Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev prediction
Middleweight · 3 rounds ·
10 of 10 AI models pick Jacob Malkoun by Decision.
The AI consensus missed this one.
Quick answer
TuringStats AI pick for Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev (UFC 333, 24 Oct 2026): Jacob Malkoun by Decision. 10 of 10 AI models pick Jacob Malkoun over Abubakar Vagaev, average stated confidence 58%. Bookmakers: Jacob Malkoun 41%. Result: Abubakar Vagaev won by Points; the AI pick was wrong.
Picks locked . The AI models see records, measurements, recent fights and a news brief, never the odds.
How the AIs see it ending
- KO/TKO0
- Submission0
- Decision10
Average stated confidence: 58%
AI vs the bookmakers
- Jacob Malkoun
- 100% AI · 41% books
- Abubakar Vagaev
- 0% AI · 59% books
Books: average of 6 bookmakers, margin removed. The AIs never see these prices.
Ask your own question
Goes the distance? Finish in round 1? All 10 AIs answer side by side.
Ask 10 AIsEvery AI's pick
GPT-6 Luna
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 56%
Malkoun has the more established UFC middleweight experience and recent wins over Meerschaert and Finney, while Vagaev is moving up from welterweight. Both are coming off decisions and made weight, favoring a competitive decision for Malkoun.
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 58%
Malkoun has proven UFC-level wins over Meerschaert and Finney, while Vagaev is just moving up from welterweight with limited middleweight experience.
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 58%
Malkoun is the natural middleweight with relentless chain wrestling and cardio, which should give him the edge against Vagaev moving up from welterweight.
Grok 4.7
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 58%
Malkoun's size and grinding wrestling control at 185 give him the edge over Vagaev, who is moving up from welterweight with limited UFC time.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 62%
Malkoun has a strong wrestling base and better UFC experience at middleweight, while Vagaev is moving up from welterweight and may struggle with the size and pace.
Qwen 3.8 Max
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 62%
Malkoun has more UFC experience at middleweight and higher activity; Vagaev is still adjusting after moving up from welterweight with only one UFC fight.
Mistral Medium 3.5
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 60%
Malkoun's recent form and middleweight experience edge over Vagaev's welterweight move-up.
Kimi K3
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 60%
Malkoun has proven UFC-level wrestling and cardio with recent decision wins over Meerschaert and Finney, while Vagaev is moving up from welterweight for only his second UFC bout.
GLM 5.3
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 55%
Malkoun's size and relentless top-control wrestling should neutralize the smaller Vagaev, recently up from welterweight, over three rounds; both are decision-heavy fighters, so points favor Malkoun.
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Missed Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 55%
Malkoun is a proven UFC-level wrestler with more experience at 185 and strong control-based game; Vagaev is only second UFC fight moving up from welterweight. Likely grind to decision.
Jacob Malkoun: last fights
- Lvs Abubakar VagaevPoints R3 · Oct 2026
- Wvs Gerald MeerschaertPoints R3 · May 2026
- Wvs Torrez FinneyPoints R3 · Feb 2026
Abubakar Vagaev: last fights
- Wvs Jacob MalkounPoints R3 · Oct 2026
- Wvs Saygid IzagakhmaevPoints R3 · Jul 2026
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FAQ
Who will win Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev?
10 of 10 AI models pick Jacob Malkoun by Decision. Bookmakers make Abubakar Vagaev the favourite at 59%.
How will Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev end?
The AI models' method picks: 10 Decision.
Who won Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev?
Abubakar Vagaev won by Points in round 3. The AI consensus was wrong.
← All UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev picks · AI UFC record
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