JUV 2-0 REN · 59% ARA 1-2 AZA · 54% DIN 1-0 NEC · 55% FER 2-0 TOR · 64% LEC 1-1 SUN · 48% OFI 0-2 BAY · 62% UNI 2-0 HAP · 56% STU 0-1 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% INT 0-1 UNI · 52% FKJ 0-2 BRI · 59% KAU 0-2 BRA · 62% JUV 2-0 REN · 59% ARA 1-2 AZA · 54% DIN 1-0 NEC · 55% FER 2-0 TOR · 64% LEC 1-1 SUN · 48% OFI 0-2 BAY · 62% UNI 2-0 HAP · 56% STU 0-1 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% INT 0-1 UNI · 52% FKJ 0-2 BRI · 59% KAU 0-2 BRA · 62%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23 Oct 10, 2026 · 23:30 · UTC Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia Match Finished · 90'

Philadelphia Union
vs
Real Salt Lake.

Quick answer

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Final score: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Philadelphia Union to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Philadelphia Union form Real Salt Lake form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (568 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Philadelphia Union (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Philadelphia Union win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Real Salt Lake win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
52%
Philadelphia Union gain a meaningful home advantage at Talen Energy Stadium, while Real Salt Lake are capable of scoring in transition. With no form or roster data supplied, a narrow, moderately open home win is the cautious estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
48%
Late-season MLS fixture at Talen Energy Stadium; Union typically solid at home, but no strong H2H or form signal tips this decisively.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
50%
Philadelphia Union hold a reliable home record at Subaru Park, while Real Salt Lake often struggle defensively on long cross-conference road trips.
04
Grok 4.6
Philadelphia Union win
1–0
48%
Thin 2026 data and no H2H; Union’s usual compact home style at Talen Energy Stadium favors a narrow grind over an open 2-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Philadelphia Union win
1–0
46%
Philadelphia's home edge at Talen Energy Stadium and typically compact defense favor a narrow win; limited fixture data keeps confidence modest.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Philadelphia Union win
1–0
48%
Limited context available; Philadelphia Union's home advantage at Talen Energy Stadium gives them a slight edge in what projects as a tight, low-scoring affair.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Philadelphia Union win
1–0
58%
Union strong at Talen Energy; RSL inconsistent on road. Tight, low-scoring affair likely.
08
Kimi K3
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
52%
Philadelphia's home edge at Talen Energy Stadium and typically stronger Eastern Conference form give them the nod, though Real Salt Lake's counter-attacking threat keeps it tight.
09
GLM 5.3
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
50%
No H2H data available; Union's Talen Energy Stadium home advantage and MLS home-win base rates support a narrow home win in a likely open game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
58%
Philadelphia's home advantage at Talen Energy Stadium and league position likely make them slight favorites, but Real Salt Lake's attack suggests they'll grab a goal, leading to a narrow home win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    6 models
  • 1–0
    4 models

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2
W-D-L
13-7-10
Goals
61-48
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
5
Best win run
8
Penalties
7/8
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Real Salt Lake

3-4-3
W-D-L
10-6-14
Goals
45-48
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
6
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Philadelphia Union

  • M. Iloski 19 G · 2 A · 30 apps
  • F. Westfield 0 G · 8 A · 25 apps

Key players · Real Salt Lake

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 20
  3. 3 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  4. 4 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 18
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 17
Venue Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia
Referee Elijio Arreguin
New at Philadelphia Union M. Anderson (Brooklyn), K. Wagner (Birmingham), J. Riasco (Carabobo FC)
New at Real Salt Lake D. Zagar (IMT Novi Beograd), L. De Fougerolles (Fulham), T. Booth (Twente)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Philadelphia Union

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.60 vs 0.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Philadelphia Union win · AI Philadelphia Union win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Philadelphia Union
#6 · 46 PTS · GD +13
Last 5
D W W W W
15 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Charlotte 2-2 D
  • Chicago Fire 1-3 W
  • Real Salt Lake 2-1 W
  • Orlando City SC 4-2 W
  • Sporting Kansas City 3-4 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Real Salt Lake
#10 · 36 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
W D L W L
8 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sporting Kansas City 1-3 W
  • San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 D
  • Philadelphia Union 2-1 L
  • New England Revolution 3-0 W
  • Seattle Sounders 2-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

PHI 1 · D 0 · REA 0

PHI VS REA
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 10, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Philadelphia Union, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Philadelphia Union
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Real Salt Lake
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Philadelphia Union is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Philadelphia Union win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Philadelphia Union win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.