FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo Match Finished · 90'

Corinthians
vs
Mirassol.

Quick answer

Who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Final score: Corinthians 2–0 Mirassol. Before kickoff, 3 of 10 AI models pick Corinthians to win (30%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Corinthians form Mirassol form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 43% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Corinthians and Mirassol stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Corinthians win 30%

3 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Mirassol win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
31%
Corinthians have home advantage but poor recent form and a 34-42 record, while Mirassol are steadier at 37-45 and recently unbeaten in four. Their balanced profiles support a low-scoring draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Draw
1–1
40%
Corinthians in poor form (LLLDL) but at home; Mirassol slightly better recent form (WDLWD) but inconsistent away. Both struggle to score regularly.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Corinthians are struggling in poor form (LLLDL), while Mirassol are resilient but keep few clean sheets away. A low-scoring, balanced stalemate fits both sides.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
38%
Corinthians last five LLLDL and leaky attack at Neo Quimica; Mirassol in better form (WDLWD) but few clean sheets. Even, low-scoring 1-1 fits both sides’ scoring rates.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Mirassol win
1–2
42%
Corinthians are in poor form with five straight losses, while Mirassol's recent WDLWD run and prior 2-1 away win at Corinthians support an away edge despite the venue.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
38%
Corinthians' dire form (LLLDL) offsets their strong home H2H vs Mirassol; both sides are low-scoring, making a tight draw the most balanced outcome.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Corinthians win
1–0
52%
Corinthians unbeaten at home vs Mirassol with 3-0, 2-0 wins; 10 clean sheets can stifle Mirassol despite poor LLLDL form and missing Depay.
08
Kimi K3
Corinthians win
1–0
48%
Corinthians' form is poor (LLLDL) but Neo Quimica Arena H2H is dominant (3-0, 2-0, 3-0); Mirassol scores away but concedes, so a tight low-scoring home edge.
09
GLM 5.3
Corinthians win
2–1
48%
Corinthians' form is poor (LLLDL) but they dominate this fixture at Neo Quimica (3-0, 2-0, 3-0); Mirassol's 3 clean sheets and leaky away defense suggest goals both ways in a narrow home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Corinthians' poor form (LLLDL, 15 losses) and Mirassol's solid WDLWD level this out despite home venue; both defenses concede regularly, but neither attack is sharp enough to force a winner.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 1–0
    2 models
  • 1–2
    1 model
  • 2–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Corinthians
Matheus Bidu 58'
Kaio Cesar 80'
2–0
Mirassol
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.80 / 3.40 / 4.50
Corinthians Market 52% · AI 36%
Draw Market 27% · AI 55%
Mirassol Market 21% · AI 9%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Corinthians

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
8-9-15
Goals
34-42
Clean sheets
10
Failed to score
7
Best win run
3
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Mirassol

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
9-10-13
Goals
37-45
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
8
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Corinthians

  • R. Garro 3 G · 6 A · 29 apps

Key players · Mirassol

  • Igor Formiga 4 G · 5 A · 29 apps
  • Alesson 0 G · 5 A · 28 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee Matheus Delgado Candançan
New at Corinthians Gabriel Caipira (Ipatinga), I. Machado (Corinthians), J. Lingard (FC Seoul)
New at Mirassol Zé Roberto (Sport Recife), Gustavo Silva (Jubilo Iwata), Gustavo Cazonatti (Sporting Cristal)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 43% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Corinthians win · AI Corinthians win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Corinthians
#18 · 33 PTS · GD -8
Last 5
W L L L L
6 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Mirassol 2-0 W
  • Vasco DA Gama 3-2 L
  • Palmeiras 4-1 L
  • Fluminense 1-3 L
  • Estudiantes L.P. 0-1 L
Team news
M. Depay — Inactive Gabriel Paulista — Inactive Kayke — Knee Injury Z. Labyad — Knee Injury J. Lingard — Yellow Cards Raniele — Inactive Alex Santana — Inactive
Mirassol
#15 · 37 PTS · GD -8
Last 5
D W L D W
8 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sao Paulo 1-1 D
  • Internacional 2-0 W
  • Bahia 1-0 L
  • RB Bragantino 1-1 D
  • Uberlandia 0-4 W
Team news
Negueba — Knee Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

COR 3 · D 0 · MIR 2

MIR VS COR
2-1
HOME WIN
May 3, 2026
COR VS MIR
3-0
HOME WIN
Oct 5, 2025
MIR VS COR
2-1
HOME WIN
May 10, 2025
COR VS MIR
2-0
HOME WIN
Mar 2, 2025
COR VS MIR
3-0
HOME WIN
Feb 19, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 30% of models side with Corinthians, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Corinthians
~30%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Mirassol
~10%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Corinthians is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Corinthians win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Corinthians vs Mirassol in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Corinthians win, with vote shares roughly 30% / 60% / 10% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Corinthians vs Mirassol, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.