EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba Match Finished · 90'

Coritiba
vs
Gremio.

Quick answer

Who will win Coritiba vs Gremio?

Final score: Coritiba 0–1 Gremio. Before kickoff, 1 of 10 AI models pick Coritiba to win (10%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Coritiba form Gremio form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Coritiba and Gremio stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Coritiba win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 90%

9 / 10 models

Gremio win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
31%
Both teams have poor recent records and similar scoring profiles, with Coritiba’s home advantage offset by Gremio’s recent 1-0 win in this matchup. Their repeated failure to score and defensive absences support a cautious 1-1 draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Coritiba win
1–0
38%
Both mid-table sides struggling defensively and in poor form; Coritiba's home edge and Pedro Rocha's scoring form give a slight nod in a tight, low-scoring match.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
51%
Both sides enter in poor form, winless in their last five league matches. With Gremio missing Kannemann and Coritiba lacking cutting edge recently, a low-scoring stalemate at Couto Pereira is the most probable outcome.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
32%
Both sides in poor Serie A form (DLLDL vs LDDDL), each failing to score 10 times; low-event 1-1 fits Couto Pereira plus Gremio’s Kannemann absence.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
52%
Both sides are in poor form and low-scoring, with Coritiba winless in five and Gremio winless in four. H2H and season stats suggest a tight, low-margin game; 1-1 fits the modest attacking output.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
32%
Both sides in poor form (DLLDL vs LDDDL), low-scoring profiles, and Gremio's recent draw-heavy run suggest a tight, low-output stalemate at Couto Pereira.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Both teams struggle to score, recent H2H tight, and mid-table form suggests a low-scoring draw.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Coritiba hold home advantage at Couto Pereira but both sides arrive in poor form (DLLDL vs LDDDL). Gremio's defensive absences and Coritiba's home edge suggest a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
52%
Both struggling (DLLDL vs LDDDL), low-scoring attacks with 10 blanks each; Gremio draw-heavy but Coritiba's Josué-Pedro Rocha threat at home offsets Carlos Vinícius. Tight 1-1 fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Both sides are struggling badly (Coritiba DLLDL, Gremio LDDDL) with blunt attacks and Gremio missing Kannemann; Coritiba's home edge is offset by Gremio's H2H dominance, pointing to a tight draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    9 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Coritiba
0–1
Gremio
Martin Braithwaite 90+2'
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.25 / 3.25 / 3.30
Coritiba Market 42% · AI 10%
Draw Market 29% · AI 90%
Gremio Market 29% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Coritiba vs Gremio

Coritiba

4-2-3-1
Fernando Seabra
18 Paulo Roberto
18 Roberto
7 J. Lavega
7 Lavega
10 Josué
10 Josué
32 Pedro Rocha
32 Rocha
19 S. Gómez
19 Gómez
5 N. Fonseca
5 Fonseca
26 Bruno Melo
26 Melo
55 Jacy
55 Jacy
23 Tiago Cóser
23 Cóser
2 Tinga
2 Tinga
1 Pedro Luccas
1 Luccas

Bench: F. Bustos, Breno Lopes, Fabinho, Felipe Jonatan, Keiller, Maicon, B. Ocampo, Richard, Rodrigo Moledo, Rodrigo Rodrigues, Tissi, Vini Paulista

Gremio

3-4-3
Renato Gaúcho
9 F. Amuzu
9 Amuzu
95 Carlos Vinícius
95 Vinícius
7 C. Pavón
7 Pavón
23 Marlon
23 Marlon
20 M. Villasanti
20 Villasanti
8 E. Noriega
8 Noriega
27 Diego Caito
27 Caito
82 Wallace
82 Wallace
2 F. Balbuena
2 Balbuena
6 Gustavo Martins
6 Martins
1 Weverton
1 Weverton

Bench: Tetê, M. Braithwaite, J. Enamorado, Gabriel Grando, F. Krovinović, João Pedro, Dodi, Matheus Nascimento, Marcos Rocha, Bernardo Zortea, Caio Paulista, Wagner Leonardo

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Coritiba

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
11-9-13
Goals
40-50
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
11
Best win run
3
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Gremio

4-1-4-1
W-D-L
9-10-14
Goals
37-44
Clean sheets
8
Failed to score
10
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Coritiba

  • Josué 1 G · 11 A · 29 apps
  • Pedro Rocha 8 G · 1 A · 31 apps
  • Breno Lopes 8 G · 1 A · 28 apps

Key players · Gremio

  • Carlos Vinícius 11 G · 1 A · 32 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee Ramon Abatti
New at Coritiba F. Bustos (River Plate), N. Fonseca (Club Leon), Richard (Internacional)
New at Gremio Danilo Barbosa (Al Ula), F. Krovinović (HNK Hajduk Split), Diego Caito (Goias)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

90% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 0.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Gremio win · AI Coritiba win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Coritiba
#12 · 39 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
W L L D L
3 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Vitoria 2-0 W
  • Gremio 0-1 L
  • Atletico-MG 1-0 L
  • Botafogo 1-1 D
  • Fluminense 4-0 L
Team news
Lucas Ronier — Knee Injury Thiago Santos — Yellow Cards Lucas Taverna — Inactive Richard — Inactive
Gremio
#17 · 34 PTS · GD -9
Last 5
W W L D D
6 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Atletico Paranaense 2-0 W
  • Coritiba 0-1 W
  • Cruzeiro 2-4 L
  • Internacional 1-1 D
  • Palmeiras 0-0 D
Team news
J. Cabral — Inactive Danilo Barbosa — Injury B. G. Joao Pedro — Injury J. Nardoni — Inactive Walter Kannemann — Red Card Matheus Nascimento — Inactive Wallace — Inactive
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

COR 0 · D 1 · GRE 4

GRE VS COR
1-0
HOME WIN
Apr 26, 2026
COR VS GRE
1-2
AWAY WIN
Nov 1, 2023
GRE VS COR
5-1
HOME WIN
Jun 25, 2023
COR VS GRE
1-1
DRAW
Jan 31, 2021
GRE VS COR
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 7, 2020

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Coritiba, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 90% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Coritiba
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~90%
implied lean
Gremio
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Coritiba is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Coritiba win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Coritiba vs Gremio in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Coritiba win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 90% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Coritiba vs Gremio, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.