MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62%
NBA · Regular Season Smoothie King Center, New Orleans Not Started

New Orleans Pelicans
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves.

Quick answer

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

10 of 10 AI models pick Minnesota Timberwolves to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 121–122 at 68% average confidence (high).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Minnesota Timberwolves (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 121–122 at 68% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where New Orleans Pelicans and Minnesota Timberwolves stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New Orleans Pelicans win 0%

0 / 10 models

Minnesota Timberwolves win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Minnesota Timberwolves win
121–122
70%
Minnesota’s 2-0 start, league-better 101.5 defensive rating, 39.7% three-point shooting and Anthony Edwards’ 33.3-point form outweigh New Orleans’ home advantage and strong scoring pace.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Minnesota Timberwolves win
121–129
71%
Timberwolves are 2-0 with elite defense (101.5 per 100) and Edwards averaging 33.3; Pelicans allowing 128/game on a 3-game losing streak with poor defense.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Minnesota Timberwolves win
115–122
68%
Anthony Edwards is in stellar scoring form against a struggling New Orleans defense conceding 119.3 points per 100 possessions. Minnesota's superior efficiency and defensive discipline give them the edge on equal rest.
04
Grok 4.7
Minnesota Timberwolves win
113–122
64%
Wolves 2-0 with elite early defense (101.5/100) and Edwards at 33 PPG; Pelicans 0-3 leak 119.3/100. Home rest even, but Minnesota's form and H2H edge travel.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Minnesota Timberwolves win
118–119
68%
Minnesota is 2-0 with a top-10 defense (101.5 DRTG) and Edwards scoring 33.3 PPG; New Orleans is 0-3 allowing 119.3 DRTG. Timberwolves' superior form and defense outweigh Pelicans' home edge.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Minnesota Timberwolves win
121–122
73%
Minnesota's elite defense (101.5 per 100) and Edwards' 33-ppg form overwhelm 0-3 Pelicans, who allow 128 per game and rank near the bottom defensively.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Minnesota Timberwolves win
108–118
68%
Timberwolves elite defense (102.8) vs Pelicans 0-4 and 114 allowed; Edwards 33.3-pt form and pace edge decide at Smoothie King despite equal rest.
08
Kimi K3
Minnesota Timberwolves win
114–122
68%
Minnesota's elite defense (101.5 per 100) and Edwards' 33.3 ppg form overwhelm New Orleans' 0-3 start and league-worst 119.3 defensive rating; Pelicans' home court insufficient against Wolves' 2-0 momentum.
09
GLM 5.3
Minnesota Timberwolves win
118–119
63%
Minnesota's 2-0 start, elite defense (101.5 per 100) and Edwards' 33-point form outweigh New Orleans' home venue; Pelicans' 0-3 slide and 119.3 defensive rating suggest a road win around 10 points.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Minnesota Timberwolves win
119–120
66%
Minnesota's elite defense (101.5 per 100) and Edwards' 33.3 ppg form outweigh New Orleans' 0-3 start and 128 points allowed per game recently; equal rest, but Wolves' two-way edge decides it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 8 models settled on 121–122. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 121–122
    2 models
  • 118–119
    2 models
  • 108–118
    1 model
  • 121–129
    1 model
  • 119–120
    1 model
  • 113–122
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Timberwolves −1
AI total
243
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 3 games
Zion Williamson
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F
21.8 PTS 29.3
4.2 REB 3
2.2 AST 3.7
32 MIN 34
Anthony Edwards
Anthony Edwards
Minnesota Timberwolves · G

New Orleans Pelicans

0-4 · #14 Western
Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days

Minnesota Timberwolves

3-2 · #6 Western
Home 1-1 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak L2
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Dejounte Murray
    Dejounte Murray Pelicans · G
    32 min · 17.8 pts a game before
  • Anthony Edwards
    Anthony Edwards Timberwolves · G
    34 min · 29.3 pts a game before

Season averages per game

New Orleans Pelicans Minnesota Timberwolves
115.4 Points 118.8
46.4% Field goal % 47%
31.5% 3-point % 38.6%
77% Free throw % 71.9%
45.3 Rebounds 45.7
24.3 Assists 25.8
17.8 Turnovers 16.2
13.3 Steals 9.2
5.2 Blocks 5

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

PelicansTimberwolves
Offensive rating 107.5 113.7
Defensive rating 113.2 102.1
Net rating -5.7 +11.6
Pace 107.4 104.5
Effective FG % 52.2 55.4
Turnover % 16.6 15.5
Free throw rate 34.6 32.9
3-point attempt rate 36.8 43.2

Key players · New Orleans Pelicans

  • Zion Williamson
    Zion WilliamsonF 21.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.2 ast
  • Dejounte Murray
    Dejounte MurrayG 17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
  • TI
    Trey Murphy IIIF 14.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.8 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Anthony Edwards
    Anthony EdwardsG 29.3 pts · 3 reb · 3.7 ast
  • Jaden McDaniels
    Jaden McDanielsF 17 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.4 ast
  • TS
    Terrence Jr. ShannonG 14.4 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.6 ast

Averages over the last 3 games.

Last ten games

New Orleans Pelicans WLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
119.4 / 121.6
Total over 220.5
4/5
Total over 230.5
4/5
Scored 110+
4/5
Won by 6+
1/5
Minnesota Timberwolves WLLWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
121.5 / 106.7
Total over 220.5
4/6
Total over 230.5
3/6
Scored 110+
6/6
Won by 6+
4/6

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Dejounte Murray by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Anthony Edwards by Bryan Berlin (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jaden McDaniels by AWProductions (CC BY 3.0), LaMelo Ball by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
Points o21.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
22
23
17
25
22
Rebounds o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
5
1
5
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
29
30
20
32
30
Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 4 games
Points o17.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
23
16
22
10
Rebounds o5.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
3
6
6
8
Assists o6.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
7
6
6
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o29.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
33
28
34
23
TI

Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
Points o14.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
11
9
26
6
19
Rebounds o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
6
6
1
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o21.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
16
18
36
10
27
3-pointers made o2.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
2
1
4
2
2
Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

Minnesota Timberwolves · G · last 4 games
Points o33.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
45
15
26
47
Rebounds o4.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
10
4
1
4
Assists o3.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
3
4
3
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o41.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
58
23
30
55
3-pointers made o4.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
9
2
2
5
Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

Minnesota Timberwolves · F · last 6 games
Points o17.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
17
15
14
14
19
23
Rebounds o6.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
8
6
6
6
7
6
Assists o3.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
1
4
3
4
4
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
26
25
23
24
30
36
LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball

Minnesota Timberwolves · G · last 6 games
Points o15.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
21
12
15
11
8
24
Assists o6.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
6
5
8
6
8
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o24.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
29
22
24
17
20
35
3-pointers made o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
5
2
4
1
2
6

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New Orleans Pelicans 121, Minnesota Timberwolves 122: a projected total of 243 points. New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5; Minnesota Timberwolves games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 6.
What is the AI spread pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
The consensus has Minnesota Timberwolves winning by 1 points (122–121), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves?
Leading scorers over the last 3 games. New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson (21.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.2 ast), Dejounte Murray (17.8 pts, 5.8 reb, 6 ast). Minnesota Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards (29.3 pts, 3 reb, 3.7 ast), Jaden McDaniels (17 pts, 6.2 reb, 4.4 ast).
Is New Orleans Pelicans or Minnesota Timberwolves on a back-to-back?
New Orleans Pelicans have had 2 days of rest; Minnesota Timberwolves have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Minnesota Timberwolves

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
High confidence

Mean 68% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 116.80 vs 121.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (121 - 122; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Minnesota Timberwolves win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.