FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre Match Finished · 90'

Gremio
vs
Atletico Paranaense.

Quick answer

Who will win Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?

Final score: Gremio 2–0 Atletico Paranaense. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Atletico Paranaense to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Gremio form Atletico Paranaense form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Atletico Paranaense (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 48% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Gremio and Atletico Paranaense stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Gremio win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Atletico Paranaense win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Atletico Paranaense win
0–1
57%
Atletico Paranaense have the stronger season profile, scoring 50 goals versus Gremio’s 34, while Gremio’s recent LDDDL run and ten scoreless matches suggest limited attacking output despite home advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Atletico Paranaense win
1–2
50%
Atletico Paranaense's superior record, Viveros's scoring form, and more clean sheets outweigh Gremio's mediocre mid-table form and defensive struggles.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Atletico Paranaense win
0–1
48%
Gremio are winless in five matches with frequent scoring struggles, while Atletico Paranaense boast the league's top threat in Viveros to edge a tight clash.
04
Grok 4.7
Atletico Paranaense win
0–1
46%
Gremio’s LDDDL form and 10 blanks this season vs Athletico’s stronger table and attack; home venue not enough to offset a tight low-scoring away win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Atletico Paranaense win
0–1
48%
Gremio are winless in five with poor scoring, while Atletico Paranaense sit much higher and have Viveros in form. A tight away win fits both teams' recent low-scoring patterns.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Atletico Paranaense win
0–1
32%
Gremio's dire form (LDDDL, 10 blanks) vs Atletico's quality (Viveros 21 goals) points away; recent H2H 0-0 suggests tight, low-scoring affair.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Atletico Paranaense win
0–1
62%
Atletico Paranaense stronger form (2nd in table, 50 goals scored), Gremio struggling (10 losses, 44 conceded). H2H mixed but away side's attack edges it.
08
Kimi K3
Atletico Paranaense win
1–2
45%
Atletico Paranaense far stronger this season (15W vs 7W, Viveros 21 goals) while Gremio are winless in five; Arena do Grêmio and decent H2H keep it narrow rather than a rout.
09
GLM 5.3
Atletico Paranaense win
1–2
52%
Gremio are struggling (LDDDL, 14 losses) while Atletico sit strong with Viveros scoring freely; recent H2H was tight, so a narrow away win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Atletico Paranaense win
0–1
42%
Gremio's LDDDL slump and 34-44 goals contrast with Atletico's top-half form and Viveros' 21 goals; H2H's 0-0 in May suggests a tight, low-scoring away edge at Arena do Grêmio.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    7 models
  • 1–2
    3 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Gremio
Marlon 39'
Fabian Balbuena 52'
2–0
Atletico Paranaense
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.35 / 3.40 / 3.00
Gremio Market 40% · AI 0%
Draw Market 28% · AI 0%
Atletico Paranaense Market 32% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense

Gremio

3-4-3
9 Francis Amuzu
9 Amuzu
95 Carlos Vinícius
95 Vinícius
99 José Enamorado
99 Enamorado
23 Marlon
23 Marlon
20 Mathias Villasanti
20 Villasanti
8 Erick Noriega
8 Noriega
18 João Pedro
18 Pedro
82 Wallace
82 Wallace
2 Fabián Balbuena
2 Balbuena
6 Gustavo Martins
6 Martins
1 Weverton
1 Weverton

Bench: Gabriel Grando, Marcos Rocha, Pedro Gabriel, Wagner Leonardo, Caio Paulista, Zortéa, Filip Krovinović, Dodi, João Borne, Matheus Nascimento, Tetê, Martin Braithwaite

Atletico Paranaense

3-4-2-1
9 Kevin Viveros
9 Viveros
8 João Cruz
8 Cruz
21 Leozinho
21 Leozinho
6 Leonardo Derik
6 Derik
14 Luiz Gustavo
14 Gustavo
27 Juan Portilla
27 Portilla
7 Steven Mendoza
7 Mendoza
37 Lucas Esquivel
37 Esquivel
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre
33 Aguirre
4 Arthur Dias
4 Dias
1 Mycael
1 Mycael

Bench: Santos, Gastón Benavídez, Bruno Baldini, Gilberto Junior, Dantas, Dudu, Chiqueti, Kerwin Vargas, Felipinho, Bruno Zapelli, Jorge Rivaldo, Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Gremio

4-1-4-1
W-D-L
9-10-14
Goals
37-44
Clean sheets
8
Failed to score
10
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Atletico Paranaense

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
15-9-9
Goals
50-40
Clean sheets
8
Failed to score
8
Best win run
4
Penalties
5/6
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Gremio

  • Carlos Vinícius 11 G · 1 A · 32 apps

Key players · Atletico Paranaense

  • K. Viveros 21 G · 3 A · 31 apps
  • João Cruz 2 G · 5 A · 26 apps
  • L. Esquivel 2 G · 5 A · 23 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Referee Alex Gomes Stefano
New at Gremio Danilo Barbosa (Al Ula), F. Krovinović (HNK Hajduk Split), Diego Caito (Goias)
New at Atletico Paranaense Alemao (Novorizontino), N. Azambuja (Danubio), Daniel (Fortaleza EC)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Atletico Paranaense

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 48% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.30 vs 1.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Gremio win · AI Atletico Paranaense win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Gremio
#17 · 34 PTS · GD -9
Last 5
W W L D D
6 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Atletico Paranaense 2-0 W
  • Coritiba 0-1 W
  • Cruzeiro 2-4 L
  • Internacional 1-1 D
  • Palmeiras 0-0 D
Team news
J. Cabral — Muscle Injury Danilo Barbosa — Injury Diego Caito — Muscle Injury J. Nardoni — Inactive C. Pavon — Muscle Injury
Atletico Paranaense
#4 · 54 PTS · GD +12
Last 5
L D L W D
6 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Gremio 2-0 L
  • Vitoria 1-1 D
  • Palmeiras 0-2 L
  • Bahia 2-1 W
  • Coritiba 3-3 D
Team news
Claudinho — Knee Injury Gilberto — Yellow Cards Jadson — Yellow Cards C. Teran — Inactive Bruno Baldini — Injury K. Viveros — Inactive
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

GRE 3 · D 1 · ATL 1

ATL VS GRE
0-0
DRAW
May 2, 2026
ATL VS GRE
0-2
AWAY WIN
Aug 4, 2024
GRE VS ATL
2-0
HOME WIN
Apr 17, 2024
GRE VS ATL
1-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 18, 2023
ATL VS GRE
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 27, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Gremio, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Gremio
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Atletico Paranaense
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Gremio is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Atletico Paranaense win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Atletico Paranaense win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.