EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 4 Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Finished

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
vs
Green Bay Packers.

Quick answer

Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?

Final score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14–17 Green Bay Packers. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win (80%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 24–20.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win 80%

8 / 10 models

Green Bay Packers win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
27–24
53%
Tampa Bay's home advantage and recent success in this matchup provide a modest edge, but Green Bay should keep pace in a competitive Week 4 game. Limited 2026 form data supports moderate confidence.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Green Bay Packers win
23–26
58%
Packers' balanced offense and strong defensive line should edge a competitive divisional-style battle; Bucs home field keeps it close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Green Bay Packers win
24–27
58%
Green Bay's balanced offensive attack presents schematic advantages against Tampa Bay's secondary, enabling the Packers to edge a tight, competitive road contest.
04
Grok 4.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
24–20
55%
Thin 2026 form; Bucs get a modest Raymond James edge in a close NFC game, matching recent H2H one-score finishes.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
27–23
58%
Tampa Bay's home edge at Raymond James and recent H2H success against Green Bay support a narrow win, though the Packers keep it close with a balanced attack.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
24–20
58%
Tampa Bay holds home-field advantage at Raymond James Stadium and has won 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings; moderate confidence given limited 2026 season form data.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
24–20
62%
Tampa Bay home edge and recent H2H form slightly favor them; both defenses strong, keeping scores low.
08
Kimi K3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
27–23
58%
Tampa Bay's recent H2H edge (3-1 since 2020) and home field at Raymond James provide slight advantage over Green Bay in projected competitive Week 4 matchup.
09
GLM 5.3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
27–23
55%
Tampa Bay has won three of the last five meetings, including the last two, and hosts at Raymond James Stadium; rosters have changed, so only moderate confidence in a narrow home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
24–20
58%
Tampa Bay has won three of the last four meetings and holds home-field advantage. Green Bay's recent form is unknown, but the Bucs' defensive strength at home likely limits the Packers' offense.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 24–20. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–20
    4 models
  • 27–23
    3 models
  • 27–24
    1 model
  • 23–26
    1 model
  • 24–27
    1 model

NFL · Week 4

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Buccaneers −4 44 Buccaneers 80%
Quarterback matchup · season
Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB
169.8 YDS/G 279.7
3 TD 13
2 INT 5
83 RATING 90.6
Jordan Love
Jordan Love
Green Bay Packers · QB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2-5 · #3 NFC South
Home 0-4 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 162–151
7 days of rest

Green Bay Packers

5-3 · #4 NFC North
Home 3-1 · Road 2-2 · Division 1-2 · Streak W1 · Points 171–164
Off a bye: 14 days of rest

Injury report

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 on injured reserve
  • Emeka Egbuka
    Emeka EgbukaWR
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Antoine Winfield Jr.
    Antoine Winfield Jr.S
    Ribs
    Questionable
  • Luke Goedeke
    Luke Goedeke
    Calf
    Questionable
Green Bay Packers 12 on injured reserve
  • Matthew Golden
    Matthew GoldenWR
    Shoulder
    Questionable
  • MC
    McCallan CastlesTE
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
  • Sean Rhyan
    Sean Rhyan
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Devonte Wyatt
    Devonte WyattDT
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Travis Glover
    Travis Glover
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Aaron Banks
    Aaron Banks
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Zaire Franklin
    Zaire FranklinLB
    Shin
    Questionable
  • AC
    Anthony CampbellDT
    Ankle
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Green Bay Packers
20.7 Points scored 21
26.3 Points allowed 28
279.3 Total yards 309
185 Passing yards 244.5
94.3 Rushing yards 64.5
2.3 Turnovers 1.5
33 Third-down % 19
30 Red-zone TD % 38
2 Sacks 3.5
30:06Time of possession27:00

Skill players · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Bucky Irving
    Bucky IrvingRB
    558 rushing yards (79.7 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris GodwinWR
    27 catches, 243 receiving yards (34.7 a game), 0 TD
  • Emeka Egbuka
    Emeka EgbukaWR
    28 catches, 240 receiving yards (40 a game), 2 TD

Skill players · Green Bay Packers

  • MarShawn Lloyd
    MarShawn LloydRB
    142 rushing yards (20.3 a game, 2.6 a carry), 2 TD
  • Christian Watson
    Christian WatsonWR
    34 catches, 595 receiving yards (85 a game), 6 TD
  • Matthew Golden
    Matthew GoldenWR
    34 catches, 512 receiving yards (73.1 a game), 3 TD

Last ten games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers LLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
20.7 / 26.3
Total over 41.5
2/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
0/3
Green Bay Packers WL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
21 / 28
Total over 41.5
1/2
Total over 44.5
1/2
Total over 47.5
1/2
Won by 7+
0/2

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: MarShawn Lloyd by Gamecock Central (CC BY 2.0), Matthew Golden by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 4.0), Travis Glover by U.S. Army Photo by John Pellino/USMA (Public domain).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o205.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
216
182
217
Bucky Irving

Bucky Irving

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o60.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
45
89
46
Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o37.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
40
46
25
Receptions o3.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
4
3
3
Emeka Egbuka

Emeka Egbuka

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o47.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
63
16
62
Receptions o4.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
5
3
5
Jordan Love

Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers · QB · last 2 games
Passing yards o266.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
387
145
MarShawn Lloyd

MarShawn Lloyd

Green Bay Packers · RB · last 2 games
Rushing yards o28.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
37
20
Christian Watson

Christian Watson

Green Bay Packers · WR · last 2 games
Receiving yards o94.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
147
41
Receptions o5.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
6
4
Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden

Green Bay Packers · WR · last 2 games
Receiving yards o76.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
95
58
Receptions o5.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
6
4

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24, Green Bay Packers 20: a projected total of 44 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
The AI consensus has Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning by 4 points (24–20).
Who are the quarterbacks in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): 679 passing yards (169.8 a game), 3 TD, 2 INT, rating 83. Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers): 1,958 passing yards (279.7 a game), 13 TD, 5 INT, rating 90.6.
Who is injured for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers have no one listed out or doubtful. Green Bay Packers have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers

80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 25.10 vs 22.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Tampa Bay Buccaneers win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

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