MEX 2-1 SOU · 60% SOU 1-1 CZE · 56% CAN 1-0 BOS · 58% USA 1-0 PAR · 61% QAT 0-1 SWI · 60% BRA 2-1 MOR · 59% HAI 1-2 SCO · 61% AUS 1-1 TüR · 57% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61% MEX 2-1 SOU · 60% SOU 1-1 CZE · 56% CAN 1-0 BOS · 58% USA 1-0 PAR · 61% QAT 0-1 SWI · 60% BRA 2-1 MOR · 59% HAI 1-2 SCO · 61% AUS 1-1 TüR · 57% GER 4-0 CUR · 79% NET 2-1 JAP · 60% IVO 1-1 ECU · 57% SWE 1-0 TUN · 59% SPA 2-0 CAP · 72% BEL 2-1 EGY · 61%
Ligue 1 · Final May 17, 2026 · 19:00 · UTC Groupama Stadium, Lyon Match Finished · 90'

Lyon
vs
Lens.

10 AI models read this fixture. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Lyon win 30%

3 / 10 models

Draw 70%

7 / 10 models

Lens win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-4o
Draw
1–1
60%
Both teams have shown similar form recently; previous encounters suggest a balanced match, and the venue's influence is neutralized by Lens' strong away performances.
02
Claude Sonnet (Latest)
Lyon win
2–1
42%
Lyon's home advantage at Parc OL is a key factor; H2H shows goals in recent meetings (2-2 in March 2026) and Lyon won the reverse fixture 1-0, suggesting a narrow home win is plausible.
03
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
Draw
1–1
45%
Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with draws and narrow away wins. Given it's the final matchday, a cautious 1-1 draw seems plausible if both teams lack strong incentives.
04
Mistral Large 2512
Lyon win
1–0
60%
Lyon’s home form and Lens’s defensive struggles suggest a tight, low-scoring win; recent H2H shows narrow margins.
05
DeepSeek Chat (V3)
Draw
1–1
58%
Recent H2H draws and balanced form suggest a tight, low-scoring match.
06
Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct
Lyon win
2–1
60%
Lyon's home advantage and recent form suggest a narrow win, with Lens likely to score on the counter.
07
Llama 3.1 70B Instruct
Draw
1–1
58%
Recent H2H suggests closely contested matches; Lyon's home advantage is balanced by Lens's solid away form.
08
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Draw
1–1
55%
Recent H2H draw at this venue and competitive history between Lyon and Lens suggest a balanced match; with thin context, a draw is plausible.
09
Cohere Command R+ (08-2024)
Draw
1–1
52%
Tough to separate these sides, with Lens' strong attack up against a Lyon side that is hard to beat at home.
10
Grok 4.3
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H shows tight games; both teams likely to score at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 2–1
    2 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Lyon vs Lens in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 30% / 70% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Lyon vs Lens, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

70% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.20 vs 0.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match xG — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model
Result check

Actual Lens win · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Lyon
#4 · 60 PTS · GD +13
Last 5
L L W W W
10 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Lens 0-4 L
  • Toulouse 2-1 L
  • Rennes 4-2 W
  • Auxerre 3-2 W
  • Paris Saint Germain 1-2 W
Team news
Mahamadou Diawara — Injury Paul Akouokou — Injury M. Satriano — Leg Injury R. Ghezzal — Wound E. Nuamah — Knee injury O. Mangala — Knee injury Abner Vinicius — Groin Injury R. Descamps — Wrist Injury T. Morton — Red Card C. Tolisso — Red Card H. Hateboer — Inactive M. Fofana — Ankle Injury
Lens
#2 · 70 PTS · GD +31
Last 5
W W L W D
9 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Nice 3-1 W
  • Lyon 0-4 W
  • Paris Saint Germain 0-2 L
  • Nantes 1-0 W
  • Nice 1-1 D
Team news
Jonathan Gradit — Red card Suspended Jhoanner Stalin Chavez Quinter — Injured Doubtful Remy Labeau Lascary — Injured Doubtful Jhoanner Chavez — Ankle Injury D. Machado — Knee Injury A. Bermont — International duty F. Sylla — International duty J. Gradit — Red Card I. Ganiou — Red Card H. Ojediran — Inactive K. Antonio — Injury M. Guilavogui — Red Card
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

LYO 1 · D 2 · LEN 2

LYO VS LEN
0-4
AWAY WIN
May 17, 2026
LYO VS LEN
2-2
DRAW
Mar 5, 2026
LEN VS LYO
0-1
AWAY WIN
Aug 16, 2025
LYO VS LEN
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 4, 2025
LEN VS LYO
0-0
DRAW
Sep 15, 2024

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 30% of models side with Lyon, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 70% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Lyon
~30%
implied lean
Draw
~70%
implied lean
Lens
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Lyon is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

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Push alerts the moment models finalize.

Confidence bands, contrarian flags, late team-news re-runs. No upsells, no popups.