Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev prediction
Middleweight · 3 rounds · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:45 UTC
Jacob Malkoun
Abubakar Vagaev
10 of 10 AI models pick Jacob Malkoun by Decision.
How the AIs see it ending
- KO/TKO0
- Submission0
- Decision10
Average stated confidence: 58%
AI vs the bookmakers
- Jacob Malkoun
- 100% AI · 41% books
- Abubakar Vagaev
- 0% AI · 59% books
Books: average of 6 bookmakers, margin removed. The AIs never see these prices.
Ask your own question
Goes the distance? Finish in round 1? All 10 AIs answer side by side.
Ask 10 AIsEvery AI's pick
GPT-5.6 Luna
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 56%
Malkoun has the more established UFC middleweight experience and recent wins over Meerschaert and Finney, while Vagaev is moving up from welterweight. Both are coming off decisions and made weight, favoring a competitive decision for Malkoun.
Claude Sonnet 5
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 58%
Malkoun has proven UFC-level wins over Meerschaert and Finney, while Vagaev is just moving up from welterweight with limited middleweight experience.
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 58%
Malkoun is the natural middleweight with relentless chain wrestling and cardio, which should give him the edge against Vagaev moving up from welterweight.
Grok 4.6
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 58%
Malkoun's size and grinding wrestling control at 185 give him the edge over Vagaev, who is moving up from welterweight with limited UFC time.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 62%
Malkoun has a strong wrestling base and better UFC experience at middleweight, while Vagaev is moving up from welterweight and may struggle with the size and pace.
Qwen 3.8 Max
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 62%
Malkoun has more UFC experience at middleweight and higher activity; Vagaev is still adjusting after moving up from welterweight with only one UFC fight.
Mistral Medium 3.5
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 60%
Malkoun's recent form and middleweight experience edge over Vagaev's welterweight move-up.
Kimi K3
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 60%
Malkoun has proven UFC-level wrestling and cardio with recent decision wins over Meerschaert and Finney, while Vagaev is moving up from welterweight for only his second UFC bout.
GLM 5.3
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 55%
Malkoun's size and relentless top-control wrestling should neutralize the smaller Vagaev, recently up from welterweight, over three rounds; both are decision-heavy fighters, so points favor Malkoun.
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Jacob Malkoun by Decision · 55%
Malkoun is a proven UFC-level wrestler with more experience at 185 and strong control-based game; Vagaev is only second UFC fight moving up from welterweight. Likely grind to decision.
Jacob Malkoun: last fights
- Wvs Gerald MeerschaertPoints R3 · May 2026
- Wvs Torrez FinneyPoints R3 · Feb 2026
Abubakar Vagaev: last fights
- Wvs Saygid IzagakhmaevPoints R3 · Jul 2026
FAQ
Who will win Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev?
10 of 10 AI models pick Jacob Malkoun by Decision. Bookmakers make Abubakar Vagaev the favourite at 59%.
How will Jacob Malkoun vs Abubakar Vagaev end?
The AI models' method picks: 10 Decision.
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