Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele prediction
Lightweight · 3 rounds · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC
Noah Gugnon
Kody Steele
6 of 10 AI models pick Noah Gugnon by Decision.
How the AIs see it ending
- KO/TKO0
- Submission3
- Decision7
Average stated confidence: 57%
AI vs the bookmakers
- Noah Gugnon
- 60% AI · 42% books
- Kody Steele
- 40% AI · 58% books
Books: average of 6 bookmakers, margin removed. The AIs never see these prices.
Ask your own question
Goes the distance? Finish in round 1? All 10 AIs answer side by side.
Ask 10 AIsEvery AI's pick
GPT-5.6 Luna
Noah Gugnon by Decision · 52%
Gugnon has momentum from a recent UFC debut submission, while Steele brings a strong 8-1 record but some uncertainty from his injury withdrawal. With limited matchup data and both proven finishers, a competitive decision is most likely.
Claude Sonnet 5
Noah Gugnon by Submission, round 1 · 56%
Gugnon's unbeaten UFC run with first-round submission finish and younger momentum edges Steele, who returns from injury layoff and has shown vulnerability via decision loss.
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Kody Steele by Decision · 58%
Steele brings an elite grappling pedigree and explosive wrestling that should allow him to neutralize Gugnon's submission threats and control top position across three rounds.
Grok 4.6
Noah Gugnon by Decision · 55%
Gugnon's fresher UFC debut sub win and Steele's August injury withdrawal/layoff give the activity and momentum edge in a close prospect matchup.
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Kody Steele by Decision · 58%
Steele has more UFC experience and a wrestling base, while Gugnon is a submission threat but untested beyond his debut. Steele's durability and control should edge a close fight.
Qwen 3.8 Max
Noah Gugnon by Decision · 55%
Gugnon enters with momentum off a dominant UFC debut submission and no injury concerns, while Steele returns from an injury layoff that disrupted his camp.
Mistral Medium 3.5
Noah Gugnon by Submission, round 1 · 70%
Gugnon has a recent first-round submission win and better momentum; Steele's injury layoff and inconsistent UFC record hurt his chances.
Kimi K3
Noah Gugnon by Submission, round 1 · 58%
Gugnon has the cleaner recent form with a first-round submission in his UFC debut, while Steele is returning from an August injury withdrawal; slight grappling edge to Gugnon in a close fight.
GLM 5.3
Kody Steele by Decision · 55%
Steele's superior wrestling and UFC experience edge out Gugnon, though Steele's injury withdrawal and layoff keep this close; expect a grappling-heavy decision.
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Kody Steele by Decision · 55%
Steele's stronger wrestling base and more UFC experience edge a close fight, but Gugnon's submission threat and Steele's recent injury layoff keep it competitive.
Noah Gugnon: last fights
- Wvs Milos JanicicSUB R1 · Aug 2026
Kody Steele: last fights
- Wvs Dom Mar FanSUB R1 · May 2026
- Lvs RongzhuPoints R3 · Feb 2025
FAQ
Who will win Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele?
6 of 10 AI models pick Noah Gugnon by Decision. Bookmakers make Kody Steele the favourite at 58%.
How will Noah Gugnon vs Kody Steele end?
The AI models' method picks: 7 Decision, 3 Submission.
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