Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski prediction

Featherweight · 5 rounds · Saturday 24 October 2026, 20:35 UTC

Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0 · "The Great"

Winner · KO R2

1 AIs9 AIs

9 of 10 AI models pick Alexander Volkanovski by Decision.

The AI consensus called it.

Quick answer

TuringStats AI pick for Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski (UFC 333, 24 Oct 2026): Alexander Volkanovski by Decision. 9 of 10 AI models pick Alexander Volkanovski over Movsar Evloev, average stated confidence 59%. Bookmakers: Alexander Volkanovski 49%. Result: Alexander Volkanovski won by KO; the AI pick was right.

Picks locked 23 Oct 2026, 07:53 UTC . The AI models see records, measurements, recent fights and a news brief, never the odds.

How the AIs see it ending

KO/TKO0
Submission0
Decision10

Average stated confidence: 59%

AI vs the bookmakers

Movsar Evloev: 10% AI · 51% books
Alexander Volkanovski: 90% AI · 49% books

Books: average of 6 bookmakers, margin removed. The AIs never see these prices.

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Every AI's pick

GPT-6 Luna Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 55%

Volkanovski has the higher finishing rate, elite five-round experience, and recent form, while Evloev’s undefeated wrestling creates a difficult stylistic matchup likely to produce extended control exchanges and a close decision.

Claude Sonnet 5.5 Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 58%

Volkanovski's elite championship rounds experience, power, and durability edge Evloev's unbeaten but largely untested top-level wrestling-heavy, finish-less resume.

Gemini 3.8 Flash Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 58%

Volkanovski's championship-level takedown defense, striking volume, and five-round experience give him the edge to neutralize Evloev's relentless chain wrestling and win a close decision.

Grok 4.7 Missed

Movsar Evloev by Decision · 58%

Evloev's elite wrestling and undefeated record give him control against aging Volkanovski, whose power is offset by recent decision wins and KO vulnerability.

DeepSeek V4 Pro Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 62%

Volkanovski's superior striking volume, championship experience, and proven takedown defense against elite wrestlers should allow him to outpoint Evloev over five rounds.

Qwen 3.8 Max Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 55%

Volkanovski's elite takedown defense and championship experience give him a slight edge over Evloev's wrestling; expect a close five-round battle decided on the feet.

Mistral Medium 3.5 Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 70%

Volkanovski's elite striking, fight IQ, and championship experience edge Evloev's wrestling and undefeated record.

Kimi K3 Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 60%

Volkanovski's championship experience, elite cardio, and proven five-round decision wins over top contenders give him the edge; Evloev's wrestling is strong but he rarely finishes, so Volkanovski outpoints him over five.

GLM 5.3 Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 55%

Volkanovski's championship experience, superior striking craft and five-round pedigree edge out Evloev's wrestling; Evloev's lack of finishing threat means points likely decide it.

MiMo V2.6 Pro Winner ✓

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 58%

Volkanovski's championship experience, footwork and takedown defense should neutralize Evloev's wrestling over five rounds; Evloev rarely finishes, so a Volk decision is likeliest in a close, competitive fight.