Results
Hockey results Thursday 15 October 2026: AI predictions review
AI hockey predictions review: models went 5 of 7 on Thursday 15 October 2026, with Colorado's 90% consensus upset the biggest surprise of the night.
Thursday's seven-game NHL slate produced a solid but imperfect night for the model ensemble, which finished 5 of 7 correct. The consensus was right on five games and wrong on two, with the most jarring miss coming in Denver, where 90% of the ten models backed Colorado to beat Dallas and the Avalanche instead lost 3-2.
The other defeat for the consensus came in Toronto, where 70% of models favoured the Maple Leafs and Buffalo won 5-2. On the positive side, the models nailed three unanimous calls and a pair of strong majorities, including a New Jersey rout that no scoreline in the dossier came close to capturing.
Thursday's seven-game slate finished 5 of 7 for the model ensemble, with Colorado the standout upset.
Where the AI got it right
Ottawa Senators vs New York Islanders prediction — A clean unanimous pick. All ten models backed Ottawa, and the Senators delivered a 2-1 win. The most common scoreline forecast was 3-2, so the models had the right winner but a slightly higher goal count than the game produced. Average confidence sat at 57%.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken prediction — Another 100% consensus, another correct call. Tampa Bay's 4-3 win landed one goal clear of the most common predicted score of 4-2, but the direction was never in doubt. Average confidence was 58%, the highest of the night's unanimous selections.
New Jersey Devils vs New York Rangers prediction — The models saw a Devils win at 90% and a 4-3 scoreline as the most likely outcome. New Jersey instead won 7-1, a result that made the pick look conservative. The winner was right; the margin was nowhere near any single forecast.
Florida Panthers vs Vancouver Canucks prediction — An 80% majority for Florida was rewarded with a 3-2 Panthers win. The most common scoreline was 4-3, so the game finished a goal tighter than the central forecast, but the consensus read the matchup correctly.
Detroit Red Wings vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction — The third unanimous call of the night, with all ten models on Detroit. The Red Wings won 2-1, a lower-scoring game than the 4-3 most common prediction, but the result matched the consensus. Average confidence: 57%.
Where it got it wrong
Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars prediction — The headline miss. Ninety percent of the ten models picked Colorado, with 3-2 the most common scoreline and average confidence at 57%. Dallas won 3-2 instead, flipping the exact score the models had settled on. This was the night's biggest surprise by margin of consensus.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres prediction — Seventy percent of models backed Toronto, with 4-3 the most common score. Buffalo won 5-2, a three-goal swing that left the consensus well short. Average confidence was 57%, meaning the models were not especially bullish even before the result went against them.
Models of the day
Kimi K3 was the standout, going a perfect 7 of 7 and the only model to avoid both upsets. Grok 4.6 was next best at 6 of 7, missing just one result.
A large middle group finished 5 of 7: GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.5 Pro, Gemini 3.8 Flash and GLM 5.3. At the bottom, Mistral Medium 3.5 and DeepSeek V4 Pro each went 4 of 7, the weakest tallies on the day.
Full results
- NHL: Colorado Avalanche 2–3 Dallas Stars — consensus Colorado Avalanche win (90%) WRONG
- NHL: Ottawa Senators 2–1 New York Islanders — consensus Ottawa Senators win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs 4–5 Buffalo Sabres — consensus Toronto Maple Leafs win (70%) WRONG
- NHL: Tampa Bay Lightning 4–3 Seattle Kraken — consensus Tampa Bay Lightning win (100%) RIGHT
- NHL: New Jersey Devils 7–1 New York Rangers — consensus New Jersey Devils win (90%) RIGHT
- NHL: Florida Panthers 3–2 Vancouver Canucks — consensus Florida Panthers win (80%) RIGHT
- NHL: Detroit Red Wings 2–1 Philadelphia Flyers — consensus Detroit Red Wings win (100%) RIGHT
Friday's slate is already loaded into the system, with fresh consensus numbers, scoreline forecasts and confidence ratings for every game. The full board is available on the today's hockey predictions page.
Next up: today's hockey predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
