Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder · G · last 8 games
NBA · Regular Season
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Finished
Oklahoma City Thunder
vs
Cleveland Cavaliers.
Quick answer
Who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?
Final score: Oklahoma City Thunder 124–116 Cleveland Cavaliers. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Oklahoma City Thunder to win (80%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 116–110.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Oklahoma City Thunder (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 116–110 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Oklahoma City Thunder win
80%
8 / 10 models
Cleveland Cavaliers win
20%
2 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Oklahoma City Thunder win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Oklahoma City Thunder win
114–110
58%
Oklahoma City’s stronger recent defense, 2-0 start, home court, and favorable recent head-to-head support a narrow win. Cleveland’s higher offensive output and both teams’ rest point toward a competitive, moderately high-scoring game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Oklahoma City Thunder win
118–111
61%
Thunder are undefeated at home with strong defense, though Cleveland's porous defense (111 allowed/100) and Mitchell/Mobley scoring keep this competitive.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Oklahoma City Thunder win
116–110
62%
Oklahoma City's elite defensive rating (97.7) and strong recent home form provide the edge against Cleveland's high-turnover offense, despite both teams entering well-rested.
04
Grok 4.7
Oklahoma City Thunder win
114–108
58%
OKC home elite D (97.7/100) and H2H wins; Cavs leak points. Modest edge as Holmgren and Williams missed last game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Oklahoma City Thunder win
112–106
58%
Thunder are 5-0 in last five and have won three straight H2H, but key regulars may miss; Cavs' high pace and scoring keep it close. Home edge and better recent defense tip it.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Cleveland Cavaliers win
115–116
53%
OKC missing Holmgren, J-Will, and Wallace weakens their elite defense; Cleveland's Mitchell-Mobley-Harden trio should exploit that, though home court keeps it close.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Cleveland Cavaliers win
113–119
57%
Cleveland's three-game win streak and 117-point attack with Mitchell-Harden form outweigh depleted Oklahoma City missing Williams, Holmgren, Caruso despite past H2H dominance at Paycom.
08
Kimi K3
Oklahoma City Thunder win
116–110
62%
Thunder's elite defense (97.7 per 100) and 4-1 H2H edge vs Cavs' leaky defense (111 per 100) favor OKC at home, though Holmgren/Williams availability uncertainty caps confidence.
09
GLM 5.3
Oklahoma City Thunder win
116–110
58%
OKC is 2-0 with elite defense (97.7 per 100) and beat Cleveland in three straight H2H meetings; Cavs' offense is potent but their defense is weak. Holmgren/Williams injury uncertainty keeps confidence moderate.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Oklahoma City Thunder win
112–108
58%
OKC's defense (97.7 per 100) and 5-game win streak offset Cleveland's scoring edge; Donovan Mitchell's 26.7 ppg form keeps it close, but Paycom Center and OKC's H2H edge decide it.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
3 of 8 models settled on 116–110. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
116–110
3 models
-
113–119
1 model
-
114–110
1 model
-
118–111
1 model
-
112–106
1 model
-
115–116
1 model
Live game centre
FinalOklahoma City Thunder
124–116
Cleveland Cavaliers| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 37 | 23 | 28 | 36 | 124 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 20 | 24 | 30 | 42 | 116 |
37
20
23
24
28
30
36
42
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Thunder −6
AI total
226
Models picking
80%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 5 games
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Oklahoma City Thunder · G
30
PTS
19.8
4.6
REB
4.4
4.2
AST
6.2
33
MIN
32
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers · G
Oklahoma City Thunder
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Cleveland Cavaliers
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Peyton Watson Cavaliers · G27 min · 11.5 pts a game before -
Jaylon Tyson Cavaliers · G21 min · 9 pts a game before
Season averages per game
Oklahoma City Thunder
Cleveland Cavaliers
109.9
Points
118.4
45%
Field goal %
46.3%
34.1%
3-point %
36.6%
80.5%
Free throw %
77.1%
45.9
Rebounds
46
23.3
Assists
27.2
15.1
Turnovers
14.2
7.5
Steals
8
6.2
Blocks
6
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Thunder | Cavaliers | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 105.9 | 112.4 |
| Defensive rating | 104.4 | 110.2 |
| Net rating | +1.6 | +2.1 |
| Pace | 103.8 | 105.3 |
| Effective FG % | 51.5 | 54.5 |
| Turnover % | 14.5 | 13.5 |
| Free throw rate | 24.2 | 28 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 38.3 | 44.6 |
Key players · Oklahoma City Thunder
-
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG 30 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.2 ast
-
Ajay MitchellG 20.6 pts · 4 reb · 3.6 ast -
Isaiah HartensteinC 10.4 pts · 12 reb · 2.2 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Key players · Cleveland Cavaliers
-
Donovan MitchellG 19.8 pts · 4.4 reb · 6.2 ast
-
Evan MobleyC 19.2 pts · 7.6 reb · 3.8 ast -
James HardenG 17.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 6.4 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Last ten games
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 108.8 / 108.3
- Total over 220.5
- 3/8
- Total over 230.5
- 1/8
- Scored 110+
- 4/8
- Won by 6+
- 4/8
Cleveland Cavaliers
LWLWWWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 119.7 / 116.1
- Total over 220.5
- 6/7
- Total over 230.5
- 4/7
- Scored 110+
- 6/7
- Won by 6+
- 2/7
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0), Ajay Mitchell by Daiei Onoguchi (CC BY 4.0), Isaiah Hartenstein by Daiei Onoguchi (CC BY 4.0), Donovan Mitchell by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Evan Mobley by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), James Harden by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Jalen Williams by Daiei Onoguchi (CC BY 4.0), Peyton Watson by Jeff Ruane (CC BY 4.0), Jaylon Tyson by 2C2K Photography (CC BY-SA 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Ajay Mitchell
Oklahoma City Thunder · G · last 7 games
Jalen Williams
Oklahoma City Thunder · G · last 4 games
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers · G · last 7 games
Evan Mobley
Cleveland Cavaliers · C · last 7 games
James Harden
Cleveland Cavaliers · G · last 7 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Oklahoma City Thunder 116, Cleveland Cavaliers 110: a projected total of 226 points. Oklahoma City Thunder games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 8; Cleveland Cavaliers games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 7.
- What is the AI spread pick for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?
- The consensus has Oklahoma City Thunder winning by 6 points (116–110), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers?
- Leading scorers over the last 5 games. Oklahoma City Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (30 pts, 4.6 reb, 4.2 ast), Ajay Mitchell (20.6 pts, 4 reb, 3.6 ast). Cleveland Cavaliers: Donovan Mitchell (19.8 pts, 4.4 reb, 6.2 ast), Evan Mobley (19.2 pts, 7.6 reb, 3.8 ast).
- Is Oklahoma City Thunder or Cleveland Cavaliers on a back-to-back?
- Oklahoma City Thunder have had 2 days of rest; Cleveland Cavaliers have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Oklahoma City Thunder
80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 114.60 vs 110.80
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (116 - 110; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Oklahoma City Thunder win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
Explore more
Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.
Related matches
- Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers NBA
- Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks NBA
- Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA
- Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets NBA
- New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls NBA
- Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers NBA
- New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz NBA
- Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
— Journal
From the blog
Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.
Insights
NBA Predictions 2026-27: 10 AI Models Pick the Champion, Finals and MVP
We asked GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and six more AI models who wins the 2026-27 NBA title. 7 of 10 pick the Oklahoma City Thunder; here are the Finals and MVP votes and the reasoning.
UEFA Europa League
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth Prediction: AI Panel Backs Away Win
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction: AI panel unanimously backs Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League. See the consensus score, confidence and model…
UEFA Europa League
Real Sociedad vs Lyon Prediction: Home Edge at Anoeta
Real Sociedad vs Lyon prediction for the UEFA Europa League: AI panel consensus, key factors, and a predicted score for Thursday's Anoeta clash.
Results
Hockey results Wednesday 4 November 2026: AI predictions review
Hockey results Wednesday 4 November 2026: the AI consensus went 5 of 11 across an 11-game NHL slate, with Columbus 7-2 Colorado the night's biggest upset.
Results
Football results Wednesday 4 November 2026: AI predictions review
Football results Wednesday 4 November 2026: the AI consensus got 9 of 18 calls right. A 3-3 in Cardiff, a nine-goal rout in Lens and Fenerbahçe's shock…
NFL
Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction: AI Panel Favors Ravens
Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction: NFL Week 10 AI panel consensus favors Ravens at home. Get the pick, score, and model breakdown.
Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.