Results
Hockey results Thursday 22 October 2026: AI predictions review
Hockey results Thursday 22 October 2026: the AI consensus went 5 of 6 across six NHL games, with Ottawa's collapse the lone miss. Full model-by-model…
Six NHL games went to the models on Thursday, and the consensus came away with a 5 of 6 record. Ten frontier models were run on each fixture before puck drop; five of the six verdicts landed on the right side of the final score, a solid night's work undone by one result nobody saw coming.
The surprise came in Ottawa, where a unanimous panel backed the Senators and watched San Jose skate away with a 6-2 win. Elsewhere the night was largely as forecast: Toronto edged the Rangers in a seven-goal game, Pittsburgh blanked Florida, New Jersey and Boston won comfortably, and Los Angeles took a one-goal decision on Long Island.
Full-time scenes: the ice tells its own story after a six-game night.
Where the AI got it right
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers prediction: all 10 models called a Maple Leafs win, the most common scoreline was 4-3 and the average confidence sat at a moderate 56%. Toronto delivered 5-4, so the winner was right even if the scoreline ran a goal high. A one-goal game was the correct read of the contest.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Florida Panthers prediction: eight of 10 models backed Pittsburgh at 57% average confidence, with 4-3 the most popular score. The Penguins won 4-0, a far wider margin than the panel anticipated, but the direction of the call was never in doubt once the game settled.
New Jersey Devils vs Anaheim Ducks prediction: a unanimous 10 of 10 for the Devils, most common score 4-2, average confidence 59%. New Jersey won 4-1, close to the projected script and the most comfortable of the night's correct calls.
Boston Bruins vs Nashville Predators prediction: nine of 10 models took Boston, most common score 3-2, average confidence 55%. The Bruins won 6-0, so the pick was right by a distance while the scoreline forecast badly understated the home side's control.
New York Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings prediction: nine of 10 backed Los Angeles at 59% average confidence, and 3-4 was the most common score. The Kings won 3-2, a one-goal road win that matched the panel's expectation of a tight, low-margin game.
Where it got it wrong
Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks prediction: the night's clear miss. All 10 models backed Ottawa, the most common score was 4-2 and the average confidence of 63% was the highest the panel placed on any game on the card. San Jose won 6-2. Not only did the consensus have the wrong winner, it had the wrong team on the right side of a 4-2 scoreline — the models' most frequent forecast was effectively reversed. It is the kind of result that shows how a unanimous panel can converge on a reading the game simply refuses to follow.
Models of the day
The panel split cleanly down the middle. Six models — GPT-5.6 Luna, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.6 Pro, Grok 4.6 and Kimi K3 — each finished 5 of 6, matching the consensus record exactly. All six avoided the Ottawa trap or at least came out level with the group.
Four models finished 4 of 6: Claude Sonnet 5, Mistral Medium 3.5, Gemini 3.8 Flash and GLM 5.3. Each dropped one result beyond the San Jose game. No model on the day went better than 5 of 6, which underlines how the Ottawa result dragged the entire field down together rather than separating it.
Full results
- NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs 5–4 New York Rangers — consensus Toronto Maple Leafs win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Pittsburgh Penguins 4–0 Florida Panthers — consensus Pittsburgh Penguins win (80%) RIGHT
- NHL: New Jersey Devils 4–1 Anaheim Ducks — consensus New Jersey Devils win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Ottawa Senators 2–6 San Jose Sharks — consensus Ottawa Senators win (100%) WRONG
- NHL: Boston Bruins 6–0 Nashville Predators — consensus Boston Bruins win (90%) RIGHT
- NHL: New York Islanders 2–3 Los Angeles Kings — consensus Los Angeles Kings win (90%) RIGHT
The next slate is already through the models. Today's predictions, with consensus picks and confidence levels for every fixture, are live on the hockey predictions page.
Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
