AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 23 Oct 24, 2026 · 23:30 · UTC Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia Not Started

Philadelphia Union
vs
New England Revolution.

Quick answer

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?

10 of 10 AI models pick Philadelphia Union to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 54% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Philadelphia Union form New England Revolution form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Philadelphia Union (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Philadelphia Union win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

New England Revolution win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
55%
Philadelphia have scored 61 goals and enter on a four-match unbeaten run, while Subaru Park favors them. New England's stronger season record and recent 2-1 head-to-head win make this a competitive, narrow home victory rather than a clear mismatch.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
51%
Union in strong form (WWWWD) with Iloski's 19 goals at home; Revolution dropped lately (WLLWW) but both sides score often, favoring a close home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
52%
Philadelphia are in strong form (WWWWD) with high-scoring output led by Iloski. At Subaru Park, their superior attack should edge a competitive New England side.
04
Grok 4.6
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
52%
Union unbeaten in five with Iloski’s 19 goals and Subaru Park edge; NE’s mixed last five and Union’s high season total favor a narrow home win over a draw.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
48%
Philadelphia are in strong form with five straight wins and home advantage, while New England have been inconsistent away. The Union's higher scoring output and H2H edge at Subaru Park support a narrow home win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
54%
Philadelphia's WWWWD form and Iloski's 19 goals give them edge at Subaru Park, where H2H is dominant; New England's quality keeps it close.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
62%
Union's strong home form (WWWWD) and Iloski's scoring edge outpace Revs' inconsistent road results. H2H leans Union at Subaru Park.
08
Kimi K3
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
56%
Union are WWWWD with the league's stronger attack (61 goals, Iloski 19) at Subaru Park; Revolution's WLLWW form is patchy but they score regularly, so a narrow home win.
09
GLM 5.3
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
55%
Union's hot form (WWWWD), strong home H2H record, and Iloski's 19 goals outweigh New England's better overall record; Revolution score late often, so a 2-1 home win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Philadelphia Union win
2–1
52%
Union's WWWWD form and Iloski's 19 goals give home edge despite Revs' better record; Subaru Park and H2H home wins support a narrow 2-1.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    10 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.50 / 4.50 / 5.25
Philadelphia Union Market 62% · AI 100%
Draw Market 20% · AI 0%
New England Revolution Market 18% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2 · XI v Charlotte, 17 Oct
Ryan Richter
10 M. Iloski
10 Iloski
9 B. Damiani
9 Damiani
19 I. Vassilev
19 Vassilev
4 J. Lukić
4 Lukić
21 D. Jean-Jacques
21 Jean-Jacques
6 Cavan  Sullivan
6 Sullivan
27 K. Wagner
27 Wagner
26 N. Harriel
26 Harriel
44 Neil Pierre
44 Pierre
39 F. Westfield
39 Westfield
18 A. Blake
18 Blake

New England Revolution

4-3-3 · XI v Chicago Fire, 17 Oct
M. Mićović
41 L. Langoni
41 Langoni
99 D. Turgeman
99 Turgeman
25 P. Miller
25 Miller
8 M. Polster
8 Polster
21 B. Raines
21 Raines
10 Carles Gil
10 Gil
Doubt
23 W. Sands
23 Sands
66 J. Wynder
66 Wynder
22 E. Kohler
22 Kohler
12 I. Feingold
12 Feingold
30 M. Turner
30 Turner

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Philadelphia Union

4-4-2
W-D-L
13-7-10
Goals
61-48
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
5
Best win run
8
Penalties
7/8
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

New England Revolution

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
16-4-10
Goals
49-41
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
7
Best win run
4
Penalties
6/7
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Philadelphia Union

  • M. Iloski 19 G · 2 A · 30 apps
  • F. Westfield 0 G · 8 A · 25 apps

Key players · New England Revolution

  • D. Turgeman 9 G · 7 A · 29 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 20
  3. 3 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  4. 4 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 18
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 17
Venue Talen Energy Stadium, Philadelphia
New at Philadelphia Union M. Anderson (Brooklyn), K. Wagner (Birmingham), J. Riasco (Carabobo FC)
New at New England Revolution J. Wynder (Benfica), D. Gazdag (Columbus Crew), T. Smith (QPR)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Philadelphia Union

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Philadelphia Union
#6 · 46 PTS · GD +13
Last 5
D W W W W
15 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Charlotte 2-2 D
  • Chicago Fire 1-3 W
  • Real Salt Lake 2-1 W
  • Orlando City SC 4-2 W
  • Sporting Kansas City 3-4 W
Team news
J. Bueno — Hamstring Injury
New England Revolution
#3 · 52 PTS · GD +8
Last 5
W W L L W
6 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Chicago Fire 1-0 W
  • FC Cincinnati 2-3 W
  • Seattle Sounders 0-3 L
  • Real Salt Lake 3-0 L
  • Chicago Fire 1-2 W
Team news
J. Harrison — Lower-Body Injury A. Yusuf — Muscle Injury L. Campana — Hamstring Injury M. Fofana — Lower-Body Injury W. Sands — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

PHI 4 · D 0 · NEW 1

NEW VS PHI
2-1
HOME WIN
May 9, 2026
PHI VS NEW
1-0
HOME WIN
Sep 20, 2025
NEW VS PHI
0-2
AWAY WIN
Mar 9, 2025
PHI VS NEW
5-1
HOME WIN
Jul 17, 2024
NEW VS PHI
0-3
AWAY WIN
May 18, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Philadelphia Union, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Philadelphia Union
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
New England Revolution
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Philadelphia Union is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Philadelphia Union win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Philadelphia Union win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.