Stephon Castle
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 3 games
NBA · Regular Season
Oct 17, 2026 · 00:00
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio
Finished
San Antonio Spurs
vs
Sacramento Kings.
Quick answer
Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings?
Final score: San Antonio Spurs 126–97 Sacramento Kings. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick San Antonio Spurs to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–112.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward San Antonio Spurs (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
San Antonio Spurs win
90%
9 / 10 models
Sacramento Kings win
10%
1 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: San Antonio Spurs win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
San Antonio Spurs win
119–113
59%
San Antonio won the last three listed meetings and hosts this preseason matchup. Sacramento’s pace should keep scoring high, but the Spurs’ recent head-to-head edge and home court support a modest home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
San Antonio Spurs win
114–107
52%
Preseason rosters and rotations limit reliability, but Spurs have won recent head-to-head meetings and hold home-court at Frost Bank Center.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
San Antonio Spurs win
115–110
58%
San Antonio has controlled recent head-to-head encounters, and home court provides a solid edge in preseason rotation play against an offensive-minded Sacramento squad.
04
Grok 4.6
San Antonio Spurs win
119–111
58%
Spurs won the last two H2H meetings by wide margins; home preseason at Frost Bank Center supports San Antonio in a high-teens scoring game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
116–109
58%
Spurs won three of last four H2H meetings, including two at Frost Bank Center, and preseason home continuity helps their pace. Kings' scoring is solid but defense has been leaky in this matchup.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
San Antonio Spurs win
110–105
48%
Preseason game limits reliability; Spurs' recent H2H dominance and home venue give slight edge, but rotations and low intensity make this nearly a coin flip.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Sacramento Kings win
115–116
60%
Kings' recent form and pace edge; Spurs' defense remains inconsistent.
08
Kimi K3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
Preseason game at Frost Bank Center; Spurs won the last three H2H meetings including two blowouts, and their young core should play more minutes at home, but preseason rotations keep confidence moderate.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
113–106
52%
Preseason opener means heavy rotation and low certainty; Spurs won the last three meetings and host at Frost Bank Center, giving a modest home edge.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
Recent H2H shows Spurs' offensive dominance at home; preseason context adds uncertainty, but venue and recent scoring patterns favor San Antonio.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–112
2 models
-
119–113
1 model
-
114–107
1 model
-
115–116
1 model
-
116–109
1 model
-
110–105
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Spurs −6
AI total
230
Models picking
90%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 3 games
Stephon Castle
San Antonio Spurs · G
15
PTS
13
5
REB
8.3
3.7
AST
2.7
21
MIN
24
JM
Sacramento Kings · F
Jonathan Mogbo
Sacramento Kings · F
San Antonio Spurs
0-1 · #10 Western Home 0-1 · Away 0-0 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Sacramento Kings
0-1 · #14 Western Home 0-0 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
3 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
MR
M. Raynaud Kings · C24 min · 12.5 pts a game before
-
Zach LaVine Kings · G23 min · 11 pts a game before
Season averages per game
San Antonio Spurs
Sacramento Kings
112.7
Points
101.7
43.4%
Field goal %
41.4%
33.9%
3-point %
28.3%
80.7%
Free throw %
67.6%
49.2
Rebounds
44.7
24.7
Assists
22.2
19.8
Turnovers
19.8
8.5
Steals
12.5
7.2
Blocks
2.3
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Spurs | Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 105.3 | 94.8 |
| Defensive rating | 102.1 | 107.7 |
| Net rating | +3.1 | -12.9 |
| Pace | 107 | 107.2 |
| Effective FG % | 50.9 | 46.3 |
| Turnover % | 18.5 | 18.5 |
| Free throw rate | 32.4 | 35.3 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 44.7 | 34.4 |
Key players · San Antonio Spurs
-
Stephon CastleG 15 pts · 5 reb · 3.7 ast
-
Victor WembanyamaF 13.7 pts · 5.7 reb · 3.3 ast -
DH
D. HarperG 13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 3 ast
Averages over the last 3 games.
Key players · Sacramento Kings
-
JM
Jonathan MogboF 13 pts · 8.3 reb · 2.7 ast
-
MR
M. RaynaudC 11.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.7 ast
-
Zach LaVineG 10.3 pts · 1 reb · 2 ast
Averages over the last 3 games.
Last ten games
San Antonio Spurs
WLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 112.3 / 109.3
- Total over 220.5
- 2/3
- Total over 230.5
- 1/3
- Scored 110+
- 2/3
- Won by 6+
- 1/3
Sacramento Kings
LLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 104.3 / 115.5
- Total over 220.5
- 2/4
- Total over 230.5
- 0/4
- Scored 110+
- 1/4
- Won by 6+
- 0/4
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0), Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), Zach LaVine by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F · last 3 games
D. Harper
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 3 games
Jonathan Mogbo
Sacramento Kings · F · last 3 games
M. Raynaud
Sacramento Kings · C · last 3 games
Zach LaVine
Sacramento Kings · G · last 3 games
Points o10.5
2/3 · 67%
Ask AI
9
11
11
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is San Antonio Spurs 118, Sacramento Kings 112: a projected total of 230 points. San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 3; Sacramento Kings games went over 230.5 in 0 of the last 4.
- What is the AI spread pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings?
- The consensus has San Antonio Spurs winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings?
- Leading scorers over the last 3 games. San Antonio Spurs: Stephon Castle (15 pts, 5 reb, 3.7 ast), Victor Wembanyama (13.7 pts, 5.7 reb, 3.3 ast). Sacramento Kings: Jonathan Mogbo (13 pts, 8.3 reb, 2.7 ast), M. Raynaud (11.7 pts, 7.7 reb, 1.7 ast).
- Is San Antonio Spurs or Sacramento Kings on a back-to-back?
- San Antonio Spurs have had 2 days of rest; Sacramento Kings have had 3 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors San Antonio Spurs
90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 115.70 vs 110.10
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Antonio Spurs win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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