EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
NFL · Regular Season · Week 4 Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas Finished

Las Vegas Raiders
vs
Kansas City Chiefs.

Quick answer

Who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Final score: Las Vegas Raiders 27–30 Kansas City Chiefs. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Kansas City Chiefs to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–25.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Kansas City Chiefs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–25 at 62% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Las Vegas Raiders win 0%

0 / 10 models

Kansas City Chiefs win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
62%
Kansas City’s sustained historical edge over Las Vegas remains meaningful, though the Raiders’ home-field advantage and their recent 14-12 win point toward a competitive, moderate-scoring rematch.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
60%
Mahomes-led Chiefs have dominated this series recently despite the Raiders' late 2025 win; Kansas City's experience edge should prevail in a close divisional-style road game.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Kansas City Chiefs win
20–26
68%
The Chiefs maintain a talent edge at quarterback and in offensive execution, allowing them to control pace and edge out a competitive division rivalry in Las Vegas.
04
Grok 4.7
Kansas City Chiefs win
17–24
58%
Chiefs still the more complete roster despite Raiders' low-scoring home H2H win in January; Week 4 at Allegiant should stay one-score with KC controlling the game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
62%
Chiefs' superior overall roster and recent 31-0 blowout signal control, though Raiders' home edge and last meeting's 14-12 upset keep this competitive.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
62%
Chiefs' superior roster depth and recent dominance in this division outweigh the Raiders' lone upset win; expect a controlled Kansas City road victory.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Kansas City Chiefs win
28–29
68%
Chiefs' recent dominance in series and higher offensive ceiling; Raiders' home edge not enough to overcome.
08
Kimi K3
Kansas City Chiefs win
17–27
68%
Chiefs dominated recent H2H including a 31-0 shutout last season; Raiders' January win likely reflects resting starters. Kansas City's superior roster and Allegiant's neutral-site atmosphere favor a comfortable road victory.
09
GLM 5.3
Kansas City Chiefs win
17–27
62%
Chiefs have won four of the last five H2H, including a 31-0 rout; despite the Raiders' narrow January upset at Allegiant, Kansas City's stronger roster and offense should prevail on the road.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
62%
Chiefs' recent H2H dominance and superior overall roster suggest they edge a close divisional game, despite Raiders' home venue advantage.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 24–25. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 24–25
    5 models
  • 17–27
    2 models
  • 28–29
    1 model
  • 17–24
    1 model
  • 20–26
    1 model

NFL · Week 4

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Chiefs −1 49 Chiefs 100%

Las Vegas Raiders

3-4 · #3 AFC West
Home 1-3 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-1 · Streak L4 · Points 183–197
7 days of rest

Kansas City Chiefs

5-1 · #1 AFC West
Home 3-0 · Road 2-1 · Division 3-0 · Streak L1 · Points 143–103
7 days of rest

Injury report

Las Vegas Raiders

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Kansas City Chiefs 9 on injured reserve
  • Rashee Rice
    Rashee RiceWR
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Jaylon Moore
    Jaylon MooreOT
    Concussion
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Las Vegas Raiders Kansas City Chiefs
29.3 Points scored 24
18 Points allowed 10
311.7 Total yards 334
211.7 Passing yards 246
100 Rushing yards 88
1.3 Turnovers 1
41 Third-down % 43
62 Red-zone TD % 60
3.3 Sacks 0
30:00Time of possession25:42

Skill players · Las Vegas Raiders

Skill players · Kansas City Chiefs

  • Kenneth Walker III
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB
    701 rushing yards (116.8 a game, 5.8 a carry), 6 TD
  • Travis Kelce
    Travis KelceTE
    24 catches, 343 receiving yards (57.2 a game), 2 TD
  • Tyquan Thornton
    Tyquan ThorntonWR
    11 catches, 219 receiving yards (54.8 a game), 2 TD

Last ten games

Las Vegas Raiders WWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
29.3 / 18
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
3/3
Kansas City Chiefs W
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
24 / 10
Total over 41.5
0/1
Total over 44.5
0/1
Total over 47.5
0/1
Won by 7+
1/1

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Rashee Rice by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Las Vegas Raiders 24, Kansas City Chiefs 25: a projected total of 49 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The AI consensus has Kansas City Chiefs winning by 1 points (25–24).
Who is injured for Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?
Las Vegas Raiders have no one listed out or doubtful. Kansas City Chiefs have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Kansas City Chiefs

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 62% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 21.90 vs 25.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 25; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Kansas City Chiefs win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.