Results
NBA results Friday 23 October 2026: AI predictions review
NBA results Friday 23 October 2026: the AI consensus went 4 of 7, missing on Thunder-Nuggets, Pacers-Mavericks and Magic-Timberwolves. Full model review.
Seven NBA games went to the models on Friday 23 October 2026, and the ten-model consensus came away with a 4 of 7 record. Every one of those seven calls was unanimous: all ten models landed on the same winner in every match. That made for a clean read on the day, and an unusually exposed one. When the panel agrees completely, there is nowhere to hide.
The biggest surprise came in Oklahoma City, where the Thunder beat the Denver Nuggets 96-84. All ten models had picked Denver, most commonly at 116-117, with average confidence of 60 percent. The actual scoreline was 12 points the other way and 20 points below the projected total.
The consensus went 4 of 7 on a night when all ten models agreed on every game.
Where the AI got it right
The panel's most confident call of the day held up in Boston, where the Celtics beat the New York Knicks 107-103. Ten of ten models backed Boston at 70 percent average confidence, with 118-104 the most common score. The margin was tighter than projected and the total lower, but the winner was correct. Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks prediction
Charlotte was the day's most emphatic result. The Atlanta Hawks won 128-121 away from home, and the models had it at 70 percent average confidence on a unanimous call, with 120-121 the most common score. The Hawks cleared the projected total comfortably; the 47-point margin was far beyond anything the panel forecast. Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks prediction
In Milwaukee, the Chicago Bulls won 132-125 after all ten models backed them at 62 percent average confidence, with 118-119 the most common score. The winner was right and the game ran well past the projected total, but the direction was never in doubt. Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls prediction
Washington was the panel's second-most confident pick, at 66 percent average confidence on a unanimous Toronto call, with 118-119 the most common score. The Raptors delivered 112-102. The margin was wider than forecast and the total lower, but the result matched the consensus. Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors prediction
Where it got it wrong
Oklahoma City was the headline miss. All ten models picked Denver at 60 percent average confidence, with 116-117 the most common score. The Thunder won 96-84. The panel read the winner backwards and overshot the scoring by a wide margin in a game that finished 20 points under the projected total.
Indiana was the day's least confident call at 59 percent average confidence, and it did not survive. All ten models backed the Pacers, most commonly at 121-115. The Dallas Mavericks won 121-105, matching the projected total closely while reversing the winner.
Orlando was the third miss. Ten of ten models picked the Magic at 62 percent average confidence, with 118-112 the most common score. The Minnesota Timberwolves won 115-93, a 22-point margin that the consensus had not anticipated in either direction.
Models of the day
There is no separation at the top of the table. GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, Mistral Medium 3.5, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.6 Pro, Grok 4.6, Gemini 3.8 Flash, Kimi K3 and GLM 5.3 each finished 4 of 7 correct. With every model picking the same winner in all seven games, the panel moved as a single unit, and no model distinguished itself either way. There was no best model on the day and no worst.
Full results
- NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder 96-84 Denver Nuggets — consensus Denver Nuggets win (100%) WRONG
- NBA: Milwaukee Bucks 125-132 Chicago Bulls — consensus Chicago Bulls win (100%) RIGHT
- NBA: Boston Celtics 107-103 New York Knicks — consensus Boston Celtics win (100%) RIGHT
- NBA: Charlotte Hornets 81-128 Atlanta Hawks — consensus Atlanta Hawks win (100%) RIGHT
- NBA: Indiana Pacers 105-121 Dallas Mavericks — consensus Indiana Pacers win (100%) WRONG
- NBA: Orlando Magic 93-115 Minnesota Timberwolves — consensus Orlando Magic win (100%) WRONG
- NBA: Washington Wizards 102-112 Toronto Raptors — consensus Toronto Raptors win (100%) RIGHT
The next slate is already through all ten models. Today's predictions, with consensus picks, most common scores and confidence levels for every game, are live on the NBA predictions for today page.
Next up: today's nba predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
