VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 5 Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens Finished

Miami Dolphins
vs
Cincinnati Bengals.

Quick answer

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals?

Final score: Miami Dolphins 24–31 Cincinnati Bengals. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick Cincinnati Bengals to win (70%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–27.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Cincinnati Bengals (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–27 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Miami Dolphins win 30%

3 / 10 models

Cincinnati Bengals win 70%

7 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Miami Dolphins win
28–24
54%
Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium advantage and likely fast offensive tempo make this a close, high-scoring matchup. Cincinnati’s 2025 win shows the Bengals can exploit Miami, so the home edge supports only modest confidence.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Miami Dolphins win
24–21
53%
Miami gets home-field edge at Hard Rock Stadium; recent blowout loss to Cincinnati suggests revenge motivation, but both teams have shown inconsistency this season.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Cincinnati Bengals win
24–27
56%
Cincinnati's explosive passing attack has historically matched up well against Miami's secondary. In a tight offensive contest, Cincinnati's efficiency in late-game drives secures a narrow road victory.
04
Grok 4.7
Cincinnati Bengals win
24–31
58%
Bengals won the last two H2H, including a 45-21 blowout in Miami in 2025. 2026 Week 5 form is unknown, so a one-score away win is the modest call.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Cincinnati Bengals win
31–32
58%
Bengals won the most recent meeting 45-21 and have a more explosive passing attack; Dolphins' home edge keeps it closer but Cincinnati's offense should outpace Miami.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Cincinnati Bengals win
24–27
52%
Bengals dominated Miami 45-21 last meeting; their offense remains more potent. Limited 2026 form data keeps confidence moderate despite Cincinnati's edge.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Cincinnati Bengals win
28–29
60%
Bengals' recent 45-21 win and consistent H2H edge suggest slight advantage; Dolphins' home form may not overcome it.
08
Kimi K3
Cincinnati Bengals win
24–27
58%
Bengals won 45-21 last December and have taken recent meetings; Miami's home edge is modest, so a narrow Cincinnati win in a mid-20s game.
09
GLM 5.3
Cincinnati Bengals win
27–28
53%
Cincinnati dominated the most recent meeting 45-21 and their offense travels well; Miami's home edge keeps it close, but context is thin, so only modest confidence.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Miami Dolphins win
24–21
52%
Bengals dominated Miami 45-21 in December, but rosters shift and Miami gets home heat at Hard Rock. Expect a tighter, one-possession game with Miami's speed offsetting Cincinnati's passing attack.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 9 models settled on 24–27. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–27
    3 models
  • 24–21
    2 models
  • 28–24
    1 model
  • 28–29
    1 model
  • 31–32
    1 model
  • 24–31
    1 model

NFL · Week 5

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Bengals −3 51 Bengals 70%
Quarterback matchup · season
Malik Willis
Malik Willis
Miami Dolphins · QB
176.2 YDS/G 275.5
4 TD 15
4 INT 3
77.1 RATING 110.4
Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow
Cincinnati Bengals · QB

Miami Dolphins

1-5 · #4 AFC East
Home 0-2 · Road 1-3 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 98–157
7 days of rest

Cincinnati Bengals

4-2 · #3 AFC North
Home 1-1 · Road 3-1 · Division 1-1 · Streak W2 · Points 163–122
7 days of rest

Injury report

Miami Dolphins 5 on injured reserve
  • Jaylen Wright
    Jaylen WrightRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • RJ
    Robert Beal Jr.DE
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Willie Gay
    Willie GayLB
    Illness
    Questionable
  • RT
    Reese TaylorCB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
Cincinnati Bengals 5 on injured reserve

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Last five games, per game

Miami Dolphins Cincinnati Bengals
11.5 Points scored 24.3
25.3 Points allowed 21.3
267.5 Total yards 351.8
163.5 Passing yards 277.5
104 Rushing yards 74.3
1.3 Turnovers 1.3
38 Third-down % 45
33 Red-zone TD % 50
1 Sacks 3.5
27:36Time of possession30:48

Skill players · Miami Dolphins

  • OG
    Ollie GordonRB
    339 rushing yards (56.5 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • MW
    Malik WashingtonWR
    26 catches, 289 receiving yards (48.2 a game), 0 TD
  • Greg Dulcich
    Greg DulcichTE
    18 catches, 213 receiving yards (35.5 a game), 0 TD

Skill players · Cincinnati Bengals

  • Chase Brown
    Chase BrownRB
    285 rushing yards (47.5 a game, 3.5 a carry), 1 TD
  • Tee Higgins
    Tee HigginsWR
    33 catches, 571 receiving yards (95.2 a game), 2 TD
  • Ja'Marr Chase
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR
    32 catches, 351 receiving yards (58.5 a game), 5 TD

Last ten games

Miami Dolphins LLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
11.5 / 25.3
Total over 41.5
1/4
Total over 44.5
1/4
Total over 47.5
1/4
Won by 7+
0/4
Cincinnati Bengals LLWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
24.3 / 21.3
Total over 41.5
2/4
Total over 44.5
2/4
Total over 47.5
2/4
Won by 7+
1/4

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Chase Brown by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Malik Willis

Malik Willis

Miami Dolphins · QB · last 4 games
Passing yards o178.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
220
197
210
85
OG

Ollie Gordon

Miami Dolphins · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o49.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
7
41
100
MW

Malik Washington

Miami Dolphins · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o54.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
53
43
56
67
Receptions o4.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
3
4
5
5
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich

Miami Dolphins · TE · last 3 games
Receiving yards o30.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
18
17
55
Receptions o3.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
2
2
5
Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow

Cincinnati Bengals · QB · last 4 games
Passing yards o292.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
254
207
282
428
Chase Brown

Chase Brown

Cincinnati Bengals · RB · last 4 games
Rushing yards o51.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
56
80
61
10
Tee Higgins

Tee Higgins

Cincinnati Bengals · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o100.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
59
95
90
157
Receptions o6.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
3
5
6
11
Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase

Cincinnati Bengals · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o53.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
12
75
98
27
Receptions o5.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
2
7
9
3

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Miami Dolphins 24, Cincinnati Bengals 27: a projected total of 51 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals?
The AI consensus has Cincinnati Bengals winning by 3 points (27–24).
Who are the quarterbacks in Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals?
Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): 1,057 passing yards (176.2 a game), 4 TD, 4 INT, rating 77.1. Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals): 1,653 passing yards (275.5 a game), 15 TD, 3 INT, rating 110.4.
Who is injured for Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals?
Miami Dolphins have no one listed out or doubtful. Cincinnati Bengals have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Cincinnati Bengals

70% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 25.80 vs 26.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 27; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Cincinnati Bengals win, with vote shares roughly 30% / 70% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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