Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele prediction
Lightweight · 3 rounds ·
6 of 10 AI models pick Noah Gugnon by Decision.
The AI consensus missed this one.
Quick answer
TuringStats AI pick for Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele (UFC 333, 24 Oct 2026): Noah Gugnon by Decision. 6 of 10 AI models pick Noah Gugnon over Kody Steele, average stated confidence 57%. Bookmakers: Noah Gugnon 42%. Result: Kody Steele won by KO; the AI pick was wrong.
Picks locked . The AI models see records, measurements, recent fights and a news brief, never the odds.
How the AIs see it ending
- KO/TKO0
- Submission3
- Decision7
Average stated confidence: 57%
AI vs the bookmakers
- Noah Gugnon
- 60% AI · 42% books
- Kody Steele
- 40% AI · 58% books
Books: average of 6 bookmakers, margin removed. The AIs never see these prices.
Ask your own question
Goes the distance? Finish in round 1? All 10 AIs answer side by side.
Ask 10 AIsEvery AI's pick
GPT-6 Luna
Missed Noah Gugnon by Decision · 52%
Gugnon has momentum from a recent UFC debut submission, while Steele brings a strong 8-1 record but some uncertainty from his injury withdrawal. With limited matchup data and both proven finishers, a competitive decision is most likely.
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Missed Noah Gugnon by Submission, round 1 · 56%
Gugnon's unbeaten UFC run with first-round submission finish and younger momentum edges Steele, who returns from injury layoff and has shown vulnerability via decision loss.
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Winner ✓ Kody Steele by Decision · 58%
Steele brings an elite grappling pedigree and explosive wrestling that should allow him to neutralize Gugnon's submission threats and control top position across three rounds.
Grok 4.7
Missed Noah Gugnon by Decision · 55%
Gugnon's fresher UFC debut sub win and Steele's August injury withdrawal/layoff give the activity and momentum edge in a close prospect matchup.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Winner ✓ Kody Steele by Decision · 58%
Steele has more UFC experience and a wrestling base, while Gugnon is a submission threat but untested beyond his debut. Steele's durability and control should edge a close fight.
Qwen 3.8 Max
Missed Noah Gugnon by Decision · 55%
Gugnon enters with momentum off a dominant UFC debut submission and no injury concerns, while Steele returns from an injury layoff that disrupted his camp.
Mistral Medium 3.5
Missed Noah Gugnon by Submission, round 1 · 70%
Gugnon has a recent first-round submission win and better momentum; Steele's injury layoff and inconsistent UFC record hurt his chances.
Kimi K3
Missed Noah Gugnon by Submission, round 1 · 58%
Gugnon has the cleaner recent form with a first-round submission in his UFC debut, while Steele is returning from an August injury withdrawal; slight grappling edge to Gugnon in a close fight.
GLM 5.3
Winner ✓ Kody Steele by Decision · 55%
Steele's superior wrestling and UFC experience edge out Gugnon, though Steele's injury withdrawal and layoff keep this close; expect a grappling-heavy decision.
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Winner ✓ Kody Steele by Decision · 55%
Steele's stronger wrestling base and more UFC experience edge a close fight, but Gugnon's submission threat and Steele's recent injury layoff keep it competitive.
Noah Gugnon: last fights
- Lvs Kody SteeleKO R1 · Oct 2026
- Wvs Milos JanicicSUB R1 · Aug 2026
Kody Steele: last fights
- Wvs Noah GugnonKO R1 · Oct 2026
- Wvs Dom Mar FanSUB R1 · May 2026
- Lvs RongzhuPoints R3 · Feb 2025
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FAQ
Who will win Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele?
6 of 10 AI models pick Noah Gugnon by Decision. Bookmakers make Kody Steele the favourite at 58%.
How will Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele end?
The AI models' method picks: 7 Decision, 3 Submission.
Who won Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele?
Kody Steele won by KO in round 1. The AI consensus was wrong.
← All UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev picks · AI UFC record
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