EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 5 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough Finished

New England Patriots
vs
Las Vegas Raiders.

Quick answer

Who will win New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Final score: New England Patriots 45–17 Las Vegas Raiders. Before kickoff, 6 of 10 AI models pick New England Patriots to win (60%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–21.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New England Patriots (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–21 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where New England Patriots and Las Vegas Raiders stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New England Patriots win 60%

6 / 10 models

Las Vegas Raiders win 40%

4 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
New England Patriots win
24–21
53%
New England’s Gillette Stadium advantage and a likely tighter defensive game slightly outweigh Las Vegas’s recent head-to-head edge. With limited 2026 form information, a close, moderate-scoring Patriots win is the cautious projection.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
New England Patriots win
24–17
58%
Patriots host at Gillette with recent competitive form; Raiders lost the season-opening meeting narrowly, but home venue and defense tip this one.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New England Patriots win
23–17
58%
New England's defense at Gillette Stadium holds an edge over a cross-country traveling Raiders offense in a closely contested, physical battle.
04
Grok 4.7
Las Vegas Raiders win
20–23
52%
Raiders won the last three H2H, including 2025 at Gillette. 2026 form is unknown, so a one-score road win in a low-to-mid scoring game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Las Vegas Raiders win
23–24
58%
Raiders have won four straight in this matchup, including last season's opener, suggesting a stylistic edge. Patriots' home advantage keeps it close, but Las Vegas's recent head-to-head success points to a narrow road win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New England Patriots win
20–17
52%
Raiders won last three meetings but Patriots have home edge at Gillette; both teams trending similarly, expect a tight low-scoring contest with New England edging it.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Las Vegas Raiders win
24–25
62%
Raiders have won 3 of last 4 meetings; Patriots' home edge offset by Raiders' recent form and consistency.
08
Kimi K3
New England Patriots win
24–20
55%
Raiders won the last three H2H meetings, but rosters and form shift; Patriots at Gillette in October get a modest home edge in what profiles as a lower-scoring, defense-leaning game.
09
GLM 5.3
Las Vegas Raiders win
24–25
52%
Raiders won the last three meetings, suggesting a talent edge, but 2026 rosters are uncertain and Foxborough home support keeps this close; modest away lean only.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New England Patriots win
24–21
58%
Raiders won last three H2H, but Patriots at home with venue advantage in a close, competitive matchup typical of these rosters.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 8 models settled on 24–21. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–21
    2 models
  • 24–25
    2 models
  • 24–17
    1 model
  • 23–24
    1 model
  • 20–17
    1 model
  • 20–23
    1 model

NFL · Week 5

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Patriots −3 45 Patriots 60%

New England Patriots

4-3 · #2 AFC East
Home 3-0 · Road 1-3 · Division 2-0 · Streak L1 · Points 160–143
7 days of rest

Las Vegas Raiders

3-4 · #3 AFC West
Home 1-3 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-1 · Streak L4 · Points 183–197
7 days of rest

Injury report

New England Patriots 13 on injured reserve
  • KP
    Karon PruntyCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Ben Brown
    Ben Brown
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Carlton Davis III
    Carlton Davis IIICB
    Neck
    Questionable
  • CC
    Channing CanadaCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
Las Vegas Raiders

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Last five games, per game

New England Patriots Las Vegas Raiders
16.3 Points scored 28.8
19.3 Points allowed 21
331.5 Total yards 343
213.8 Passing yards 250
117.8 Rushing yards 93
2.5 Turnovers 1.5
35 Third-down % 40
44 Red-zone TD % 53
2 Sacks 3
30:48Time of possession31:30

Skill players · New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    Rhamondre StevensonRB
    285 rushing yards (40.7 a game, 3.7 a carry), 2 TD
  • Hunter Henry
    Hunter HenryTE
    26 catches, 296 receiving yards (42.3 a game), 2 TD
  • Romeo Doubs
    Romeo DoubsWR
    14 catches, 261 receiving yards (43.5 a game), 3 TD

Skill players · Las Vegas Raiders

Last ten games

New England Patriots WLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
16.3 / 19.3
Total over 41.5
1/4
Total over 44.5
1/4
Total over 47.5
1/4
Won by 7+
1/4
Las Vegas Raiders LWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
28.8 / 21
Total over 41.5
2/4
Total over 44.5
2/4
Total over 47.5
2/4
Won by 7+
3/4

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Drake Maye by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Drake Maye

Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · last 4 games
Passing yards o213.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
178
208
199
269
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots · RB · last 4 games
Rushing yards o40.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
51
43
22
47
Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry

New England Patriots · TE · last 4 games
Receiving yards o33.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
26
40
5
62
Receptions o3.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
3
3
1
5
Romeo Doubs

Romeo Doubs

New England Patriots · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o50.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
0
96
49
58
Receptions o3.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
0
3
3
6

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New England Patriots 24, Las Vegas Raiders 21: a projected total of 45 points.
What is the AI spread pick for New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The AI consensus has New England Patriots winning by 3 points (24–21).
Who is injured for New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders?
New England Patriots have no one listed out or doubtful. Las Vegas Raiders have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New England Patriots

60% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.00 vs 21.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 21; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New England Patriots win, with vote shares roughly 60% / 40% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.

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