EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 5 AT&T Stadium, Arlington Finished

Dallas Cowboys
vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Quick answer

Who will win Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Final score: Dallas Cowboys 16–24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Dallas Cowboys to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 27–23.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Dallas Cowboys (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 27–23 at 56% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Dallas Cowboys and Tampa Bay Buccaneers stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Dallas Cowboys win 100%

10 / 10 models

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Dallas Cowboys win
27–23
57%
Dallas has won the two most recent meetings and gets the venue advantage, but Tampa Bay’s capable offense makes a close, moderately high-scoring game more likely than a comfortable margin.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Dallas Cowboys win
27–24
54%
Recent meetings have been tight, high-scoring shootouts; Cowboys hold a slight home-field edge at AT&T Stadium against a Tampa Bay offense that can keep pace.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Dallas Cowboys win
27–24
56%
Dallas benefits from home-field advantage at AT&T Stadium in a closely contested Thursday night battle, edging Tampa Bay through late-game execution.
04
Grok 4.7
Dallas Cowboys win
27–23
56%
Recent H2H favors Dallas including a 26-24 home win; AT&T edge in Week 5 with no 2026 form, so a modest one-score Cowboys win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Dallas Cowboys win
24–20
56%
Dallas has won three of the last five meetings and holds home field at AT&T Stadium. Tampa Bay remains competitive, but the Cowboys' recent head-to-head edge supports a narrow home win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Dallas Cowboys win
24–20
52%
H2H shows tight contests; Cowboys won the most recent meeting at home. Limited 2026 form data keeps confidence moderate, but home venue and recent head-to-head edge favor Dallas narrowly.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Dallas Cowboys win
28–24
58%
Cowboys' home form and recent H2H edge in close games tip the balance; Bucs' offense keeps it tight.
08
Kimi K3
Dallas Cowboys win
27–23
56%
Dallas has won the last two meetings including a 26-24 thriller in 2024, and AT&T Stadium gives them a slight edge; expect another competitive, moderately high-scoring game decided by one possession.
09
GLM 5.3
Dallas Cowboys win
27–23
56%
Dallas won the last two meetings and hosts at AT&T Stadium; Tampa Bay remains competitive offensively, so a close one-possession home win fits despite limited 2026 form data.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Dallas Cowboys win
27–24
60%
Dallas's home venue and recent close H2H win suggest a competitive game; expect a narrow margin.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 27–23. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 27–23
    4 models
  • 27–24
    3 models
  • 24–20
    2 models
  • 28–24
    1 model

NFL · Week 5

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Cowboys −4 50 Cowboys 100%
Quarterback matchup · season
Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott
Dallas Cowboys · QB
264.4 YDS/G 169.8
13 TD 3
5 INT 2
92.9 RATING 83
Baker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield
Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB

Dallas Cowboys

3-4 · #2 NFC East
Home 1-2 · Road 2-2 · Division 2-1 · Streak W1 · Points 189–180
Short week: 4 days of rest

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2-5 · #3 NFC South
Home 0-4 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 162–151
Short week: 4 days of rest

Injury report

Dallas Cowboys 10 on injured reserve

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4 on injured reserve
  • Emeka Egbuka
    Emeka EgbukaWR
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Antoine Winfield Jr.
    Antoine Winfield Jr.S
    Ribs
    Questionable
  • Luke Goedeke
    Luke Goedeke
    Calf
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Dallas Cowboys Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30.5 Points scored 19
28 Points allowed 24
347.5 Total yards 278.3
258 Passing yards 172.3
89.5 Rushing yards 106
0.5 Turnovers 2.3
51 Third-down % 35
81 Red-zone TD % 42
1 Sacks 1.5
29:00Time of possession30:00

Skill players · Dallas Cowboys

  • Javonte Williams
    Javonte WilliamsRB
    472 rushing yards (67.4 a game, 4.3 a carry), 8 TD
  • CeeDee Lamb
    CeeDee LambWR
    53 catches, 651 receiving yards (93 a game), 6 TD
  • George Pickens
    George PickensWR
    37 catches, 485 receiving yards (69.3 a game), 2 TD

Skill players · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Bucky Irving
    Bucky IrvingRB
    558 rushing yards (79.7 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris GodwinWR
    27 catches, 243 receiving yards (34.7 a game), 0 TD
  • Emeka Egbuka
    Emeka EgbukaWR
    28 catches, 240 receiving yards (40 a game), 2 TD

Last ten games

Dallas Cowboys WLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
30.5 / 28
Total over 41.5
4/4
Total over 44.5
4/4
Total over 47.5
4/4
Won by 7+
1/4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers LLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
19 / 24
Total over 41.5
2/4
Total over 44.5
1/4
Total over 47.5
1/4
Won by 7+
0/4

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only.

Player props

Prop hit rates: Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott

Dallas Cowboys · QB · last 4 games
Passing yards o266.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
175
279
276
335
Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams

Dallas Cowboys · RB · last 4 games
Rushing yards o57.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
41
30
98
62
CeeDee Lamb

CeeDee Lamb

Dallas Cowboys · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o124.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
44
153
112
189
Receptions o9.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
5
8
7
17
George Pickens

George Pickens

Dallas Cowboys · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o56.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
28
40
82
75
Receptions o4.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
3
6
7
2
Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o205.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
216
182
217
Bucky Irving

Bucky Irving

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · RB · last 4 games
Rushing yards o60.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
45
89
46
61
Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o35.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
40
46
25
31
Receptions o4.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
4
3
3
6
Emeka Egbuka

Emeka Egbuka

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o38.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
63
16
62
13
Receptions o3.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
5
3
5
2

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Dallas Cowboys 27, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23: a projected total of 50 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The AI consensus has Dallas Cowboys winning by 4 points (27–23).
Who are the quarterbacks in Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys): 1,851 passing yards (264.4 a game), 13 TD, 5 INT, rating 92.9. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): 679 passing yards (169.8 a game), 3 TD, 2 INT, rating 83.
Who is injured for Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Dallas Cowboys have no one listed out or doubtful. Tampa Bay Buccaneers have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Dallas Cowboys

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 56% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 26.50 vs 22.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (27 - 23; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Dallas Cowboys win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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