Brandin Podziemski
Golden State Warriors · G · last 4 games
NBA · Regular Season
Oct 17, 2026 · 02:00
Chase Center, San Francisco
Finished
Golden State Warriors
vs
Portland Trail Blazers.
Quick answer
Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?
Final score: Golden State Warriors 128–118 Portland Trail Blazers. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Golden State Warriors to win (80%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–112.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Golden State Warriors (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Golden State Warriors win
80%
8 / 10 models
Portland Trail Blazers win
20%
2 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Golden State Warriors win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Golden State Warriors win
116–111
55%
Golden State has home-court advantage and previously beat Portland comfortably in San Francisco, while the recent Portland win suggests a competitive preseason matchup. Expect an up-tempo game with moderate uncertainty from preseason rotations.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Golden State Warriors win
114–108
52%
Preseason game with rotating lineups limits confidence; Warriors get slight home-court edge despite recent H2H losses to Portland.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Golden State Warriors win
115–110
58%
Golden State looks to avenge their recent preseason loss at Chase Center with sharper perimeter execution and deeper bench minutes.
04
Grok 4.6
Golden State Warriors win
118–112
52%
Preseason at Chase Center; Warriors’ prior home win over Portland and venue edge outweigh recent H2H losses, but rotations keep the margin modest.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Golden State Warriors win
118–112
58%
Warriors at Chase Center with better recent home form; Portland won last meeting but preseason rotations favor Golden State's depth.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Portland Trail Blazers win
119–120
48%
Portland has won 4 of last 5 H2H including a preseason win 9 days ago; preseason unpredictability keeps confidence low despite recent dominance.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–119
60%
Recent H2H favors Portland; Warriors' preseason form unclear. Blazers' offense edges out at Chase Center.
08
Kimi K3
Golden State Warriors win
118–112
56%
Preseason rematch after Portland's 123-118 win; Warriors at Chase Center with rotation continuity should edge a high-tempo, loose defensive game.
09
GLM 5.3
Golden State Warriors win
118–112
52%
Preseason opener at Chase Center; Portland won the recent preseason meeting, but home rotation depth and venue edge give Golden State a slight lean in an otherwise even matchup.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Golden State Warriors win
115–110
55%
Preseason with recent H2H favoring Portland, but home venue gives Golden State a slight edge. High-scoring game expected from past meetings.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
4 of 10 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–112
4 models
-
115–110
2 models
-
116–111
1 model
-
114–108
1 model
-
118–119
1 model
-
119–120
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Warriors −6
AI total
230
Models picking
80%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 2 games
BP
Golden State Warriors · G
Brandin Podziemski
Golden State Warriors · G
13.5
PTS
24.5
4
REB
5.5
2.3
AST
3
22
MIN
23
Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers · F
Golden State Warriors
0-1 · #13 Western Home 0-0 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 0-1 · Streak L1
3 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Portland Trail Blazers
1-0 · #1 Western Home 1-0 · Away 0-0 · Last ten 1-0 · Streak W1
3 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Golden State Warriors
Portland Trail Blazers
112.6
Points
118.8
44.9%
Field goal %
47.1%
34.5%
3-point %
34.9%
75.1%
Free throw %
78.3%
42.4
Rebounds
51.3
26.4
Assists
29.3
19.1
Turnovers
17.8
13
Steals
9
4.6
Blocks
6
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Warriors | Blazers | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 106.3 | 113.5 |
| Defensive rating | 98.2 | 103.2 |
| Net rating | +8.1 | +10.3 |
| Pace | 105.9 | 104.6 |
| Effective FG % | 52.6 | 55.5 |
| Turnover % | 18.1 | 17 |
| Free throw rate | 34 | 25.3 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 44.3 | 48.2 |
Key players · Golden State Warriors
-
BP
Brandin PodziemskiG 13.5 pts · 4 reb · 2.3 ast
-
Brandon WilliamsG 12.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.2 ast -
Stephen CurryG 11.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.8 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Key players · Portland Trail Blazers
-
Deni AvdijaF 24.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 3 ast
-
Damian LillardG 14.5 pts · 2 reb · 2.5 ast -
Ja MorantG 11 pts · 2 reb · 5.5 ast
Averages over the last 2 games.
Last ten games
Golden State Warriors
WWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 111 / 104
- Total over 220.5
- 2/5
- Total over 230.5
- 1/5
- Scored 110+
- 3/5
- Won by 6+
- 2/5
Portland Trail Blazers
WW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 116.5 / 108
- Total over 220.5
- 1/2
- Total over 230.5
- 1/2
- Scored 110+
- 2/2
- Won by 6+
- 1/2
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Brandon Williams by Sgt. Nataja Ford (Public domain), Stephen Curry by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), Deni Avdija by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 2.0), Damian Lillard by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Ja Morant by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Brandon Williams
Golden State Warriors · G · last 5 games
Stephen Curry
Golden State Warriors · G · last 4 games
Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers · F · last 2 games
Damian Lillard
Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 2 games
Ja Morant
Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 2 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Golden State Warriors 118, Portland Trail Blazers 112: a projected total of 230 points. Golden State Warriors games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 5; Portland Trail Blazers games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 2.
- What is the AI spread pick for Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?
- The consensus has Golden State Warriors winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers?
- Leading scorers over the last 2 games. Golden State Warriors: Brandin Podziemski (13.5 pts, 4 reb, 2.3 ast), Brandon Williams (12.6 pts, 1.4 reb, 2.2 ast). Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija (24.5 pts, 5.5 reb, 3 ast), Damian Lillard (14.5 pts, 2 reb, 2.5 ast).
- Is Golden State Warriors or Portland Trail Blazers on a back-to-back?
- Golden State Warriors have had 3 days of rest; Portland Trail Blazers have had 3 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Golden State Warriors
80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 116.90 vs 112.60
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Golden State Warriors win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.