Nicolle Caliari vs Iasmin Lucindo prediction

Women's Strawweight · 3 rounds · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Iasmin Lucindo

18-6-0

Winner · Points R3

0 AIs10 AIs

10 of 10 AI models pick Iasmin Lucindo by Decision.

The AI consensus called it.

Quick answer

TuringStats AI pick for Nicolle Caliari vs Iasmin Lucindo (UFC 333, 24 Oct 2026): Iasmin Lucindo by Decision. 10 of 10 AI models pick Iasmin Lucindo over Nicolle Caliari, average stated confidence 65%. Bookmakers: Iasmin Lucindo 76%. Result: Iasmin Lucindo won by Points; the AI pick was right.

Picks locked 23 Oct 2026, 07:46 UTC . The AI models see records, measurements, recent fights and a news brief, never the odds.

How the AIs see it ending

KO/TKO0
Submission0
Decision10

Average stated confidence: 65%

AI vs the bookmakers

Nicolle Caliari: 0% AI · 24% books
Iasmin Lucindo: 100% AI · 76% books

Books: average of 6 bookmakers, margin removed. The AIs never see these prices.

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Every AI's pick

GPT-6 Luna Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 68%

Lucindo has the stronger UFC-tested record, reliable striking and an eight-month-plus layoff is offset by Caliari’s four-and-a-half-pound weight miss. Caliari’s submission threat and extra size keep this competitive, but Lucindo’s experience should win exchanges over three rounds.

Claude Sonnet 5.5 Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 68%

Lucindo has significantly higher UFC-level experience and skill despite layoff; Caliari's weight miss and inconsistent recent form (2 losses in last 3) favor Lucindo's striking and durability over 3 rounds.

Gemini 3.8 Flash Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 70%

Lucindo operates at a significantly higher technical level against ranked opposition. Despite the layoff, her superior striking output and physical wrestling will overcome Caliari's size advantage from the severe weight miss.

Grok 4.7 Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 62%

Lucindo's superior record, KO power and experience outweigh Caliari's recent form; Caliari's 4.5lb miss and Lucindo's layoff make a late stoppage unlikely.

DeepSeek V4 Pro Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 62%

Lucindo has more UFC experience and a striking edge, while Caliari's 4.5 lb weight miss suggests a difficult camp. Lucindo's layoff is a risk, but Caliari's recent KO loss is concerning.

Qwen 3.8 Max Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 63%

Lucindo's superior record (17-6, 8 KOs) and experience edge outweigh her year-long layoff; Caliari's 4.5-lb weight miss signals a troubled camp and likely performance decline.

Mistral Medium 3.5 Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 65%

Lucindo's experience, recent form, and Caliari's weight cut struggles give B the edge.

Kimi K3 Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 68%

Lucindo is the more proven UFC-level fighter with wins over Hill and a competitive loss to Lemos; Caliari missed weight badly, signaling poor preparation, and her record shows she fades late. Lucindo's layoff is a mild concern but her overall level is higher.

GLM 5.3 Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 62%

Lucindo's superior experience and decision win over Hill edge out Caliari despite her year-long suspension layoff; Caliari's 4.5-lb weight miss suggests a poor camp, but Lucindo's rust keeps this competitive.

MiMo V2.6 Pro Winner + method ✓

Iasmin Lucindo by Decision · 65%

Lucindo has big reach edge (66"), better recent form (Hill win), and Caliari's missed weight suggests cut issues; but Lucindo's long layoff/suspension keeps it close.