Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets · C · last 5 games
NBA · Regular Season
Toyota Center (Houston), Houston
Finished
Houston Rockets
vs
Boston Celtics.
Quick answer
Who will win Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?
Final score: Houston Rockets 109–93 Boston Celtics. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Houston Rockets to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–112.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 66% of the time (74 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Houston Rockets (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 61% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Houston Rockets win
100%
10 / 10 models
Boston Celtics win
0%
0 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Houston Rockets win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Houston Rockets win
119–114
62%
Houston enters 3-0 with a 118.8-rated offense and home court, while Boston faces a back-to-back. Boston’s stronger defense and faster pace should keep it close, but fatigue favors Houston late.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Houston Rockets win
117–108
68%
Rockets are undefeated and well-rested at home, while Celtics play the second night of a back-to-back, a notable fatigue disadvantage against a hot team.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Houston Rockets win
118–112
64%
Houston enters rested on a 3-0 run with an explosive offense, while Boston faces fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back.
04
Grok 4.7
Houston Rockets win
118–111
58%
Rockets 3-0 at home with two days rest versus Celtics on a back-to-back; Houston’s stronger offense (118.8 per 100) offsets Boston’s elite defense enough for a modest home win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Houston Rockets win
117–112
58%
Houston is 3-0 at home with a strong offense; Boston is on a back-to-back, which typically costs points. Rockets' recent form and rest edge outweigh Celtics' talent.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Houston Rockets win
118–110
63%
Houston's 3-0 form, two days rest, and Boston's back-to-back fatigue give Rockets a clear edge; Durant-Sengun duo outpaces a tired Celtics defense.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Houston Rockets win
118–110
61%
Houston 5-0 at Toyota Center with 2 days rest vs Boston on second night back-to-back; Rockets offense 119.5 and Tatum form offset by fatigue.
08
Kimi K3
Houston Rockets win
118–112
62%
Houston's perfect start and superior offensive rating (118.8 vs 113.0) outweigh Boston's elite defense, especially with the Celtics playing the second night of a back-to-back.
09
GLM 5.3
Houston Rockets win
118–112
58%
Houston is 3-0 at home with 2 days rest, while Boston is on a back-to-back; Sengun and Durant's scoring form edges a tight matchup despite Boston's strong defense.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Houston Rockets win
118–112
58%
Houston's 3-0 form, Sengun-Durant production and Boston's back-to-back fatigue favor the Rockets at Toyota Center; Boston's rebounding and Tatum keep it close in a fast-paced game.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
4 of 10 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–112
4 models
-
118–110
2 models
-
119–114
1 model
-
117–108
1 model
-
117–112
1 model
-
118–111
1 model
Live game centre
FinalHouston Rockets
109–93
Boston Celtics| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 29 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 109 |
| Boston Celtics | 29 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 93 |
29
29
28
21
25
23
27
20
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Rockets −6
AI total
230
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 5 games
Kevin Durant
Houston Rockets · F
20.8
PTS
31.4
5.2
REB
6.4
2.8
AST
7
32
MIN
35
Jayson Tatum
Boston Celtics · F
Houston Rockets
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Boston Celtics
Back-to-back: played last night
· 3 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Fred VanVleet Rockets · G30 min · 15 pts a game before -
Reed Sheppard Rockets · G26 min · 13 pts a game before -
MR
Mitchell Robinson Celtics · C24 min · 5.5 pts a game before
Season averages per game
Houston Rockets
Boston Celtics
120
Points
118.4
48.9%
Field goal %
45.2%
38.1%
3-point %
35.4%
78.2%
Free throw %
76%
45
Rebounds
47.8
29.1
Assists
28.2
15.6
Turnovers
15.9
10
Steals
10
5.5
Blocks
4.2
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Rockets | Celtics | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 118.8 | 113 |
| Defensive rating | 107.2 | 104.2 |
| Net rating | +11.6 | +8.8 |
| Pace | 101 | 104.8 |
| Effective FG % | 56.8 | 53.4 |
| Turnover % | 15.5 | 15.2 |
| Free throw rate | 29.5 | 30 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 41.7 | 46.6 |
Key players · Houston Rockets
-
Kevin DurantF 20.8 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.8 ast
-
AS
Alperen SengunC 20.7 pts · 9.3 reb · 8.3 ast
-
Jabari Smith Jr.F 19.2 pts · 6.2 reb · 3.4 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Key players · Boston Celtics
-
Jayson TatumF 31.4 pts · 6.4 reb · 7 ast
-
Paul GeorgeF 17.2 pts · 6.2 reb · 5.4 ast -
Payton PritchardG 14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 4 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Last ten games
Houston Rockets
WLWWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 120.7 / 108.3
- Total over 220.5
- 6/7
- Total over 230.5
- 3/7
- Scored 110+
- 7/7
- Won by 6+
- 5/7
Boston Celtics
WWWWWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 118.7 / 109.2
- Total over 220.5
- 4/6
- Total over 230.5
- 4/6
- Scored 110+
- 4/6
- Won by 6+
- 3/6
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Kevin Durant by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jabari Smith Jr. by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jayson Tatum by Hameltion (CC BY-SA 4.0), Paul George by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Payton Pritchard by Hameltion (CC BY-SA 4.0), Fred VanVleet by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Reed Sheppard by Brady Saylor (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Kevin Durant
Houston Rockets · F · last 7 games
Jabari Smith Jr.
Houston Rockets · F · last 7 games
Jayson Tatum
Boston Celtics · F · last 6 games
Paul George
Boston Celtics · F · last 6 games
Payton Pritchard
Boston Celtics · G · last 6 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Houston Rockets 118, Boston Celtics 112: a projected total of 230 points. Houston Rockets games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 7; Boston Celtics games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 6.
- What is the AI spread pick for Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?
- The consensus has Houston Rockets winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics?
- Leading scorers over the last 5 games. Houston Rockets: Kevin Durant (20.8 pts, 5.2 reb, 2.8 ast), Alperen Sengun (20.7 pts, 9.3 reb, 8.3 ast). Boston Celtics: Jayson Tatum (31.4 pts, 6.4 reb, 7 ast), Paul George (17.2 pts, 6.2 reb, 5.4 ast).
- Is Houston Rockets or Boston Celtics on a back-to-back?
- Houston Rockets have had 2 days of rest; Boston Celtics are on the second night of a back-to-back.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Houston Rockets
100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 61% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 117.90 vs 111.30
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Houston Rockets win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.