.2
Steals
12.8
6.2
Blocks
5.6
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Mavericks | Pelicans | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 107.7 | 106.1 |
| Defensive rating | 118.7 | 112.3 |
| Net rating | -11 | -6.2 |
| Pace | 105.3 | 105.9 |
| Effective FG % | 52.8 | 49.4 |
| Turnover % | 18.6 | 16.6 |
| Free throw rate | 32.2 | 37 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 48.3 | 38.3 |
Key players · Dallas Mavericks
-
Kyrie IrvingG 17 pts · 2 reb · 3 ast
-
CF
C. FlaggF 16.5 pts · 5 reb · 5 ast
-
Naji MarshallF 15 pts · 2 reb · 1.5 ast
Averages over the last 1 games.
Key players · New Orleans Pelicans
-
JF
J. FearsG 11.5 pts · 2 reb · 1.5 ast
-
JP
Jordan PooleG 11.5 pts · 1 reb · 1 ast
-
TI
Trey Murphy IIIF 11 pts · 2 reb · 2 ast
Averages over the last 2 games.
Last ten games
Dallas Mavericks
WL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 124.5 / 125
- Total over 220.5
- 2/2
- Total over 230.5
- 2/2
- Scored 110+
- 2/2
- Won by 6+
- 1/2
New Orleans Pelicans
LW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 117 / 119
- Total over 220.5
- 2/2
- Total over 230.5
- 1/2
- Scored 110+
- 2/2
- Won by 6+
- 1/2
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Kyrie Irving by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Naji Marshall by FOX Sports (CC BY 3.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 2 games
Naji Marshall
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 2 games
Jordan Poole
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 2 games
J. Fears
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 2 games
Trey Murphy III
New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 2 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Dallas Mavericks 115, New Orleans Pelicans 116: a projected total of 231 points. Dallas Mavericks games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 2; New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 2.
- What is the AI spread pick for Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans?
- The consensus has New Orleans Pelicans winning by 1 points (116–115), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans?
- Leading scorers over the last 1 games. Dallas Mavericks: Kyrie Irving (17 pts, 2 reb, 3 ast), C. Flagg (16.5 pts, 5 reb, 5 ast). New Orleans Pelicans: J. Fears (11.5 pts, 2 reb, 1.5 ast), Jordan Poole (11.5 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast).
- Is Dallas Mavericks or New Orleans Pelicans on a back-to-back?
- Dallas Mavericks have had 3 days of rest; New Orleans Pelicans have had 6 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Dallas Mavericks
70% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Low confidence
Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 113.40 vs 110.60
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (115 - 116; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Dallas Mavericks win, with vote shares roughly 70% / 30% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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