LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4 Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus Match Finished · 90'

Olympiakos Piraeus
vs
Sparta Praha.

Quick answer

Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?

Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Olympiakos Piraeus to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Olympiakos Piraeus form Sparta Praha form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (806 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Olympiakos Piraeus (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Olympiakos Piraeus win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Sparta Praha win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Olympiakos Piraeus win
1–0
58%
Olympiakos have won both league-stage matches and benefit from Karaiskakis, while Sparta remain unbeaten and have scored five. Olympiakos’ missing El Kaabi reduces attacking depth, favoring a narrow, controlled home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Olympiakos Piraeus win
2–1
48%
Olympiakos unbeaten with clean sheet at home; Sparta scoring freely but leaky defense missing Andersen, Cobbaut suggests open, home-leaning contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Olympiakos Piraeus win
2–0
58%
Olympiakos boast strong home form and defensive solidity in Europe. Facing a heavily rotated and injury-hit Sparta Praha squad at Karaiskakis Stadium favors a clean home victory.
04
Grok 4.7
Olympiakos Piraeus win
1–0
52%
Olympiakos are 2-0 in the UEL at Karaiskakis but miss El Kaabi and other attackers, so a narrow home win over a depleted Sparta side is the best guess.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Olympiakos Piraeus win
2–1
52%
Olympiakos have won both Europa League games and host a Sparta side missing several defenders; Sparta still scored in every match, so a narrow home win fits.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Olympiakos Piraeus win
1–0
55%
Olympiakos perfect UEL record with a clean sheet at Karaiskakis; missing El Kaabi and Fortounis limits attack, but Sparta's heavily depleted squad struggles to break them down.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Olympiakos Piraeus win
1–0
62%
Olympiakos strong home form in EL, 2W, 3-1 goals, clean sheet. Sparta solid but missing key defenders. Home edge likely narrow.
08
Kimi K3
Olympiakos Piraeus win
2–1
58%
Olympiakos perfect in Europe (2W, 3-1) at fortress Karaiskakis despite missing El Kaabi and Fortounis; Sparta score freely (5 goals) but have no clean sheets and extensive injuries, suggesting an open game with home edge.
09
GLM 5.3
Olympiakos Piraeus win
2–1
52%
Olympiakos are 2W in the UEL at Karaiskakis, but El Kaabi and Fortounis absences blunt their attack; Sparta score consistently yet miss key defenders, so both find the net with the hosts edging it.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Olympiakos Piraeus win
2–1
52%
Olympiakos unbeaten in Europe and strong at Karaiskakis, but El Kaabi's absence blunts attack; Sparta scores freely yet keeps no clean sheets, so a narrow home win fits.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    5 models
  • 1–0
    4 models
  • 2–0
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Olympiakos Piraeus
Armando González 78'
1–0
Sparta Praha
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.44 / 4.50 / 7.00
Olympiakos Piraeus Market 66% · AI 100%
Draw Market 21% · AI 0%
Sparta Praha Market 13% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha

Olympiakos Piraeus

4-2-3-1
Imanol Alguacil
11 R. Yaremchuk
11 Yaremchuk
20 Jota Silva
20 Silva
22 Chiquinho
22 Chiquinho
10 Gelson Martins
10 Martins
32 S. Hezze
32 Hezze
19 R. Freuler
19 Freuler
70 S. Onyemaechi
70 Onyemaechi
5 L. Pirola
5 Pirola
45 P. Retsos
45 Retsos
2 M. Saliakas
2 Saliakas
1 S. Ortega
1 Ortega

Bench: David Carmo, I. Georgakopoulos, A. González, M. Pedersen, G. Puerta, Gustavo Sá, Z. Smajlović, N. Tiknizyan, P. Toufakis, D. Stournaras, C. Filis

Sparta Praha

4-3-3
Brian Priske
7 J. Alcócer
7 Alcócer
29 M. Vojta
29 Vojta
31 M. Jurásek
31 Jurásek
5 Santiago Eneme
5 Eneme
28 R. Macek
28 Macek
38 H. Sochurek
38 Sochurek
2 M. Suchomel
2 Suchomel
30 J. Zelený
30 Zelený
6 T. Guddal
6 Guddal
25 K. Hoever
25 Hoever
44 J. Surovčík
44 Surovčík

Bench: A. Irving, P. Kadeřábek, S. Mannsverk, J. Martinec, L. Mbe Soh, E. Singhateh, V. Vitályos, P. Vydra, K. Hegyi, J. Braut Brunes, L. Franc

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Olympiakos Piraeus

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-0-0
Goals
4-1
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
0
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Sparta Praha

4-3-3
W-D-L
1-1-1
Goals
5-3
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Olympiakos Piraeus

  • A. González 2 G · 0 A · 3 apps

Key players · Sparta Praha

  • T. Guddal 2 G · 0 A · 5 apps

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 Yeremy Pino Crystal Palace 3
  4. 4 Sergio Gómez Real Sociedad 3
  5. 5 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
Venue Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Referee Espen Eskas
New at Olympiakos Piraeus L. Bailey (Aston Villa), G. Puerta (Racing Santander), M. Pedersen (Torino)
New at Sparta Praha K. Hoever (Wolves), L. Mbe Soh (St. Truiden), M. Jurásek (Norwich)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Olympiakos Piraeus

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.60 vs 0.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Olympiakos Piraeus win · AI Olympiakos Piraeus win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Olympiakos Piraeus
#5 · 9 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
W W W W W
13 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Kifisia 2-3 W
  • Marko 0-2 W
  • Kalamata 5-0 W
  • Sparta Praha 1-0 W
  • Panetolikos 0-2 W
Team news
L. Bailey — Injury Clayton — Off the roster A. El Kaabi — Broken Leg K. Fortounis — Muscle Injury M. Mouandilmadji — Off the roster B. Popovic — Off the roster J. Roca — Off the roster L. Scipioni — Off the roster Y. Yazici — Knee Injury
Sparta Praha
#16 · 4 PTS · GD +2
Last 5
L W L D D
6 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Baník Ostrava 0-2 L
  • Slovácko 5-1 W
  • Olympiakos Piraeus 1-0 L
  • Baník Ostrava 0-0 D
  • Lillestrom 1-1 D
Team news
M. Andersen — Knee Injury E. Cobbaut — Groin Injury J. Grimaldo — Inactive A. Karabec — Ankle Injury J. Mercado — Calf Injury O. Penxa — Knee Injury M. Rynes — Ankle Injury A. Sevinsky — Injury E. Uchenna — Groin Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

OLY 1 · D 0 · SPA 0

OLY VS SPA
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 22, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Olympiakos Piraeus, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Olympiakos Piraeus
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Sparta Praha
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Olympiakos Piraeus is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Olympiakos Piraeus win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Olympiakos Piraeus win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.