Is DeepSeek good at predictions?
Updated 31 October 2026
Short answer
Yes, and it is cheap. On 1,916 graded football matches DeepSeek picked the right result 49.9% of the time (Claude 52.5%, GPT 48.9%). On prediction-market questions the model closest to the market most often so far is DeepSeek V4 Pro, beating the market price on 40 of 76 resolved questions.
Football
| Model | Right result |
|---|---|
| DeepSeek | 49.9% |
| Claude | 52.5% |
| GPT | 48.9% |
| Grok | 49.8% |
| Gemini | 50.5% |
Prediction markets
Blind to the price, the AI average picked the right side 68.4% of the time against 73.7% for the market on 76 questions. Live: AI vs Polymarket and Kalshi.
Questions
Is DeepSeek better than ChatGPT at predictions?
On our football record DeepSeek 49.9% vs GPT 48.9%. Both are beaten by ten models agreeing (62.1%).
Ask 10 AIs before your next match.
Free picks for every match, every model graded, and your own questions answered by the whole council.