EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4 Stadion Miejski, Poznan Match Finished · 90'

Lech Poznan
vs
Sunderland.

Quick answer

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?

Final score: Lech Poznan 1–1 Sunderland. Before kickoff, 4 of 10 AI models pick Lech Poznan to win (40%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Lech Poznan form Sunderland form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Lech Poznan (4 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 48% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Lech Poznan and Sunderland stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Lech Poznan win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 40%

4 / 10 models

Sunderland win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
31%
Lech’s home advantage and 15 goals in six Europa League matches meet Sunderland’s perfect 2-0 start and stronger defensive record. With both confirmed XIs missing several options, a tight 1-1 is the most balanced estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Lech Poznan win
2–1
42%
Lech strong at home in Europa League with goals both ends; Sunderland unbeaten but tighter, lower-scoring style suggests close contest with slight home edge.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
51%
Sunderland field a strong midfield anchored by Xhaka, but Lech Poznan are formidable at home. With key absences on both sides, a tight and balanced stalemate is the most probable outcome.
04
Grok 4.7
Lech Poznan win
1–0
46%
Lech at home with stronger UEL output (15 goals); Sunderland’s two wins were low-scoring (3-1) and they travel with several absentees. Tight, one-goal home edge.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Lech Poznan win
2–1
51%
Lech's home edge and stronger UEL scoring record offset Sunderland's perfect start; expect an open game with Lech edging it.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
38%
Sunderland's elite defensive record (1 goal conceded in 2 UEL games) meets Lech's strong home scoring; quality gap balanced by venue, suggesting a tight stalemate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Lech home form mixed; Sunderland unbeaten in UEL but thin squad. Close, low-scoring draw likely.
08
Kimi K3
Sunderland win
1–2
55%
Sunderland's perfect away form and defensive solidity (1 goal conceded) edge Lech's home advantage, with the Polish side missing key attackers Gholizadeh and Sayyadmanesh.
09
GLM 5.3
Sunderland win
1–2
52%
Sunderland are unbeaten in Europe (2W, 3-1) with a deeper Premier League squad despite injuries; Lech's patchy WWDLL home form suggests a narrow away win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Lech Poznan win
2–1
52%
Lech's home form in Europe (3W, 15 goals) and Sunderland's depleted attack (Isidor, Mundle, Talbi out) favour a narrow home win; Ishak's presence up top is the edge.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 1–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 1–1
    4 models
  • 2–1
    3 models
  • 1–2
    2 models
  • 1–0
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Lech Poznan
Leo Bengtsson 70'
1–1
Sunderland
Timur Tutierov 2'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 4.50 / 3.90 / 1.70
Lech Poznan Market 21% · AI 40%
Draw Market 24% · AI 40%
Sunderland Market 55% · AI 20%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Lech Poznan vs Sunderland

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
N. Frederiksen
9 M. Ishak
9 Ishak
11 D. Håkans
11 Håkans
21 Pablo Rodríguez
21 Rodríguez
10 P. Wålemark
10 Wålemark
22 R. Murawski
22 Murawski
43 A. Kozubal
43 Kozubal
15 M. Gurgul
15 Gurgul
59 T. Yegbe
59 Yegbe
72 M. Skrzypczak
72 Skrzypczak
2 Joel Pereira
2 Pereira
1 M. Lis
1 Lis

Bench: Y. Agnero, Piotr Bartczak, L. Bengtsson, G. Berggren, F. Jagiełło, H. Janyszka, Wiktor Obremski, L. Palma, M. Pruchniewski, W. Szymczak

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
R. Le Bris
57 Timur Tuterov
57 Tuterov
10 N. Angulo
10 Angulo
19 H. Diarra
19 Diarra
39 M. Fofana
39 Fofana
29 Jules Ahoka
29 Ahoka
34 G. Xhaka
34 Xhaka
6 D. Methalie
6 Methalie
13 L. O'Nien
13 O'Nien
4 K. Danso
4 Danso
20 N. Mukiele
20 Mukiele
22 R. Roefs
22 Roefs

Bench: T. Hume, J. Whittaker, T. Ogunsuyi, N. Sadiki, C. Rigg, T. Proctor, S. Moore, Reinildo, E. Le Fée, O. Alderete, Jenson Jones, F. Scott

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-2-2
Goals
16-11
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-1-0
Goals
4-2
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 Yeremy Pino Crystal Palace 3
  4. 4 Sergio Gómez Real Sociedad 3
  5. 5 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
Venue Stadion Miejski, Poznan
Referee Balazs Berke
New at Lech Poznan G. Berggren (New York Red Bulls), K. Delikat (Lech Poznań II), Wiktor Obremski (Lech Poznan)
New at Sunderland M. Fofana (Lyon), K. Danso (Tottenham), J. Angulo (Independiente del Valle)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Lech Poznan

40% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 48% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.30 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Lech Poznan win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Lech Poznan
#32 · 1 PTS · GD -8
Last 5
W L W D W
12 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Wisla Krakow 3-1 W
  • Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-0 L
  • Legia Warszawa 1-2 W
  • Sunderland 1-1 D
  • Korona Kielce 6-1 W
Team news
A. Douglas — Ankle Injury A. Gholizadeh — Knee Injury R. Gumny — Inactive W. Monka — Injury J. Moutinho — Inactive A. Sayyadmanesh — Groin Injury T. Yegbe — Inactive
Sunderland
#9 · 7 PTS · GD +2
Last 5
L W D D L
5 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Coventry 3-1 L
  • Brentford 3-2 W
  • Leeds 0-0 D
  • Lech Poznan 1-1 D
  • Bournemouth 2-0 L
Team news
J. Angulo — Off the roster D. Ballard — Muscle Injury A. Browne — Off the roster M. Ellborg — Off the roster W. Isidor — Injury T. Meunier — Muscle Injury R. Mundle — Knee Injury J. Ta Bi — Off the roster C. Talbi — Off the roster B. Brobbey — Inactive
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

LEC 0 · D 1 · SUN 0

LEC VS SUN
1-1
DRAW
Oct 22, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with Lech Poznan, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 40% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Lech Poznan
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~40%
implied lean
Sunderland
~20%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.40 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Lech Poznan is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.40 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Lech Poznan win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Lech Poznan vs Sunderland in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Lech Poznan win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 40% / 20% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.