MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 4 Soldier Field, Chicago Finished

Chicago Bears
vs
New York Jets.

Quick answer

Who will win Chicago Bears vs New York Jets?

Final score: Chicago Bears 23–12 New York Jets. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Chicago Bears to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–17.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Chicago Bears (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–17 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Chicago Bears and New York Jets stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Chicago Bears win 100%

10 / 10 models

New York Jets win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Chicago Bears win
23–20
54%
With limited 2026 roster and form information, Chicago’s Soldier Field advantage provides the clearest edge. The recent 2022 meeting is too outdated to drive the pick, while a competitive, moderate-scoring game is most plausible.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Chicago Bears win
24–20
56%
Bears at home with Soldier Field edge and a young offense trending up; Jets remain inconsistent, making a close one-possession home win likely.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Chicago Bears win
23–20
58%
Chicago holds home-field advantage at Soldier Field. In an expected tight defensive battle, the Bears' offensive balance should narrowly edge out the Jets in a one-possession contest.
04
Grok 4.7
Chicago Bears win
24–17
56%
Week 4 at Soldier Field with little 2026 form available; home edge and a modest, one-score NFL pace over the Jets.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Chicago Bears win
24–20
58%
Soldier Field gives Chicago a modest edge, and the Jets' recent H2H blowout was under very different rosters. Expect a tight, lower-scoring game with the Bears winning late.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Chicago Bears win
24–17
58%
Bears at Soldier Field with home advantage; Jets historically inconsistent on the road. Moderate confidence given limited 2026 season form data.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Chicago Bears win
24–17
62%
Bears home advantage and recent form edge; Jets defense solid but Bears' balanced attack prevails.
08
Kimi K3
Chicago Bears win
24–20
57%
Limited 2026 form data, so lean on Soldier Field home edge and moderate confidence; H2H favors Chicago historically but rosters have changed significantly since 2022.
09
GLM 5.3
Chicago Bears win
24–17
58%
Soldier Field home edge and Bears' recent H2H home wins over the Jets offset New York's 2022 blowout; moderate confidence given thin 2026 form data.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Chicago Bears win
24–17
58%
Bears' home-field advantage at Soldier Field and recent defensive improvement give them a slight edge over a Jets team still finding offensive consistency.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 24–17. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 24–17
    5 models
  • 24–20
    3 models
  • 23–20
    2 models

NFL · Week 4

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Bears −7 41 Bears 100%
Quarterback matchup · season
Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams
Chicago Bears · QB
255 YDS/G 231.9
5 TD 10
1 INT 2
105.6 RATING 105.2
Geno Smith
Geno Smith
New York Jets · QB

Chicago Bears

5-2 · #2 NFC North
Home 3-1 · Road 2-1 · Division 0-2 · Streak W2 · Points 180–143
6 days of rest

New York Jets

2-5 · #3 AFC East
Home 1-2 · Road 1-3 · Division 0-2 · Streak L2 · Points 137–150
7 days of rest

Injury report

Chicago Bears 11 on injured reserve
  • Kyle Monangai
    Kyle MonangaiRB
    Toe
    Questionable
  • Jack Sanborn
    Jack SanbornLB
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • T.J. Edwards
    T.J. EdwardsLB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • MS
    Marlen SewellS
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
New York Jets 10 on injured reserve
  • Kene Nwangwu
    Kene NwangwuRB
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Breece Hall
    Breece HallRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • Joseph Ossai
    Joseph OssaiDE
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Max Mitchell
    Max Mitchell
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Dylan Parham
    Dylan ParhamG
    Knee
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Chicago Bears New York Jets
29.7 Points scored 21.3
17.7 Points allowed 20.3
408 Total yards 329
223.7 Passing yards 236.7
184.3 Rushing yards 92.3
1 Turnovers 0.3
48 Third-down % 37
50 Red-zone TD % 67
2.3 Sacks 2.7
34:30Time of possession35:00

Skill players · Chicago Bears

  • D'Andre Swift
    D'Andre SwiftRB
    476 rushing yards (68 a game, 4.1 a carry), 7 TD
  • Luther Burden III
    Luther Burden IIIWR
    35 catches, 491 receiving yards (70.1 a game), 2 TD
  • Rome Odunze
    Rome OdunzeWR
    24 catches, 381 receiving yards (54.4 a game), 0 TD

Skill players · New York Jets

  • Braelon Allen
    Braelon AllenRB
    418 rushing yards (59.7 a game, 4.6 a carry), 2 TD
  • Garrett Wilson
    Garrett WilsonWR
    37 catches, 444 receiving yards (63.4 a game), 3 TD
  • OJ
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR
    12 catches, 248 receiving yards (82.7 a game), 2 TD

Last ten games

Chicago Bears WLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
29.7 / 17.7
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
2/3
New York Jets LLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
21.3 / 20.3
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
1/3

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Caleb Williams by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Luther Burden III by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Rome Odunze by Bobak Ha'Eri (CC BY 3.0), Kyle Monangai by Maize & Blue Nation (CC BY 2.0), Max Mitchell by New York Jets (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Chicago Bears vs New York Jets

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears · QB · last 2 games
Passing yards o203.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
269
138
D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o84.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
124
45
84
Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III

Chicago Bears · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o52.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
63
32
61
Receptions o5.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
5
3
7
Rome Odunze

Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o46.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
52
43
44
Receptions o2.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
2
3
3
Geno Smith

Geno Smith

New York Jets · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o261.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
215
247
321
Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen

New York Jets · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o20.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
40
7
14
Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

New York Jets · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o81.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
79
57
107
Receptions o7.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
6
5
10

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Chicago Bears vs New York Jets: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Chicago Bears vs New York Jets?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Chicago Bears 24, New York Jets 17: a projected total of 41 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Chicago Bears vs New York Jets?
The AI consensus has Chicago Bears winning by 7 points (24–17).
Who are the quarterbacks in Chicago Bears vs New York Jets?
Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears): 1,020 passing yards (255 a game), 5 TD, 1 INT, rating 105.6. Geno Smith (New York Jets): 1,623 passing yards (231.9 a game), 10 TD, 2 INT, rating 105.2.
Who is injured for Chicago Bears vs New York Jets?
Chicago Bears have no one listed out or doubtful. New York Jets have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Chicago Bears

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.80 vs 18.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Chicago Bears vs New York Jets in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 17; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Chicago Bears win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Chicago Bears vs New York Jets, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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