AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
NBA · Regular Season Oct 25, 2026 · 02:00 Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix Not Started

Phoenix Suns
vs
Golden State Warriors.

Quick answer

Who will win Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors?

5 of 10 AI models pick Phoenix Suns to win (50%). The mean predicted score is 112–113 at 58% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Phoenix Suns (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 112–113 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Phoenix Suns win 50%

5 / 10 models

Golden State Warriors win 50%

5 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Phoenix Suns win
111–106
57%
Phoenix has home court and three days’ rest, while Golden State faces the second night of a back-to-back. The Warriors’ stronger recent form and efficiency keep this competitive, but fatigue slightly favors the Suns.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Phoenix Suns win
113–108
58%
Warriors on second night of back-to-back despite better efficiency; Suns rested 3 days and have edge in recent head-to-head meetings at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Phoenix Suns win
111–106
56%
Phoenix holds a distinct rest advantage with 3 days off against Golden State on the second night of a back-to-back, giving the Suns an edge at home despite recent offensive sluggishness.
04
Grok 4.6
Golden State Warriors win
109–114
58%
Warriors’ better offense/defense and recent 4-2 form outweigh a road B2B; Suns’ 1-5 stretch, 101.4 ORtg and high turnovers keep Phoenix from exploiting rest at home.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Golden State Warriors win
112–113
55%
Golden State's stronger recent form and better per-100 defense offset Phoenix's rest advantage and home court, though the back-to-back keeps this close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Golden State Warriors win
112–113
62%
GSW's superior net rating (+7.1 vs -5.2) and better defense outweigh the back-to-back fatigue; Phoenix's poor recent form (1-4, allowing 114.6) limits their home edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Golden State Warriors win
110–111
62%
Warriors' stronger offense and defense per 100, despite back-to-back; Suns' recent scoring struggles and turnover rate.
08
Kimi K3
Phoenix Suns win
113–109
58%
Suns get three days rest against a Warriors squad on the second night of a back-to-back; Phoenix's slower pace and home court should edge Golden State's superior shooting despite the Warriors' better recent form.
09
GLM 5.3
Phoenix Suns win
110–106
53%
Golden State rates better per 100 possessions, but the back-to-back costs them points while Phoenix rests three days at home; recent H2H games have been tight, so a narrow Suns win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Golden State Warriors win
112–113
58%
Warriors' superior per-100 offense/defense and 4-of-6 form outweigh Phoenix's 3-day rest edge; Curry's quiet stretch limits blowout risk, but Golden State's efficiency should decide it despite the back-to-back.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 9 models settled on 112–113. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 112–113
    3 models
  • 111–106
    2 models
  • 113–108
    1 model
  • 110–111
    1 model
  • 109–114
    1 model
  • 113–109
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Warriors −1
AI total
225
Models picking
50%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 3 games
Dillon Brooks
Dillon Brooks
Phoenix Suns · F
16.8 PTS 16
3.5 REB 5
1.3 AST 2.7
24 MIN 26
BP
Brandin Podziemski
Golden State Warriors · G

Phoenix Suns

3 days of rest · 1 games in 7 days

Golden State Warriors

Back-to-back: played last night · 2 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • BP
    Brandin Podziemski Warriors · G
    26 min · 16 pts a game before
  • Charles Bassey
    Charles Bassey Warriors · C
    26 min · 10.5 pts a game before

Season averages per game

Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors
109 Points 113.8
45.3% Field goal % 45.6%
33.1% 3-point % 36.4%
70.2% Free throw % 74.7%
42.2 Rebounds 43.5
22 Assists 26.7
22 Turnovers 19.7
12 Steals 12.7
4.4 Blocks 5

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

SunsWarriors
Offensive rating 101.4 107.3
Defensive rating 108.1 103.1
Net rating -6.7 +4.3
Pace 107.5 106.1
Effective FG % 52.2 53.8
Turnover % 20.5 18.5
Free throw rate 28.2 34.8
3-point attempt rate 41.2 45.2

Key players · Phoenix Suns

  • Dillon Brooks
    Dillon BrooksF 16.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.3 ast
  • Devin Booker
    Devin BookerG 16.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 3 ast
  • Jalen Green
    Jalen GreenG 14.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 3 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Key players · Golden State Warriors

  • BP
    Brandin PodziemskiG 16 pts · 5 reb · 2.7 ast
  • Stephen Curry
    Stephen CurryG 15.5 pts · 2 reb · 2.5 ast
  • Brandon Williams
    Brandon WilliamsG 14 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.5 ast

Averages over the last 3 games.

Last ten games

Phoenix Suns LLLWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
104.7 / 116.2
Total over 220.5
3/6
Total over 230.5
2/6
Scored 110+
2/6
Won by 6+
0/6
Golden State Warriors LWWWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
112.6 / 109.3
Total over 220.5
4/7
Total over 230.5
3/7
Scored 110+
4/7
Won by 6+
3/7

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Dillon Brooks by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0), Devin Booker by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jalen Green by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0), Stephen Curry by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), Brandon Williams by Sgt. Nataja Ford (Public domain), Charles Bassey by Frenchieinportland (CC0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Devin Booker

Devin Booker

Phoenix Suns · G · last 4 games
Points o15.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
13
11
16
23
Assists o3.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
3
1
6
2
Pts + Reb + Ast o21.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
19
12
25
29
Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks

Phoenix Suns · F · last 5 games
Points o15.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
11
24
15
18
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o19.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
13
30
19
23
14
3-pointers made o1.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
2
3
1
2
1
Jalen Green

Jalen Green

Phoenix Suns · G · last 5 games
Points o13.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
11
12
18
18
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o19.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
14
18
26
22
15
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
1
3
3
2
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors · G · last 6 games
Points o14.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
10
16
8
11
20
23
Pts + Reb + Ast o19.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
14
23
10
15
29
26
3-pointers made o2.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
2
3
2
3
3
2
BP

Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · last 5 games
Points o14.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
7
16
14
17
17
Pts + Reb + Ast o20.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
11
19
25
24
22
3-pointers made o2.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
1
1
3
3
3
Brandon Williams

Brandon Williams

Golden State Warriors · G · last 6 games
Points o12.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
11
10
17
19
6
14
Pts + Reb + Ast o17.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
16
13
24
20
8
21

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Phoenix Suns 112, Golden State Warriors 113: a projected total of 225 points. Phoenix Suns games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 6; Golden State Warriors games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 7.
What is the AI spread pick for Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors?
The consensus has Golden State Warriors winning by 1 points (113–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors?
Leading scorers over the last 3 games. Phoenix Suns: Dillon Brooks (16.8 pts, 3.5 reb, 1.3 ast), Devin Booker (16.7 pts, 2.3 reb, 3 ast). Golden State Warriors: Brandin Podziemski (16 pts, 5 reb, 2.7 ast), Stephen Curry (15.5 pts, 2 reb, 2.5 ast).
Is Phoenix Suns or Golden State Warriors on a back-to-back?
Phoenix Suns have had 3 days of rest; Golden State Warriors are on the second night of a back-to-back.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Phoenix Suns

50% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 111.30 vs 109.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (112 - 113; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Phoenix Suns win, with vote shares roughly 50% / 50% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.