VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 5 Lambeau Field, Green Bay Finished

Green Bay Packers
vs
Chicago Bears.

Quick answer

Who will win Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears?

Final score: Green Bay Packers 31–7 Chicago Bears. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Green Bay Packers to win (80%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–20.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Green Bay Packers (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 58% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Green Bay Packers win 80%

8 / 10 models

Chicago Bears win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Green Bay Packers win
27–24
54%
Chicago won the two most recent meetings, but Green Bay regains Lambeau Field, where its offense can improve enough to offset the Bears’ recent matchup edge. Expect a competitive, moderately high-scoring game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Green Bay Packers win
24–20
56%
Bears have won the last two meetings, but Lambeau home advantage and divisional familiarity favor a tight Packers win in this rivalry rematch.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Green Bay Packers win
24–20
56%
Green Bay holds home-field advantage at Lambeau in an intensely contested divisional rivalry, giving them the slight edge in a tightly matched, one-possession game.
04
Grok 4.7
Green Bay Packers win
24–21
56%
Lambeau home edge in a tight rivalry; recent H2H finishes were mostly one-possession, so a modest Packers win fits Week 5 with limited 2026 form.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Green Bay Packers win
24–21
58%
Bears won the last two meetings, but Lambeau Field gives Green Bay an edge. Expect a close, one-possession game with the Packers' home advantage proving decisive.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Chicago Bears win
24–27
52%
Bears won last two H2H meetings including a playoff-style win in January; recent head-to-head momentum favors Chicago despite Lambeau venue.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Chicago Bears win
24–25
60%
Bears won 3 of last 5, including two recent close games; Packers' home edge offset by Bears' current form.
08
Kimi K3
Green Bay Packers win
24–20
58%
Chicago won the last two meetings, but Lambeau Field in October provides a meaningful home edge for Green Bay. Expect a competitive, moderate-scoring divisional game where the Packers narrowly prevail.
09
GLM 5.3
Green Bay Packers win
24–21
55%
Bears won the last two H2H meetings, but Lambeau Field and Green Bay's home form tip a close divisional game; recent meetings have all been one-score, so a narrow margin fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Green Bay Packers win
24–20
58%
Home venue advantage at Lambeau Field; competitive H2H history with close margins suggests a tight Packers win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 24–20. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–20
    4 models
  • 24–21
    3 models
  • 27–24
    1 model
  • 24–25
    1 model
  • 24–27
    1 model

NFL · Week 5

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Packers −4 44 Packers 80%
Quarterback matchup · season
Jordan Love
Jordan Love
Green Bay Packers · QB
279.7 YDS/G 255
13 TD 5
5 INT 1
90.6 RATING 105.6
Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams
Chicago Bears · QB

Green Bay Packers

5-3 · #4 NFC North
Home 3-1 · Road 2-2 · Division 1-2 · Streak W1 · Points 171–164
7 days of rest

Chicago Bears

5-2 · #2 NFC North
Home 3-1 · Road 2-1 · Division 0-2 · Streak W2 · Points 180–143
7 days of rest

Injury report

Green Bay Packers 12 on injured reserve
  • Matthew Golden
    Matthew GoldenWR
    Shoulder
    Questionable
  • MC
    McCallan CastlesTE
    Undisclosed
    Questionable
  • Sean Rhyan
    Sean Rhyan
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Devonte Wyatt
    Devonte WyattDT
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Travis Glover
    Travis Glover
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Aaron Banks
    Aaron Banks
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Zaire Franklin
    Zaire FranklinLB
    Shin
    Questionable
  • AC
    Anthony CampbellDT
    Ankle
    Questionable
Chicago Bears 11 on injured reserve
  • Kyle Monangai
    Kyle MonangaiRB
    Toe
    Questionable
  • Jack Sanborn
    Jack SanbornLB
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • T.J. Edwards
    T.J. EdwardsLB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • MS
    Marlen SewellS
    Undisclosed
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Green Bay Packers Chicago Bears
19.7 Points scored 28
23.3 Points allowed 16.3
300.3 Total yards 429
228.7 Passing yards 232.8
71.7 Rushing yards 196.3
1.7 Turnovers 1.3
19 Third-down % 47
45 Red-zone TD % 42
3.3 Sacks 2.5
28:06Time of possession36:36

Skill players · Green Bay Packers

  • MarShawn Lloyd
    MarShawn LloydRB
    142 rushing yards (20.3 a game, 2.6 a carry), 2 TD
  • Christian Watson
    Christian WatsonWR
    34 catches, 595 receiving yards (85 a game), 6 TD
  • Matthew Golden
    Matthew GoldenWR
    34 catches, 512 receiving yards (73.1 a game), 3 TD

Skill players · Chicago Bears

  • D'Andre Swift
    D'Andre SwiftRB
    476 rushing yards (68 a game, 4.1 a carry), 7 TD
  • Luther Burden III
    Luther Burden IIIWR
    35 catches, 491 receiving yards (70.1 a game), 2 TD
  • Rome Odunze
    Rome OdunzeWR
    24 catches, 381 receiving yards (54.4 a game), 0 TD

Last ten games

Green Bay Packers WWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
19.7 / 23.3
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
0/3
Chicago Bears WWLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
28 / 16.3
Total over 41.5
1/4
Total over 44.5
1/4
Total over 47.5
1/4
Won by 7+
3/4

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: MarShawn Lloyd by Gamecock Central (CC BY 2.0), Matthew Golden by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 4.0), Caleb Williams by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Luther Burden III by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0), Rome Odunze by Bobak Ha'Eri (CC BY 3.0), Travis Glover by U.S. Army Photo by John Pellino/USMA (Public domain), Kyle Monangai by Maize & Blue Nation (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Jordan Love

Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o243.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
387
145
197
MarShawn Lloyd

MarShawn Lloyd

Green Bay Packers · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o23.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
37
20
13
Christian Watson

Christian Watson

Green Bay Packers · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o78.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
147
41
47
Receptions o4.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
6
4
3
Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden

Green Bay Packers · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o58.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
95
58
21
Receptions o4.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
6
4
3
Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears · QB · last 2 games
Passing yards o203.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
269
138
D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears · RB · last 4 games
Rushing yards o77.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
124
45
84
58
Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III

Chicago Bears · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o54.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
63
32
61
63
Receptions o4.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
5
3
7
4
Rome Odunze

Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o58.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
52
43
44
94
Receptions o3.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
2
3
3
6

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Green Bay Packers 24, Chicago Bears 20: a projected total of 44 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears?
The AI consensus has Green Bay Packers winning by 4 points (24–20).
Who are the quarterbacks in Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears?
Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers): 1,958 passing yards (279.7 a game), 13 TD, 5 INT, rating 90.6. Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears): 1,020 passing yards (255 a game), 5 TD, 1 INT, rating 105.6.
Who is injured for Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears?
Green Bay Packers have no one listed out or doubtful. Chicago Bears have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Green Bay Packers

80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 58% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 24.30 vs 21.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Green Bay Packers win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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