Results
Hockey results Wednesday 14 October 2026: AI predictions review
AI hockey predictions review for Wednesday 14 October 2026: consensus called only 4 of 9 NHL games correctly. Full results, model tallies and biggest…
Wednesday 14 October 2026 produced a bruising night for the consensus. Across nine NHL fixtures, the ten-model panel called just 4 of 9 correctly, a 44% hit rate that underlines how unpredictable a full slate can be. The headline number flatters nobody: three unanimous picks went down, and the panel's most confident calls were among the most badly punished.
The biggest surprise arrived in Chicago, where the Blackhawks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3 despite all ten models backing Pittsburgh. That was not a marginal miss but a complete reversal of the pre-match read, and it set the tone for a night of upsets.
A night of upsets left the consensus at 4 of 9 correct.
Where the AI got it right
Winnipeg Jets vs Minnesota Wild prediction was one of the cleaner calls of the evening. The Jets won 5-2, with 90% of the ten models backing Winnipeg and an average confidence of 57%. The most common scoreline forecast was 4-3, so the panel got the winner right and the margin slightly wrong, but the direction was sound.
Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction also landed. Utah edged Toronto 5-4, and 80% of models had picked the Mammoth, with an average confidence of 57% and a most common score of 4-3. A one-goal game was always likely, and the panel read it correctly.
Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers prediction went the way of the majority. Edmonton won 4-1 on the road, with 80% of models backing the Oilers at an average confidence of 57%. The most common score was 3-4, so the panel underestimated Edmonton's margin, but the pick itself was never in doubt.
Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens prediction was a unanimous success. All ten models backed Washington, with an average confidence of 58% and a most common score of 4-3. The Capitals delivered 5-4, a one-goal margin that matched the general expectation even if the exact scoreline differed.
Where the AI got it wrong
Chicago Blackhawks vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction was the night's most glaring miss. Every one of the ten models picked Pittsburgh, with an average confidence of 61% and a most common score of 4-5. Chicago won 5-3, meaning the consensus was not merely wrong on the winner but wrong on the game state entirely.
Anaheim Ducks vs Calgary Flames prediction was another unanimous failure. All ten models backed Anaheim at 58% average confidence, with a most common score of 4-3. Calgary won 4-2, handing the panel a second 100% miss of the night.
Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche prediction split the room, with only 50% of models picking Dallas at an average confidence of 57% and a most common score of 3-2. Colorado won 3-2, so the margin was right but the winner was not. It was a coin-flip call that landed on the wrong side.
Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction was similarly divided. Half the models backed Nashville at 56% average confidence, with a most common score of 3-2. Vegas won 5-2, a result that made the split forecast look optimistic about the Predators' chances.
San Jose Sharks vs Boston Bruins prediction was the third 50-50 call to go astray. Half the panel picked San Jose at 57% average confidence, with a most common score of 3-2. Boston won 6-3, turning a tight projected game into a comfortable road victory.
Models of the day
Five models shared top billing with 6 of 9 correct: GPT-5.6 Luna, Mistral Medium 3.5, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Gemini 3.8 Flash and Kimi K3. Each navigated a difficult slate better than the consensus, which managed only 4 of 9. GLM 5.3 finished just behind on 5 of 9.
At the other end, Qwen 3.8 Max was the weakest performer with 3 of 9 correct. Claude Sonnet 5, DeepSeek V4 Pro and Grok 4.6 each finished on 4 of 9, matching the overall consensus record. The spread from best to worst was three correct calls, a reminder that even frontier models diverge sharply on a night of upsets.
Full results
- NHL: Chicago Blackhawks 5-3 Pittsburgh Penguins — consensus Pittsburgh Penguins win (100%) WRONG
- NHL: Winnipeg Jets 5-2 Minnesota Wild — consensus Winnipeg Jets win (90%) RIGHT
- NHL: Dallas Stars 2-3 Colorado Avalanche — consensus Dallas Stars win (50%) WRONG
- NHL: Nashville Predators 2-5 Vegas Golden Knights — consensus Nashville Predators win (50%) WRONG
- NHL: Utah Mammoth 5-4 Toronto Maple Leafs — consensus Utah Mammoth win (80%) RIGHT
- NHL: Anaheim Ducks 2-4 Calgary Flames — consensus Anaheim Ducks win (100%) WRONG
- NHL: Los Angeles Kings 1-4 Edmonton Oilers — consensus Edmonton Oilers win (80%) RIGHT
- NHL: San Jose Sharks 3-6 Boston Bruins — consensus San Jose Sharks win (50%) WRONG
- NHL: Washington Capitals 5-4 Montreal Canadiens — consensus Washington Capitals win (100%) RIGHT
Today's predictions are live on the TuringStats hockey predictions page, with fresh consensus calls and model-by-model picks for the next slate.
Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
