Tyrese Haliburton
Indiana Pacers · G · last 5 games
NBA · Regular Season
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Finished
Indiana Pacers
vs
Atlanta Hawks.
Quick answer
Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
Final score: Indiana Pacers 104–108 Atlanta Hawks. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Atlanta Hawks to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–119.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 66% of the time (74 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Atlanta Hawks (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–119 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Indiana Pacers win
0%
0 / 10 models
Atlanta Hawks win
100%
10 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Atlanta Hawks win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Atlanta Hawks win
123–124
58%
Atlanta brings two days’ rest, stronger recent scoring and lower turnovers, while Indiana’s second night of a back-to-back and missing regulars offset its home-court advantage. Both teams’ pace and efficient attacks support a high-scoring, close game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Atlanta Hawks win
117–122
60%
Pacers on second night of back-to-back and missing Nembhard; Hawks rested with Jalen Johnson in strong form and better offensive efficiency.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Atlanta Hawks win
118–124
58%
Atlanta enters well-rested with 2 days off and a sharp offense, while Indiana is on the second night of a back-to-back with key roster absences.
04
Grok 4.7
Atlanta Hawks win
115–122
58%
Pacers on a B2B without Nembhard; Hawks have rest, better offensive rating, and lower turnovers, enough to win on the road in a high-scoring game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Atlanta Hawks win
118–119
57%
Pacers are on a back-to-back and may miss Nembhard, while Atlanta has two days' rest and a stronger early-season net rating. Hawks' pace and efficient offense should edge a close game.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Atlanta Hawks win
122–123
68%
Pacers on back-to-back missing Nembhard and Zubac; Hawks well-rested with superior offensive rating and lower turnover rate, plus 4-1 H2H edge.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Atlanta Hawks win
112–119
63%
Pacers on second night back-to-back missing Haliburton scoring and playmaking; rested Hawks have superior offense and won 4 of last 5 meetings.
08
Kimi K3
Atlanta Hawks win
121–124
58%
Pacers on second night of back-to-back with Nembhard and Zubac questionable; Hawks rested, higher offensive rating (116.1 vs 110.1), and won 3 of last 5 H2H meetings.
09
GLM 5.3
Atlanta Hawks win
117–118
55%
Pacers are on a back-to-back without Nembhard, while rested Hawks bring better net rating and turnover control; Jalen Johnson's form edges a close matchup despite Indiana's home court.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Atlanta Hawks win
118–119
58%
Hawks rest 2 days and rank top-4 East with better net rating and fewer turnovers; Pacers on a back-to-back without Nembhard, though Haliburton's form keeps it close at Gainbridge.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 118–119. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–119
2 models
-
112–119
1 model
-
123–124
1 model
-
117–122
1 model
-
122–123
1 model
-
115–122
1 model
Live game centre
FinalIndiana Pacers
104–108
Atlanta Hawks| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 29 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 104 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 37 | 31 | 19 | 21 | 108 |
29
37
27
31
23
19
25
21
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Hawks −1
AI total
237
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 5 games
Pascal Siakam
Indiana Pacers · F
19.4
PTS
19
8.2
REB
8.4
4.8
AST
9.2
32
MIN
35
Jalen Johnson
Atlanta Hawks · F
Indiana Pacers
Back-to-back: played last night
· 3 games in 7 days
Atlanta Hawks
2 days of rest
· 4 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Tyrese Haliburton Pacers · G33 min · 23 pts a game before
-
OT
Obi Toppin Pacers · F22 min · 14.3 pts a game before
Season averages per game
Indiana Pacers
Atlanta Hawks
114.4
Points
118.2
47.4%
Field goal %
44.3%
34.9%
3-point %
35.3%
74.6%
Free throw %
77.1%
43.9
Rebounds
46
29.4
Assists
30.4
17.8
Turnovers
14.3
7.8
Steals
9.9
5.2
Blocks
3.9
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Pacers | Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 108.1 | 111.9 |
| Defensive rating | 110 | 108.4 |
| Net rating | -1.9 | +3.5 |
| Pace | 105.9 | 105.7 |
| Effective FG % | 54.9 | 52.6 |
| Turnover % | 16.8 | 13.5 |
| Free throw rate | 27.2 | 23.4 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 43.2 | 47.1 |
Key players · Indiana Pacers
-
Pascal SiakamF 19.4 pts · 8.2 reb · 4.8 ast
-
Andrew NembhardG 19.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 7.5 ast -
OT
Obi ToppinF 14.3 pts · 6 reb · 1.3 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Key players · Atlanta Hawks
-
Jalen JohnsonF 19 pts · 8.4 reb · 9.2 ast
-
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG 18.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.8 ast -
AW
Aaron WigginsG 15.4 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.4 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Last ten games
Indiana Pacers
LLLLWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 112.8 / 116.4
- Total over 220.5
- 6/8
- Total over 230.5
- 3/8
- Scored 110+
- 4/8
- Won by 6+
- 1/8
Atlanta Hawks
WLLLWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 119.2 / 114.5
- Total over 220.5
- 5/6
- Total over 230.5
- 3/6
- Scored 110+
- 6/6
- Won by 6+
- 2/6
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Pascal Siakam by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Andrew Nembhard by Steve Cheng, Bruin Report Online (CC BY 2.0), Jalen Johnson by Unknown authorUnknown author (CC BY 4.0), Nickeil Alexander-Walker by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0), Tyrese Haliburton by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Pascal Siakam
Indiana Pacers · F · last 8 games
Andrew Nembhard
Indiana Pacers · G · last 6 games
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Atlanta Hawks · G · last 6 games
Jalen Johnson
Atlanta Hawks · F · last 6 games
Aaron Wiggins
Atlanta Hawks · G · last 6 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Indiana Pacers 118, Atlanta Hawks 119: a projected total of 237 points. Indiana Pacers games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 8; Atlanta Hawks games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 6.
- What is the AI spread pick for Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
- The consensus has Atlanta Hawks winning by 1 points (119–118), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks?
- Leading scorers over the last 5 games. Indiana Pacers: Pascal Siakam (19.4 pts, 8.2 reb, 4.8 ast), Andrew Nembhard (19.3 pts, 2.3 reb, 7.5 ast). Atlanta Hawks: Jalen Johnson (19 pts, 8.4 reb, 9.2 ast), Nickeil Alexander-Walker (18.4 pts, 3.2 reb, 2.8 ast).
- Is Indiana Pacers or Atlanta Hawks on a back-to-back?
- Indiana Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back; Atlanta Hawks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Atlanta Hawks
100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 118.10 vs 121.40
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 119; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Atlanta Hawks win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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