Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F · last 7 games
NBA · Regular Season
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio
Finished
San Antonio Spurs
vs
Dallas Mavericks.
Quick answer
Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?
Final score: San Antonio Spurs 112–111 Dallas Mavericks. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick San Antonio Spurs to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–110.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 66% of the time (74 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward San Antonio Spurs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–110 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
San Antonio Spurs win
100%
10 / 10 models
Dallas Mavericks win
0%
0 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: San Antonio Spurs win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
San Antonio Spurs win
115–111
58%
San Antonio has won the last five meetings, including a 122-106 result recently, and owns the stronger defensive profile. Dallas has efficient scoring through Cooper Flagg but enters with a weaker defense and a recent loss.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
San Antonio Spurs win
114–109
58%
Spurs won the recent meeting convincingly, Wembanyama anchors a strong defensive edge, and Dallas is missing Marshall's scoring off the bench.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
San Antonio has controlled recent head-to-head encounters, including a road win against Dallas ten days ago. Wembanyama's rim protection and home-court advantage should counter Dallas's offense.
04
Grok 4.7
San Antonio Spurs win
116–110
58%
Spurs own recent H2H and a better defensive rating at home; similar 1-2 records and rest, with Wembanyama versus Dallas missing Marshall.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
117–110
58%
San Antonio has won the last three H2H meetings, including one this season, and Dallas allows 116 points per game. Spurs' home venue and Wembanyama's interior presence support a narrow win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
San Antonio Spurs win
116–109
62%
Spurs dominate H2H (5 straight wins), superior defense (105.3 vs 110.7 per 100), home court, and Dallas missing Marshall. Early-season small sample tempers confidence.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–110
62%
Spurs won last five H2H including 122-106 in Dallas; W3 streak, elite 103.7 defense and Wembanyama form at Frost Bank Center.
08
Kimi K3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–110
62%
Spurs have won five straight H2H meetings, all by double digits, including 122-106 this season; home court plus a clearly better defense (105.3 vs 110.7 per 100) edges out Flagg and Kyrie's scoring.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
114–108
58%
Spurs have won five straight H2H meetings including this season, and Wembanyama's home rim protection troubles Dallas. Flagg's scoring keeps it close; Marshall's absence hurts Dallas depth.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
116–111
62%
Spurs have won five straight over Dallas and just beat them 122-106, with Wembanyama, Harper and Castle all scoring well; Dallas's defense allows 110.7 per 100 and Marshall is out. Equal rest, so home court tips it.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 118–110. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–110
2 models
-
115–111
1 model
-
114–109
1 model
-
117–110
1 model
-
116–109
1 model
-
116–111
1 model
Live game centre
FinalSan Antonio Spurs
112–111
Dallas Mavericks| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 32 | 36 | 22 | 22 | 112 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 26 | 25 | 29 | 31 | 111 |
32
26
36
25
22
29
22
31
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Spurs −8
AI total
228
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 4 games
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F
28.6
PTS
26.3
9.8
REB
6
3.6
AST
7.8
31
MIN
38
CF
Dallas Mavericks · F
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F
San Antonio Spurs
2 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Dallas Mavericks
2 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Kyrie Irving Mavericks · G32 min · 22.7 pts a game before
Season averages per game
San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
116.3
Points
113
45.6%
Field goal %
46.6%
35%
3-point %
32.9%
79.2%
Free throw %
78.6%
48.1
Rebounds
42.7
26.6
Assists
26.7
16.6
Turnovers
17.8
8.8
Steals
9.4
6.8
Blocks
6.3
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Spurs | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 110 | 109.5 |
| Defensive rating | 102.4 | 108.8 |
| Net rating | +7.5 | +0.7 |
| Pace | 105.7 | 103.2 |
| Effective FG % | 52.9 | 54 |
| Turnover % | 15.7 | 17.3 |
| Free throw rate | 28.8 | 27.3 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 41.4 | 44.6 |
Key players · San Antonio Spurs
-
Victor WembanyamaF 28.6 pts · 9.8 reb · 3.6 ast
-
DH
D. HarperG 18 pts · 6 reb · 6 ast
-
De'Aaron FoxG 15.6 pts · 4 reb · 5.8 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Key players · Dallas Mavericks
-
CF
C. FlaggF 26.3 pts · 6 reb · 7.8 ast
-
Kyrie IrvingG 22.7 pts · 4 reb · 6.3 ast
-
Daniel GaffordF 13 pts · 8.6 reb · 1.8 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Last ten games
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 117.6 / 108.3
- Total over 220.5
- 5/7
- Total over 230.5
- 2/7
- Scored 110+
- 6/7
- Won by 6+
- 5/7
Dallas Mavericks
LWWWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 112.3 / 112.3
- Total over 220.5
- 5/7
- Total over 230.5
- 1/7
- Scored 110+
- 5/7
- Won by 6+
- 2/7
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), De'Aaron Fox by NewishIdeas (CC BY-SA 4.0), Kyrie Irving by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Daniel Gafford by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
D. Harper
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 7 games
De'Aaron Fox
San Antonio Spurs · G · last 7 games
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 6 games
Kyrie Irving
Dallas Mavericks · G · last 5 games
P.J. Washington
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 7 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is San Antonio Spurs 118, Dallas Mavericks 110: a projected total of 228 points. San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 7; Dallas Mavericks games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 7.
- What is the AI spread pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?
- The consensus has San Antonio Spurs winning by 8 points (118–110), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?
- Leading scorers over the last 4 games. San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (28.6 pts, 9.8 reb, 3.6 ast), D. Harper (18 pts, 6 reb, 6 ast). Dallas Mavericks: C. Flagg (26.3 pts, 6 reb, 7.8 ast), Kyrie Irving (22.7 pts, 4 reb, 6.3 ast).
- Is San Antonio Spurs or Dallas Mavericks on a back-to-back?
- San Antonio Spurs have had 2 days of rest; Dallas Mavericks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors San Antonio Spurs
100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 116.20 vs 110.00
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 110; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Antonio Spurs win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.