VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Arena Condá, Chapeco Match Finished · 90'

Chapecoense-sc
vs
Fluminense.

Quick answer

Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?

Final score: Chapecoense-sc 2–1 Fluminense. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Fluminense to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Chapecoense-sc form Fluminense form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (805 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Fluminense (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–2 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Chapecoense-sc and Fluminense stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Chapecoense-sc win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Fluminense win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Fluminense win
0–2
68%
Chapecoense-sc’s 30-62 record and three wins indicate major defensive weakness, while Fluminense have 14 wins and conceded far less. Fluminense also won the latest meeting, supporting a controlled away victory.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Fluminense win
1–2
58%
Chapecoense struggling badly (3W-9D-18L, LDLLL) while Fluminense sit much higher with stronger attack; recent H2H also favors Fluminense on the road.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Fluminense win
0–2
62%
Chapecoense have struggled severely with 18 losses and 62 goals conceded, while Fluminense's superior quality in attack should see them claim a comfortable clean-sheet victory.
04
Grok 4.7
Fluminense win
1–2
52%
Chape is 3-9-18 with 62 conceded and LDLLL form; Flu is clearly stronger (14-9-8). H2H and quality point to a narrow away win, not a Chape upset.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Fluminense win
0–2
58%
Chapecoense are bottom with 18 losses and 10 scoreless games; Fluminense have far better form and won 2-1 and 3-0 in recent H2H. Away win with a clean sheet fits both sides' patterns.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Fluminense win
0–2
20%
Chapecoense's dire form (LDLLL, 3W all season) and weak attack (failed to score 33% of games) face Fluminense's solid defence and superior firepower; 0-2 reflects the quality gap.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Fluminense win
0–1
62%
Chapecoense-sc struggling (18L, 30-62 goals), Fluminense stronger (14W, 49-39). H2H leans away. Home form poor.
08
Kimi K3
Fluminense win
0–2
58%
Chapecoense's dire form (3W-18L, 62 goals conceded, LDLLL) meets Fluminense's superior attack (49 goals); H2H shows three straight Flu wins including 2-1 this season.
09
GLM 5.3
Fluminense win
1–2
52%
Chapecoense are bottom-tier (18 losses, 62 conceded) while Fluminense's attack with John Kennedy is far stronger; Fluminense won all recent H2H, though their shaky away form (LWWLL) keeps confidence modest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Fluminense win
0–2
58%
Chapecoense sit bottom with 18 losses and 10 blanks, poor form LDLLL; Fluminense's attack with Kennedy far stronger, and H2H shows Flu dominance that still fits this gap.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 0–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–2
    6 models
  • 1–2
    3 models
  • 0–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Chapecoense-sc
Yannick Bolasie 9'
Giovanni Augusto 56'
2–1
Fluminense
Claudio Rodrigues Gomes 30'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 4.75 / 3.70 / 1.75
Chapecoense-sc Market 20% · AI 0%
Draw Market 26% · AI 0%
Fluminense Market 54% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-1
Rafael Lacerda
11 Y. Bolasie
11 Bolasie
31 Garcez
31 Garcez
10 Giovanni Augusto
10 Augusto
7 Marcinho
7 Marcinho
88 Yago Felipe
88 Felipe
27 Camilo
27 Camilo
91 Bruno Pacheco
91 Pacheco
4 João Paulo
4 Paulo
3 Doma
3 Doma
20 Bruno Tubarão
20 Tubarão
98 Anderson
98 Anderson

Bench: Miguel Carvalho, Bruno Matias, David Antunes, Dudu, Fernando, Max, Rafael Thyere, K. Ramírez, Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira, F. Rossi, Matheus Aurélio, Rodrigo

Fluminense

4-2-3-1
Marcão
7 Hulk
7 Hulk
90 K. Serna
90 Serna
10 PH Ganso
10 Ganso
34 Wesley Nata
34 Nata
35 Hércules
35 Hércules
16 Nonato
16 Nonato
13 Guilherme Arana
13 Arana
21 Igor Rabello
21 Rabello
4 Ignacio
4 Ignacio
23 Guga
23 Guga
1 Fábio
1 Fábio

Bench: R. Castillo, J. Freytes, Otávio, Renê, Riquelme, Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Vitor Eudes, L. Acosta, G. Cano, A. Canobbio, Ruan Sales Oliveira

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Chapecoense-sc

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-9-19
Goals
32-66
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
11
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Fluminense

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
15-9-9
Goals
52-42
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
4
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Chapecoense-sc

  • Giovanni Augusto 2 G · 6 A · 24 apps

Key players · Fluminense

  • L. Acosta 6 G · 5 A · 28 apps
  • John Kennedy 9 G · 1 A · 18 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue Arena Condá, Chapeco
Referee Anderson Daronco
New at Chapecoense-sc Dudu Marques (Guarani Campinas), Rosivan (Maranhão), M. Carvalho (Al-Qadisiyah FC)
New at Fluminense Lima (Club America), Thiago Silva (FC Porto), Samuel Granada (North District)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Fluminense

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.30 vs 1.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Chapecoense-sc win · AI Fluminense win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 21 PTS · GD -34
Last 5
L W L D L
4 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • RB Bragantino 3-0 L
  • Fluminense 2-1 W
  • Botafogo 1-0 L
  • Atletico Nacional 1-1 D
  • Internacional 1-2 L
Team news
Heitor — Hamstring Injury Kauan — Yellow Cards Robert Conceicao — Knee Injury Vinicius Balieiro — Knee Injury Rafael Carvalheira — Knee Injury
Fluminense
#5 · 54 PTS · GD +10
Last 5
W L W L L
6 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Internacional 2-1 W
  • Chapecoense-sc 2-1 L
  • Palmeiras 0-1 W
  • Santos 1-2 L
  • Palmeiras 1-2 L
Team news
Alisson — Hip Injury John Kennedy — Knee Injury Matheus Reis — Knee Injury J. Millan — Inactive Riquelme Felipe — Inactive J. Savarino — Yellow Cards Martinelli — Inactive
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

CHA 0 · D 2 · FLU 3

FLU VS CHA
2-1
HOME WIN
Apr 26, 2026
FLU VS CHA
3-0
HOME WIN
Dec 10, 2021
CHA VS FLU
1-2
AWAY WIN
Sep 8, 2021
FLU VS CHA
1-1
DRAW
Oct 26, 2019
CHA VS FLU
1-1
DRAW
Jun 13, 2019

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Chapecoense-sc, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Chapecoense-sc
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Fluminense
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Chapecoense-sc is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Fluminense win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Fluminense win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.