MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos Match Finished · 90'

Santos
vs
Palmeiras.

Quick answer

Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?

Final score: Santos 0–0 Palmeiras. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Palmeiras to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Santos form Palmeiras form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (807 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Palmeiras (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Santos and Palmeiras stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Santos win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Palmeiras win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Palmeiras win
0–1
64%
Palmeiras’ 20-3-9 record, 56-22 goal difference and 15 clean sheets show a stronger, more controlled side than Santos. Santos’ home advantage and recent draws suggest a tight match, but Palmeiras’ defensive consistency favors a narrow away win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Palmeiras win
1–2
48%
Palmeiras' superior record (20W-9D-3L, 15 clean sheets) and recent H2H dominance outweigh Santos' home venue; expect a tight away win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Palmeiras win
0–1
48%
Palmeiras boast the league's top defense with 15 clean sheets and just 22 goals conceded. In a tight derby at Vila Belmiro, their defensive structure should edge a narrow victory.
04
Grok 4.7
Palmeiras win
0–1
38%
Palmeiras lead the table with 15 clean sheets and four straight wins; Santos are mid-table. Recent Vila Belmiro H2H was 0-0, so a tight away win fits.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Palmeiras win
0–1
51%
Palmeiras lead the league with 15 clean sheets and superior form, while Santos have failed to score only three times but face a much stronger defense. H2H shows Palmeiras winning three of the last five.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Palmeiras win
0–1
38%
Palmeiras' elite defense (15 clean sheets) and 2026 H2H dominance over Santos support a narrow away win; Santos' home attack is blunted by Palmeiras' backline.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Palmeiras win
0–1
68%
Palmeiras' dominant form (20W, 15 clean sheets) and recent H2H edge (3-0, 1-0) outweigh Santos' inconsistent home record.
08
Kimi K3
Palmeiras win
0–1
55%
Palmeiras' league-best defense (15 clean sheets, 22 conceded) and superior form (DWWWW) should contain Santos' attack; visitors' quality edge suggests a narrow away win despite Vila Belmiro venue.
09
GLM 5.3
Palmeiras win
0–1
58%
Palmeiras' 20W, 56-22 record and 15 clean sheets outclass Santos despite Vila Belmiro; H2H games are tight and low-scoring, so a narrow 0-1 fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Palmeiras win
0–1
42%
Palmeiras lead the table with 15 clean sheets and four straight wins; Santos' 47 goals conceded and recent 3-0 H2H loss point to a tight away win at Vila Belmiro.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    9 models
  • 1–2
    1 model

Live match centre

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Santos
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Palmeiras
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.50 / 3.40 / 2.10
Santos Market 27% · AI 0%
Draw Market 28% · AI 0%
Palmeiras Market 45% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Santos vs Palmeiras

Santos

4-2-3-1
Cuca
9 Gabriel Barbosa
9 Barbosa
7 Everton
7 Everton
11 Philippe Coutinho
11 Coutinho
8 Gabriel Bontempo
8 Bontempo
28 C. Oliva
28 Oliva
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira
48 Pereira
22 Á. Barreal
22 Barreal
14 Luan Peres
14 Peres
42 João Alencar
42 Alencar
23 Rodinei
23 Rodinei
1 Diógenes
1 Diógenes

Bench: Pedro Assis, G. Caballero, Gabriel Menino, Lima, B. Rollheiser, João Schmidt, João Paulo, M. Terceros, Rony, Rafael Gonzaga, Igor Vinicius, João Paulo Ananias

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1
Abel Ferreira
42 J. López
42 López
30 Lucas Evangelista
30 Evangelista
11 J. Arias
11 Arias
22 J. Piquerez
22 Piquerez
17 Marlon Freitas
17 Freitas
8 Andreas Pereira
8 Pereira
4 A. Giay
4 Giay
2 A. Barboza
2 Barboza
15 G. Gómez
15 Gómez
26 Murilo
26 Murilo
1 Carlos Miguel
1 Miguel

Bench: Maurício, Felipe Anderson, Marcelo Lomba, Erick Machado, E. Martínez, Luis Felipe, Benedetti, Vitor Roque, Arthur, Khellven, Larson, Bruno Fuchs

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Santos

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
12-11-10
Goals
49-47
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
4
Best win run
5
Penalties
8/8
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Palmeiras

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
20-10-3
Goals
56-22
Clean sheets
16
Failed to score
5
Best win run
5
Penalties
3/5
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Santos

  • Gabriel Barbosa 15 G · 3 A · 25 apps
  • Neymar 8 G · 3 A · 15 apps

Key players · Palmeiras

  • J. López 9 G · 6 A · 30 apps
  • Andreas Pereira 1 G · 10 A · 31 apps
  • Maurício 9 G · 1 A · 28 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Referee Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
New at Santos João Pedro Chermont (Coritiba), Philippe Coutinho (Vasco DA Gama), Andrey (São Caetano)
New at Palmeiras Bruno (Portuguesa), Sorriso (Avai), A. Barboza (Botafogo)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Palmeiras

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.10 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Palmeiras win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Santos
#8 · 47 PTS · GD +2
Last 5
D D W L W
6 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Palmeiras 0-0 D
  • Bahia 1-1 D
  • Fluminense 1-2 W
  • Atletico-MG 2-1 L
  • Sao Paulo 1-2 W
Team news
Arthur Melo — Muscle Injury G. Escobar — Thigh Injury Gabriel Brazao — Shoulder Injury Lucas Verissimo — Injury Neymar — Red Card Vinicius Lira — Knee Injury Willian Arao — Inactive
Palmeiras
#2 · 70 PTS · GD +34
Last 5
D W L W W
6 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Santos 0-0 D
  • RB Bragantino 2-0 W
  • Fluminense 0-1 L
  • Atletico Paranaense 0-2 W
  • Fluminense 1-2 W
Team news
Jefte — Knee Injury Paulinho — Inactive Vitor Roque — Inactive R. Sosa — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SAN 1 · D 2 · PAL 2

SAN VS PAL
0-0
DRAW
Sep 3, 2026
PAL VS SAN
3-0
HOME WIN
Aug 27, 2026
PAL VS SAN
1-1
DRAW
May 2, 2026
PAL VS SAN
1-0
HOME WIN
Jan 14, 2026
SAN VS PAL
1-0
HOME WIN
Nov 16, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Santos, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Santos
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Palmeiras
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Santos is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Palmeiras win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Santos vs Palmeiras in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Palmeiras win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Santos vs Palmeiras, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.