EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 4 U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis Finished

Minnesota Vikings
vs
Miami Dolphins.

Quick answer

Who will win Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins?

Final score: Minnesota Vikings 15–10 Miami Dolphins. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Minnesota Vikings to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 27–23.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Minnesota Vikings (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 27–23 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Minnesota Vikings and Miami Dolphins stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Minnesota Vikings win 90%

9 / 10 models

Miami Dolphins win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Minnesota Vikings win
27–23
56%
Minnesota’s U.S. Bank Stadium home edge and most recent 2022 win provide a modest lean, while Miami’s speed suggests a competitive, moderately high-scoring game. Limited 2026 form information warrants restrained confidence.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Minnesota Vikings win
24–20
56%
Vikings get home dome advantage in early October and have historically handled Miami well recently; expect a close, competitive finish.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Minnesota Vikings win
24–20
61%
Minnesota's defensive pressure at U.S. Bank Stadium disrupts Miami's rhythm passing attack, giving the Vikings a narrow home edge.
04
Grok 4.7
Minnesota Vikings win
24–17
56%
Week 4 at U.S. Bank Stadium gives Minnesota a modest home edge; 2026 form is unknown, so a one-possession indoor game over Miami is the safest call.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Minnesota Vikings win
27–23
58%
Vikings hold home-field edge at U.S. Bank Stadium and won the most recent H2H in 2022; Dolphins keep it close with a balanced attack.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Minnesota Vikings win
24–17
62%
Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium with home-field advantage; Dolphins historically struggle in cold-weather road games. Minnesota's defense should limit Miami's scoring in early October conditions.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Miami Dolphins win
28–29
62%
Dolphins' speed and recent form edge over Vikings' home consistency; close but Miami's offense prevails.
08
Kimi K3
Minnesota Vikings win
27–23
58%
Vikings' home-field advantage at U.S. Bank Stadium and historical H2H success (24-16 in 2022) give them the edge over Miami in this Week 4 matchup.
09
GLM 5.3
Minnesota Vikings win
27–20
58%
Vikings won the last two H2H meetings and get U.S. Bank Stadium home edge; Miami's road form is a question mark, so a one-possession home win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Minnesota Vikings win
27–20
58%
Minnesota's home advantage and winning H2H in 2022 suggest an edge, but with roster changes, Miami could keep it close.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 27–23. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 27–23
    3 models
  • 24–20
    2 models
  • 24–17
    2 models
  • 27–20
    2 models
  • 28–29
    1 model

NFL · Week 4

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Vikings −4 50 Vikings 90%
Quarterback matchup · season
Kyler Murray
Kyler Murray
Minnesota Vikings · QB
162.4 YDS/G 176.2
3 TD 4
2 INT 4
85.8 RATING 77.1
Malik Willis
Malik Willis
Miami Dolphins · QB

Minnesota Vikings

6-0 · #1 NFC North
Home 3-0 · Road 3-0 · Division 2-0 · Streak W6 · Points 125–74
7 days of rest

Miami Dolphins

1-5 · #4 AFC East
Home 0-2 · Road 1-3 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 98–157
7 days of rest

Injury report

Minnesota Vikings 5 on injured reserve
  • Bryson Nesbit
    Bryson NesbitTE
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
Miami Dolphins 5 on injured reserve
  • Jaylen Wright
    Jaylen WrightRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • RJ
    Robert Beal Jr.DE
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Willie Gay
    Willie GayLB
    Illness
    Questionable
  • RT
    Reese TaylorCB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Minnesota Vikings Miami Dolphins
23.7 Points scored 12
13.7 Points allowed 28.7
238.3 Total yards 290.7
137 Passing yards 192.3
101.3 Rushing yards 98.3
0.7 Turnovers 1.3
30 Third-down % 41
80 Red-zone TD % 29
4.7 Sacks 0
29:48Time of possession29:54

Skill players · Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron Jones
    Aaron JonesRB
    436 rushing yards (72.7 a game, 4.2 a carry), 2 TD
  • Justin Jefferson
    Justin JeffersonWR
    23 catches, 302 receiving yards (60.4 a game), 3 TD
  • T.J. Hockenson
    T.J. HockensonTE
    27 catches, 237 receiving yards (39.5 a game), 2 TD

Skill players · Miami Dolphins

  • OG
    Ollie GordonRB
    339 rushing yards (56.5 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • MW
    Malik WashingtonWR
    26 catches, 289 receiving yards (48.2 a game), 0 TD
  • Greg Dulcich
    Greg DulcichTE
    18 catches, 213 receiving yards (35.5 a game), 0 TD

Last ten games

Minnesota Vikings WWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
23.7 / 13.7
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
2/3
Miami Dolphins LLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
12 / 28.7
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
0/3

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only.

Player props

Prop hit rates: Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray

Minnesota Vikings · QB · last 2 games
Passing yards o93.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
18
168
Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones

Minnesota Vikings · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o67.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
40
105
58
Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson

Minnesota Vikings · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o59.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
92
55
32
Receptions o4.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
8
3
2
T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson

Minnesota Vikings · TE · last 3 games
Receiving yards o25.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
36
29
11
Receptions o3.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
4
3
2
Malik Willis

Malik Willis

Miami Dolphins · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o209.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
220
197
210
OG

Ollie Gordon

Miami Dolphins · RB · last 2 games
Rushing yards o24.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
7
41
MW

Malik Washington

Miami Dolphins · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o50.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
53
43
56
Receptions o4.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
3
4
5
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich

Miami Dolphins · TE · last 3 games
Receiving yards o30.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
18
17
55
Receptions o3.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
2
2
5

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Minnesota Vikings 27, Miami Dolphins 23: a projected total of 50 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins?
The AI consensus has Minnesota Vikings winning by 4 points (27–23).
Who are the quarterbacks in Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins?
Kyler Murray (Minnesota Vikings): 812 passing yards (162.4 a game), 3 TD, 2 INT, rating 85.8. Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): 1,057 passing yards (176.2 a game), 4 TD, 4 INT, rating 77.1.
Who is injured for Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins?
Minnesota Vikings have no one listed out or doubtful. Miami Dolphins have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Minnesota Vikings

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 25.90 vs 21.20

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (27 - 23; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Minnesota Vikings win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Minnesota Vikings vs Miami Dolphins, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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