FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 São Januário, Rio de Janeiro Match Finished · 90'

Vasco DA Gama
vs
Flamengo.

Quick answer

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?

Final score: Vasco DA Gama 1–4 Flamengo. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Flamengo to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Vasco DA Gama form Flamengo form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Flamengo (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Vasco DA Gama win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Flamengo win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Flamengo win
0–1
64%
Flamengo’s 20-7-4 record, 61-25 goal difference and 14 clean sheets indicate a clear defensive and overall quality edge. Vasco’s home venue and recent form may keep this tight, making a narrow Flamengo victory most likely.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Flamengo win
1–2
56%
Flamengo's superior squad quality, defensive record, and dominant form (20W-7D-4L) outweigh Vasco's home venue; recent H2H shows competitive margins.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Flamengo win
0–2
62%
Flamengo boast the league's top defense with 14 clean sheets and an elite attack led by Pedro. Vasco have failed to score 10 times and will struggle against Flamengo's quality.
04
Grok 4.7
Flamengo win
1–2
52%
Flamengo’s far stronger table, attack and 14 clean sheets outweigh Vasco’s home derby edge; H2H stays tight so a narrow 1-2 away win fits better than a blowout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Flamengo win
0–1
58%
Flamengo are far stronger this season, with 20 wins and 14 clean sheets, while Vasco have failed to score 10 times. Recent H2H also favors Flamengo, including a 1-0 win in January.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Flamengo win
0–1
38%
Flamengo's superior quality (20W, 14 clean sheets) edges this tight derby; H2H shows low-scoring affairs, and Vasco's 10 scoreless games support a narrow away win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Flamengo win
1–2
68%
Flamengo's superior form (20W, 61 goals) and attacking depth (Pedro, Lino) outweigh Vasco's home resilience; H2H leans narrow away wins.
08
Kimi K3
Flamengo win
1–2
62%
Flamengo are far stronger this season (20W vs 10W, 61-25 goals) and in form; Vasco's home edge and late scoring keep it competitive, but Flamengo's attack should edge it.
09
GLM 5.3
Flamengo win
0–1
52%
Flamengo's 20 wins, +36 goal difference and 14 clean sheets clearly outclass Vasco's 13 losses; H2H meetings are consistently tight and low-scoring, so a narrow 0-1 away win fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Flamengo win
0–1
58%
Flamengo's 20W-4L season and 14 clean sheets dwarf Vasco's form; H2H shows tight derby games with Flamengo edging them, and Vasco's 10 blank sheets suggest a narrow away win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    5 models
  • 1–2
    4 models
  • 0–2
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Vasco DA Gama
A. Lescano 15'
1–4
Flamengo
Pedro 10', 41'
Samuel Lino 53', 85'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 4.20 / 3.50 / 1.83
Vasco DA Gama Market 22% · AI 0%
Draw Market 27% · AI 0%
Flamengo Market 51% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo

Vasco DA Gama

4-2-3-1
20 Brenner
20 Brenner
9 Facundo Colidio
9 Colidio
22 Alan Lescano
22 Lescano
18 Marino Hinestroza
18 Hinestroza
23 Thiago Mendes
23 Mendes
8 Jair
8 Jair
66 Cuiabano
66 Cuiabano
43 Lucas Freitas
43 Freitas
55 Gabriel Pereira
55 Pereira
2 Puma Rodríguez
2 Rodríguez
1 Léo Jardim
1 Jardim

Bench: Daniel Fuzato, Alan Saldivia, Robert Renan, Paulo Henrique, Lucas Piton, Nuno Moreira, Tchê Tchê, Ramon Rique, Santiago Sosa, Bruno Duarte, David, Adson

Flamengo

4-2-3-1
9 Pedro Guilherme
9 Guilherme
16 Samuel Lino
16 Lino
10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta
10 Arrascaeta
19 Gonzalo Plata
19 Plata
21 Jorginho
21 Jorginho
5 Erick Pulgar
5 Pulgar
22 Emerson Royal
22 Royal
4 Léo Pereira
4 Pereira
3 Léo Ortiz
3 Ortiz
2 Guillermo Varela
2 Varela
1 Agustín Rossi
1 Rossi

Bench: Andrew, Dyogo Alves, Ayrton Lucas, Vitão, João Victor, Johnny Goes, Luiz Araújo, Lucas Paquetá, Evertton Araujo, Bruno Henrique, Josmar, Joaquín Freitas

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Vasco DA Gama

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
10-8-14
Goals
40-49
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
10
Best win run
3
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Flamengo

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
22-7-4
Goals
68-28
Clean sheets
14
Failed to score
2
Best win run
5
Penalties
5/5
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Vasco DA Gama

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Flamengo

  • Pedro 18 G · 6 A · 33 apps
  • Samuel Lino 11 G · 9 A · 32 apps
  • J. Carrascal 7 G · 8 A · 26 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue São Januário, Rio de Janeiro
Referee Bruno Arleu de Araujo
New at Vasco DA Gama Gabriel Pereira (FC Copenhagen), A. Lescano (Argentinos JRS), Bruno Duarte (FK Crvena Zvezda)
New at Flamengo M. Viña (River Plate), J. Freitas (River Plate), A. Valencia (Antwerp)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Flamengo

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.40 vs 1.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Flamengo win · AI Flamengo win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Vasco DA Gama
#13 · 38 PTS · GD -6
Last 5
L W L L W
6 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Flamengo 1-4 L
  • Corinthians 3-2 W
  • Boca Juniors 1-3 L
  • Sao Paulo 1-0 L
  • Boca Juniors 0-1 W
Team news
Cauan Barros — Leg Injury C. Cuesta — Hip Injury Mateus Carvalho — Knee Injury A. Gomez — Injury
Flamengo
#1 · 70 PTS · GD +37
Last 5
W W D W D
10 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Vasco DA Gama 1-4 W
  • Atletico-MG 3-2 W
  • Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
  • Bahia 0-3 W
  • Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 D
Team news
J. Carrascal — Yellow Cards Danilo — Jaw injury S. Niguez — Muscle Injury A. Valencia — Eye injury Evertton Araujo — Thigh Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

VAS 0 · D 3 · FLA 2

FLA VS VAS
2-2
DRAW
May 3, 2026
FLA VS VAS
1-0
HOME WIN
Jan 22, 2026
FLA VS VAS
1-1
DRAW
Sep 21, 2025
VAS VS FLA
0-0
DRAW
Apr 19, 2025
FLA VS VAS
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 8, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Vasco DA Gama, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Vasco DA Gama
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Flamengo
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Vasco DA Gama is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Flamengo win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Flamengo win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.