VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
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NBA · Regular Season American Airlines Center, Dallas Not Started

Dallas Mavericks
vs
Utah Jazz.

Quick answer

Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz?

10 of 10 AI models pick Dallas Mavericks to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 116–110 at 59% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Dallas Mavericks (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 116–110 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Dallas Mavericks win 100%

10 / 10 models

Utah Jazz win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Dallas Mavericks win
118–114
57%
Dallas has home court, two days’ rest, and a stronger recent defensive profile, while Utah’s defense has allowed 121 per game lately. Both offenses and pace support a high-scoring, competitive game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Dallas Mavericks win
119–115
53%
Both teams struggling defensively with weak records; Dallas home court and Flagg's strong form give slight edge in a likely high-scoring, close contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Dallas Mavericks win
118–112
58%
Dallas holds home-court advantage and faces a Utah defense allowing 117 points per 100 possessions. Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving provide enough offensive punch to exploit Utah's defensive lapses.
04
Grok 4.7
Dallas Mavericks win
117–111
58%
Similar 1-2 records and rest, but Dallas is at home with a stouter defense (110.7 vs Utah 117 per 100) and recent AAC blowouts vs the Jazz.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Dallas Mavericks win
116–110
58%
Dallas has won two of the last three H2H meetings at home and holds a slight edge in recent form. Utah's defense (117.0 per 100) is leaky, which favors Dallas' scoring.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Dallas Mavericks win
116–109
63%
Dallas's superior defense (110.7 vs 117.0 per 100) and Flagg's hot form at home outweigh Utah's slightly better offense; H2H home dominance supports the edge.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Dallas Mavericks win
121–111
67%
Dallas on W2 with Flagg in strong form hosts struggling 1-4 Utah allowing 120.2; defensive gap and recent home H2H blowouts support Mavericks.
08
Kimi K3
Dallas Mavericks win
118–113
58%
Both defenses leak (Utah 117 DRtg, Dallas 116 allowed lately) and pace is fast, so expect a high total; Dallas gets the nod at home with Flagg and Irving in form and recent H2H wins.
09
GLM 5.3
Dallas Mavericks win
118–110
58%
Dallas at home with Flagg's hot start and better net rating faces a Utah defense allowing 121 per game; H2H also leans Mavericks, though both are 1-2 so confidence stays modest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Dallas Mavericks win
116–110
57%
Both defenses allow heavy per-100 scoring, but Dallas' sturdier defense (110.7 vs Utah's 117) and home floor edge out Utah's hot Keyonte George; Flagg's 25 ppg form helps Dallas hold off a close one.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 116–110. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 116–110
    2 models
  • 121–111
    1 model
  • 118–114
    1 model
  • 119–115
    1 model
  • 116–109
    1 model
  • 117–111
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Mavericks −6
AI total
226
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 4 games
CF
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F
25.5 PTS 21.6
6.3 REB 4
7.8 AST 6.6
32 MIN 33
Keyonte George
Keyonte George
Utah Jazz · G

Dallas Mavericks

3-2 · #8 Western
Home 1-1 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak W2
2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days

Utah Jazz

1-4 · #13 Western
Home 1-3 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 1-4 · Streak L3
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Naji Marshall
    Naji Marshall Mavericks · F
    27 min · 12.5 pts a game before
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.
    Jaren Jackson Jr. Jazz · F
    33 min · 22 pts a game before

Season averages per game

Dallas Mavericks Utah Jazz
114.1 Points 112.8
46.6% Field goal % 45.9%
33.6% 3-point % 34.8%
78.5% Free throw % 76.4%
43.8 Rebounds 46.8
27.9 Assists 25.4
18 Turnovers 17
9.3 Steals 6.9
7.1 Blocks 5.6

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

MavericksJazz
Offensive rating 109.6 108.6
Defensive rating 107.4 114.4
Net rating +2.2 -5.8
Pace 104.1 103.8
Effective FG % 54.2 52.7
Turnover % 17.3 16.4
Free throw rate 24.9 30.7
3-point attempt rate 45.3 39.4

Key players · Dallas Mavericks

  • CF
    C. FlaggF 25.5 pts · 6.3 reb · 7.8 ast
  • Kyrie Irving
    Kyrie IrvingG 23 pts · 3.3 reb · 5.5 ast
  • PW
    P.J. WashingtonF 14.6 pts · 9 reb · 1 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Key players · Utah Jazz

  • Keyonte George
    Keyonte GeorgeG 21.6 pts · 4 reb · 6.6 ast
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.
    Jaren Jackson Jr.F 16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2 ast
  • Lauri Markkanen
    Lauri MarkkanenF 14.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

Dallas Mavericks WWWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
114.3 / 111.8
Total over 220.5
5/6
Total over 230.5
1/6
Scored 110+
5/6
Won by 6+
2/6
Utah Jazz LLLLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
108.7 / 118.8
Total over 220.5
4/6
Total over 230.5
2/6
Scored 110+
3/6
Won by 6+
0/6

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Kyrie Irving by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Keyonte George by Brady Saylor (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jaren Jackson Jr. by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Lauri Markkanen by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Naji Marshall by FOX Sports (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

CF

C. Flagg

Dallas Mavericks · F · last 5 games
Points o26.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
32
14
29
26
33
Rebounds o6.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
5
5
6
5
9
Assists o6.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
2
6
11
8
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o39.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
39
25
46
39
48
Kyrie Irving

Kyrie Irving

Dallas Mavericks · G · last 5 games
Points o21.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
15
24
18
15
35
Assists o4.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
2
3
6
4
9
Pts + Reb + Ast o29.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
21
28
30
21
48
3-pointers made o3.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
5
2
3
5
PW

P.J. Washington

Dallas Mavericks · F · last 6 games
Points o13.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
10
20
12
20
18
3
Rebounds o8.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
4
13
4
9
9
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o23.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
16
33
18
31
27
14
3-pointers made o1.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
2
2
0
4
2
1
Keyonte George

Keyonte George

Utah Jazz · G · last 6 games
Points o21.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
22
19
24
26
31
8
Assists o6.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
5
10
10
6
3
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o31.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
30
30
43
35
38
15
3-pointers made o2.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
4
3
2
0
5
0
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Utah Jazz · F · last 4 games
Points o16.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
15
24
20
6
Rebounds o5.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
5
10
2
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o23.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
22
37
23
11
Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

Utah Jazz · F · last 5 games
Points o15.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
18
16
28
2
13
Rebounds o5.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
9
6
6
0
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o22.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
30
25
35
2
20
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
4
5
0
2

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Dallas Mavericks 116, Utah Jazz 110: a projected total of 226 points. Dallas Mavericks games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 6; Utah Jazz games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 6.
What is the AI spread pick for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz?
The consensus has Dallas Mavericks winning by 6 points (116–110), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz?
Leading scorers over the last 4 games. Dallas Mavericks: C. Flagg (25.5 pts, 6.3 reb, 7.8 ast), Kyrie Irving (23 pts, 3.3 reb, 5.5 ast). Utah Jazz: Keyonte George (21.6 pts, 4 reb, 6.6 ast), Jaren Jackson Jr. (16.7 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast).
Is Dallas Mavericks or Utah Jazz on a back-to-back?
Dallas Mavericks have had 2 days of rest; Utah Jazz have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Dallas Mavericks

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 117.70 vs 111.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (116 - 110; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Dallas Mavericks win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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