AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% ALA 1-0 MAL · 60% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% ALA 1-0 MAL · 60%

Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski prediction

Featherweight · 5 rounds · Saturday 24 October 2026, 20:35 UTC

MEMovsar Evloev

Movsar Evloev

19-0-0

VS
AVAlexander Volkanovski

Alexander Volkanovski

28-4-0 · "The Great"

1 AIs9 AIs

9 of 10 AI models pick Alexander Volkanovski by Decision.

How the AIs see it ending

  • KO/TKO0
  • Submission0
  • Decision10

Average stated confidence: 59%

AI vs the bookmakers

Movsar Evloev
10% AI · 51% books
Alexander Volkanovski
90% AI · 49% books

Books: average of 6 bookmakers, margin removed. The AIs never see these prices.

Ask your own question

Goes the distance? Finish in round 1? All 10 AIs answer side by side.

Ask 10 AIs

Every AI's pick

GPT-5.6 Luna

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 55%

Volkanovski has the higher finishing rate, elite five-round experience, and recent form, while Evloev’s undefeated wrestling creates a difficult stylistic matchup likely to produce extended control exchanges and a close decision.

Claude Sonnet 5

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 58%

Volkanovski's elite championship rounds experience, power, and durability edge Evloev's unbeaten but largely untested top-level wrestling-heavy, finish-less resume.

Gemini 3.8 Flash

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 58%

Volkanovski's championship-level takedown defense, striking volume, and five-round experience give him the edge to neutralize Evloev's relentless chain wrestling and win a close decision.

Grok 4.6

Movsar Evloev by Decision · 58%

Evloev's elite wrestling and undefeated record give him control against aging Volkanovski, whose power is offset by recent decision wins and KO vulnerability.

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 62%

Volkanovski's superior striking volume, championship experience, and proven takedown defense against elite wrestlers should allow him to outpoint Evloev over five rounds.

Qwen 3.8 Max

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 55%

Volkanovski's elite takedown defense and championship experience give him a slight edge over Evloev's wrestling; expect a close five-round battle decided on the feet.

Mistral Medium 3.5

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 70%

Volkanovski's elite striking, fight IQ, and championship experience edge Evloev's wrestling and undefeated record.

Kimi K3

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 60%

Volkanovski's championship experience, elite cardio, and proven five-round decision wins over top contenders give him the edge; Evloev's wrestling is strong but he rarely finishes, so Volkanovski outpoints him over five.

GLM 5.3

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 55%

Volkanovski's championship experience, superior striking craft and five-round pedigree edge out Evloev's wrestling; Evloev's lack of finishing threat means points likely decide it.

MiMo V2.6 Pro

Alexander Volkanovski by Decision · 58%

Volkanovski's championship experience, footwork and takedown defense should neutralize Evloev's wrestling over five rounds; Evloev rarely finishes, so a Volk decision is likeliest in a close, competitive fight.

Tale of the tape

Movsar EvloevAlexander Volkanovski
19-0-0Record28-4-0
3KO/TKO wins13
4Submission wins3
0Lost by KO/TKO3
5' 7'Height5' 6'
72.5'Reach71.5'
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
American TopTeamCity Kickboxing

Movsar Evloev: last fights

  • Wvs Lerone MurphyM Dec R5 · Mar 2026

Alexander Volkanovski: last fights

  • Wvs Diego LopesPoints R5 · Feb 2026
  • Wvs Diego LopesPoints R5 · Apr 2025

FAQ

Who will win Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski?

9 of 10 AI models pick Alexander Volkanovski by Decision. Bookmakers make Movsar Evloev the favourite at 51%.

How will Movsar Evloev vs Alexander Volkanovski end?

The AI models' method picks: 10 Decision.

← All UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev picks · AI UFC record

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