AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
NBA · Regular Season Oct 23, 2026 · 23:00 Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis Not Started

Indiana Pacers
vs
Dallas Mavericks.

Quick answer

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?

10 of 10 AI models pick Indiana Pacers to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 121–115 at 59% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Indiana Pacers (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 121–115 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Indiana Pacers and Dallas Mavericks stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Indiana Pacers win 100%

10 / 10 models

Dallas Mavericks win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Indiana Pacers win
121–115
60%
Indiana’s faster pace, stronger shooting, home court, and higher season scoring support the Pacers. Dallas has allowed 121.5 points recently, though its recent offensive production keeps this competitive.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Indiana Pacers win
122–116
58%
Pacers' faster pace and better offensive efficiency edge a leaky Mavericks defense allowing 121.5 recently; both teams struggle defensively, favoring a high-scoring home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Indiana Pacers win
122–117
58%
Both squads play at high pace with equal rest, but Indiana's superior shooting efficiency and home-court advantage edge Dallas's struggling 114.9 defensive rating.
04
Grok 4.6
Indiana Pacers win
121–114
58%
Pacers hold a clear per-100 defense edge (106 vs 115) and higher pace at home; both sides 1-3 lately so the margin stays modest despite Indiana's shooting advantage.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Indiana Pacers win
118–113
55%
Indiana's stronger offense and home venue edge, plus Dallas's poor defense (114.9 per 100), favor the Pacers in a high-paced game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Indiana Pacers win
119–111
58%
Indiana's defense (106.3) far outpaces Dallas's (114.9), and home pace favors the Pacers. Haliburton's limited minutes temper confidence slightly.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Indiana Pacers win
121–115
60%
Pacers' stronger offense and home court edge; Mavericks' defense struggles and recent form slightly favors Indiana.
08
Kimi K3
Indiana Pacers win
121–114
62%
Indiana's high-octane offense (119.8 ppg, 111.3 pace) faces a Dallas defense allowing 121.5 recently. Pacers' superior shooting (48.9% FG) and home court should outpace the Mavericks' attack.
09
GLM 5.3
Indiana Pacers win
118–111
58%
Pacers' faster pace and much stronger per-100 defense (106.3 vs Dallas 114.9) plus Gainbridge Fieldhouse edge outweigh Dallas's Flagg-led scoring; both teams on equal rest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Indiana Pacers win
118–112
58%
Indiana's home floor and superior eFG (57.3% vs 51.4%) offset Dallas's recent H2H edge; both teams allow 118-121 ppg lately, suggesting a high-scoring, close game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 8 models settled on 121–115. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 121–115
    2 models
  • 121–114
    2 models
  • 118–112
    1 model
  • 122–116
    1 model
  • 118–113
    1 model
  • 119–111
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Pacers −6
AI total
236
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 4 games
Tyrese Haliburton
Tyrese Haliburton
Indiana Pacers · G
17.8 PTS 22.8
2 REB 6.8
6.8 AST 4
22 MIN 27
CF
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F

Indiana Pacers

2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days

Dallas Mavericks

2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Kobe Brown
    Kobe Brown Pacers · G
    29 min · 12 pts a game before

Season averages per game

Indiana Pacers Dallas Mavericks
120.4 Points 114.3
49.6% Field goal % 43.5%
37.2% 3-point % 32.4%
74% Free throw % 79.8%
47.4 Rebounds 43.3
32.8 Assists 28.3
20.2 Turnovers 19.3
8.6 Steals 9.8
6 Blocks 6.8

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

PacersMavericks
Offensive rating 109.1 108
Defensive rating 107.5 116.1
Net rating +1.6 -8.1
Pace 110.4 105.8
Effective FG % 57.3 51.4
Turnover % 18.3 18.2
Free throw rate 22.7 32
3-point attempt rate 41.7 48.6

Key players · Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton
    Tyrese HaliburtonG 17.8 pts · 2 reb · 6.8 ast
  • Pascal Siakam
    Pascal SiakamF 16.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 3 ast
  • Obi Toppin
    Obi ToppinF 12.2 pts · 4 reb · 1 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Key players · Dallas Mavericks

  • CF
    C. FlaggF 22.8 pts · 6.8 reb · 4 ast
  • Kyrie Irving
    Kyrie IrvingG 16.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 3.3 ast
  • Naji Marshall
    Naji MarshallF 11.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 3 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Last ten games

Indiana Pacers WLLLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
120.4 / 118.6
Total over 220.5
5/5
Total over 230.5
4/5
Scored 110+
5/5
Won by 6+
1/5
Dallas Mavericks LLLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
113.4 / 122.8
Total over 220.5
4/5
Total over 230.5
4/5
Scored 110+
4/5
Won by 6+
1/5

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Tyrese Haliburton by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Pascal Siakam by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Obi Toppin by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Kyrie Irving by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Naji Marshall by FOX Sports (CC BY 3.0), Kobe Brown by imanisvision (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

Indiana Pacers · G · last 4 games
Points o17.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
7
24
17
23
Assists o6.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
6
3
6
12
Pts + Reb + Ast o26.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
13
30
26
37
3-pointers made o2.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
1
4
3
2
Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

Indiana Pacers · F · last 5 games
Points o16.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
10
13
6
24
30
Assists o3.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
3
4
4
3
1
Pts + Reb + Ast o23.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
15
19
11
31
39
Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin

Indiana Pacers · F · last 5 games
Points o12.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
10
11
8
12
20
Rebounds o4.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
2
3
5
7
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o17.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
13
15
13
21
24
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
1
0
4
4
CF

C. Flagg

Dallas Mavericks · F · last 4 games
Points o22.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
19
14
26
32
Rebounds o6.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
6
4
12
5
Assists o4.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
3
7
4
2
Pts + Reb + Ast o33.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
28
25
42
39
Kyrie Irving

Kyrie Irving

Dallas Mavericks · G · last 3 games
Points o16.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
17
18
15
Assists o3.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
3
5
2
Pts + Reb + Ast o22.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
22
25
21
3-pointers made o2.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
2
5
1
Naji Marshall

Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · F · last 5 games
Points o11.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
16
14
7
6
16
Assists o3.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
3
0
1
5
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o16.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
21
16
10
12
24

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Indiana Pacers 121, Dallas Mavericks 115: a projected total of 236 points. Indiana Pacers games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5; Dallas Mavericks games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5.
What is the AI spread pick for Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?
The consensus has Indiana Pacers winning by 6 points (121–115), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks?
Leading scorers over the last 4 games. Indiana Pacers: Tyrese Haliburton (17.8 pts, 2 reb, 6.8 ast), Pascal Siakam (16.6 pts, 3.4 reb, 3 ast). Dallas Mavericks: C. Flagg (22.8 pts, 6.8 reb, 4 ast), Kyrie Irving (16.7 pts, 2.7 reb, 3.3 ast).
Is Indiana Pacers or Dallas Mavericks on a back-to-back?
Indiana Pacers have had 2 days of rest; Dallas Mavericks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Indiana Pacers

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 120.10 vs 113.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (121 - 115; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Indiana Pacers win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.