EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4 Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom Match Finished · 90'

Lillestrom
vs
Real Sociedad.

Quick answer

Who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

Final score: Lillestrom 0–6 Real Sociedad. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Real Sociedad to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Lillestrom form Real Sociedad form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (806 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Real Sociedad (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 53% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

UEFA Europa League table Where Lillestrom and Real Sociedad stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Lillestrom win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Real Sociedad win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Real Sociedad win
0–1
61%
Real Sociedad’s stronger individual quality and experienced confirmed XI should outweigh Lillestrom’s Åråsen advantage. Lillestrom have scored only four times in four Europa League matches, while Sociedad have avoided failing to score despite mixed results.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Real Sociedad win
1–2
55%
Sociedad's quality (Oyarzabal, Kubo, Sučić) should tell despite poor European form; Lillestrom concede goals but score late, suggesting a tight contest.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Real Sociedad win
0–2
62%
Real Sociedad field a superior starting lineup featuring Oyarzabal, Kubo, and Soler, giving them the technical edge to control tempo and secure a clean-sheet victory in Norway.
04
Grok 4.7
Real Sociedad win
0–1
46%
Sociedad have far higher quality despite thin UEL form and missing full-backs. Lillestrom are compact at Åråsen but leak and score late; a narrow away win fits.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Real Sociedad win
0–2
58%
Real Sociedad's superior squad depth and Lillestrom's 100% of goals after 75th minute suggest a controlled away win. Lillestrom failed to score once already and face a stronger opponent.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Real Sociedad win
1–2
42%
Sociedad's superior quality (Oyarzabal, Kubo, Guedes) should edge it, but Lillestrom's home resilience and late-goal tendency keep it close. Sociedad yet to keep a UEL clean sheet.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Real Sociedad win
0–1
62%
Real Sociedad's stronger squad and better attacking depth likely to edge a tight away game at Lillestrom's modest home.
08
Kimi K3
Real Sociedad win
1–2
58%
Real Sociedad's superior technical quality and Lillestrom's key defensive absences favor the visitors, though Åråsen's home atmosphere and Sociedad's winless European run suggest a narrow, hard-fought victory.
09
GLM 5.3
Real Sociedad win
1–2
50%
Real Sociedad's squad depth (Oyarzabal, Kubo, Guedes) outweighs Lillestrom's home edge; Sociedad score in every game but concede, so a narrow 1-2 fits both sides' profiles.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Real Sociedad win
0–1
40%
Real Sociedad's stronger squad and Lillestrom's blunt attack (4 goals in 4, one blank) point to a tight away win at Åråsen; La Real's own shaky form and missing fullbacks keep confidence modest.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 0–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 0–1
    4 models
  • 1–2
    4 models
  • 0–2
    2 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Lillestrom
0–6
Real Sociedad
Sergio Gómez 25', 27'
Luka Sučić 33', 72'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson 64'
Arsen Zakharyan 80'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 6.50 / 5.25 / 1.40
Lillestrom Market 15% · AI 0%
Draw Market 18% · AI 0%
Real Sociedad Market 67% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad

Lillestrom

4-3-3
H. Ødegaard
20 Vá
20 Vá
10 T. Lehne Olsen
10 Olsen
22 D. Bassi
22 Bassi
14 G. Nyheim
14 Nyheim
21 F. Ottosson
21 Ottosson
29 Y. Ibrahimaj
29 Ibrahimaj
26 Y. Paintsil
26 Paintsil
28 R. Gabrielsen
28 Gabrielsen
5 S. Foss
5 Foss
3 S. Ottesen
3 Ottesen
12 P. Dahlberg
12 Dahlberg

Bench: L. Alperud, F. Elkær, F. Gulbrandsen, S. Hagerup, E. Kitolano, S. Kristiansen, K. Krygård, H. Melland, G. Nordh, L. Ranger, S. Akanji

Real Sociedad

4-4-2
P. Matarazzo
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
10 Oyarzabal
24 L. Sučić
24 Sučić
11 Gonçalo Guedes
11 Guedes
18 Carlos Soler
18 Soler
4 Jon Gorrotxategi
4 Gorrotxategi
14 T. Kubo
14 Kubo
17 Sergio Gómez
17 Gómez
6 Jon Martín
6 Martín
19 M. Sarr
19 Sarr
5 Zubeldia
5 Zubeldia
13 Unai Marrero
13 Marrero

Bench: A. Zakharyan, Beñat Turrientes, Álex Remiro, Jon Pacheco, O. Óskarsson, J. Ochieng, Aihen Muñoz, Pablo Marín, Alex Garcia, A. Lebarbier, Barrenetxea, Héctor Fort

Season data

UEFA Europa League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Lillestrom

4-3-3
W-D-L
1-2-2
Goals
4-10
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Real Sociedad

4-4-2
W-D-L
1-1-1
Goals
8-3
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Lillestrom

  • T. Lehne Olsen 2 G · 0 A · 4 apps

Key players · Real Sociedad

  • Sergio Gómez 3 G · 0 A · 3 apps
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 0 G · 3 A · 3 apps

Top scorers · UEFA Europa League

  1. 1 L. Diony Omonia Nicosia 4
  2. 2 A. Cissè AC Milan 3
  3. 3 Yeremy Pino Crystal Palace 3
  4. 4 Sergio Gómez Real Sociedad 3
  5. 5 K. Zachariassen Ferencvarosi TC 3
Venue Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom
Referee Mohammad Al-Emara
New at Lillestrom F. Ottosson (IFK Goteborg), D. Bassi (Bodo/Glimt), H. Melland (Aalesund)
New at Real Sociedad Héctor Fort (Barcelona), M. Sarr (Chelsea), K. Kita (Kyoto)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Real Sociedad

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 53% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.40 vs 1.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Real Sociedad win · AI Real Sociedad win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Lillestrom
#31 · 1 PTS · GD -7
Last 5
W W L W D
8 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sogndal 2-1 W
  • Brann 3-2 W
  • Real Sociedad 0-6 L
  • Sandefjord 0-2 W
  • Sparta Praha 1-1 D
Team news
E. B. Garnas — Knee Injury C. Jebara — Injury L. Alperud — Inactive L. Ranger — Inactive
Real Sociedad
#14 · 4 PTS · GD +5
Last 5
W W W D W
17 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Levante 2-1 W
  • Lillestrom 0-6 W
  • Malaga 2-5 W
  • Union St. Gilloise 1-1 D
  • Deportivo La Coruna 3-2 W
Team news
J. Aramburu — Leg Injury L. Beitia — Ankle Injury Y. Herrera — Calf Injury A. Odriozola — Knee Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

LIL 0 · D 0 · REA 1

LIL VS REA
0-6
AWAY WIN
Oct 22, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Lillestrom, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight UEFA Europa League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Lillestrom
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Real Sociedad
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Lillestrom is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Real Sociedad win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad in UEFA Europa League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Real Sociedad win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.