FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba Halftime · 45'

Coritiba
vs
Vitoria.

Quick answer

Who will win Coritiba vs Vitoria?

Live: Coritiba 0–0 Vitoria after 45'. Before kickoff, 3 of 10 AI models pick Coritiba to win (30%).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Coritiba form Vitoria form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Coritiba and Vitoria stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Coritiba win 30%

3 / 10 models

Draw 70%

7 / 10 models

Vitoria win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
27%
Both sides have similar season records and negative goal differences. Coritiba's home advantage offsets Vitoria's slightly steadier recent run, while their defensive records and frequent failures to score support a tight 1-1 draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Coritiba win
1–0
37%
Both sides mid-table and inconsistent; Coritiba's home edge and Vitoria's poor recent form (LWLDD) slightly favor a narrow home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Both sides are closely matched in points and struggling for form. Coritiba's home edge is offset by Vitoria's solid defense, pointing to a tight 1-1 stalemate.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
38%
Similar mid-table records and frequent blanks; Coritiba’s DLLDL form offsets Couto Pereira, Vitoria’s extra clean sheets point to a tight 1-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
48%
Coritiba's poor form (DLLDL) and 10 failed-score games clash with Vitoria's inconsistent away record; both sides leak goals but lack sharp finishing, making a low-scoring draw most likely.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
32%
Both teams in poor form with negative goal differences; Coritiba's home edge offset by DLLDL run, Vitoria's 11 clean sheets suggest a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Coritiba win
1–0
52%
Vitoria lists ten absentees including defenders and Marinho at Couto Pereira. Both sides are low-scoring and out of form, so narrow home win fits best.
08
Kimi K3
Coritiba win
1–0
48%
Coritiba's home edge at Couto Pereira offsets Vitoria's 4-1 H2H win; both sides are low-scoring and out of form, so a tight 1-0 home result.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
52%
Two evenly matched struggling sides: Coritiba winless in five (DLLDL) at home, Vitoria only slightly better; Vitoria's 11 clean sheets and low late-goal share suggest a tight, low-scoring draw.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
34%
Both sides sit mid-table with poor recent form (Coritiba DLLDL, Vitoria LWLDD) and similar goal output; Couto Pereira home edge is modest, and Vitoria's 11 clean sheets suggest a tight, low-scoring draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 1–0
    3 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.20 / 3.30 / 3.30
Coritiba Market 43% · AI 27%
Draw Market 28% · AI 73%
Vitoria Market 29% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 11 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Coritiba vs Vitoria

Coritiba

4-2-3-1
32 Pedro Rocha
32 Rocha
77 Breno Lopes
77 Lopes
10 Josué
10 Josué
5 Nicolas Fonseca
5 Fonseca
19 Sebastián Gómez
19 Gómez
21 Thiago Santos
21 Santos
26 Bruno Melo
26 Melo
55 Jacy Maranhão
55 Maranhão
23 Tiago Cóser
23 Cóser
2 Tinga
2 Tinga
1 Pedro Morisco
1 Morisco

Bench: Pedro Rangel, Maicon, Rodrigo Gelado, Fabricio Bustos, Rodrigo Moledo, Joaquín Lavega, Vitor Gonçalves Tissi, Vini Paulista, Brian Ocampo, Richard, Paulo Roberto, Rodrigo Rodrigues

Vitoria

4-1-4-1
91 Renê Sousa
91 Sousa
12 Diego Tarzia
12 Tarzia
6 Emmanuel Martínez
6 Martínez
88 Zé Vitor
88 Vitor
33 Erick
33 Erick
95 Caique Gonçalves
95 Gonçalves
59 Gean de Jesus Soares
59 Soares
2 Emanuel Brítez
2 Brítez
25 Cacá
25 Cacá
26 Edenilson
26 Edenilson
1 Lucas Arcanjo
1 Arcanjo

Bench: Yuri Sena, Wanderson Estrela Oliveira, Darlan, Rúben Ramos Ismael, Ignacio Laquintana, Gabriel Baralhas, Lucas Silva, Tomás Pochettino, Matheuzinho, Fabrício Santos, Alex Bruno, Renato Kayzer

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Coritiba

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
10-9-13
Goals
38-50
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
11
Best win run
3
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Vitoria

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
10-8-14
Goals
35-46
Clean sheets
11
Failed to score
9
Best win run
1
Penalties
4/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Coritiba

  • Josué 1 G · 11 A · 29 apps
  • Pedro Rocha 8 G · 1 A · 31 apps
  • Breno Lopes 8 G · 1 A · 28 apps

Key players · Vitoria

  • Rene 10 G · 1 A · 24 apps
  • Erick 5 G · 6 A · 30 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 18
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 12
  5. 5 Samuel Lino Flamengo 11
Venue Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Referee Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro
New at Coritiba F. Bustos (River Plate), N. Fonseca (Club Leon), Richard (Internacional)
New at Vitoria I. Laquintana (RB Bragantino), Darlan (Leixões U23), Alex Bruno (ASA)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

70% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Coritiba win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Coritiba
#12 · 39 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
L L D L D
4 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Gremio 0-1 L
  • Atletico-MG 1-0 L
  • Botafogo 1-1 D
  • Fluminense 4-0 L
  • Atletico Paranaense 3-3 D
Team news
Lucas Ronier — Knee Injury Lucas Taverna — Inactive
Vitoria
#14 · 38 PTS · GD -11
Last 5
D D L W L
8 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Atletico Paranaense 1-1 D
  • Corinthians 1-1 D
  • Sao Paulo 2-1 L
  • Chapecoense-sc 4-0 W
  • Cruzeiro 1-3 L
Team news
Baralhas — Broken Leg Camutanga — Broken Leg Dudu — Back Injury Edu — Achilles Tendon Injury Fabiano — Knee Injury Luan Candido — Yellow Cards Marinho — Red Card Nathan Mendes — Knee Injury Ramon — Leg Injury Riccieli — Calf Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

COR 2 · D 2 · VIT 1

VIT VS COR
4-1
HOME WIN
May 2, 2026
VIT VS COR
0-0
DRAW
Sep 22, 2021
COR VS VIT
1-0
HOME WIN
Jun 23, 2021
VIT VS COR
1-2
AWAY WIN
Nov 30, 2019
COR VS VIT
1-1
DRAW
Aug 27, 2019

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 30% of models side with Coritiba, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 70% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Coritiba
~30%
implied lean
Draw
~70%
implied lean
Vitoria
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Coritiba is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Coritiba win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Coritiba vs Vitoria in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Coritiba win, with vote shares roughly 30% / 70% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Coritiba vs Vitoria, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.