Football results Tuesday 15 September 2026: AI predictions review

Tuesday 15 September 2026 delivered a full slate of football across four continents, and the 10-model consensus finished with 18 correct calls from 36 matches. The headline record reflects a day of high confidence but mixed returns, with several heavy favourites delivering while others stumbled.

The biggest surprise came in the AFC Champions League Elite, where Al-Nassr were backed by 50% of models but fell 4-0 to Al Ain. That result alone accounted for one of the day's most confident misses, as the consensus average confidence sat at 54%.

A night of mixed fortunes across 36 matches on Tuesday 15 September 2026.

Where the AI got it right

Gamba Osaka justified unanimous support with a 4-1 win over Công An Nhân Dân. All 10 models picked Gamba, with a most common score of 2-0 and average confidence of 61%, and the Japanese side delivered comfortably.

Kashima also rewarded 100% backing, thrashing Newcastle Jets 7-1. The consensus expected a 2-0 win at 58% average confidence, and while the margin exceeded expectations, the pick was never in doubt.

SHANGHAI SIPG edged a 10-goal thriller at Ratchaburi, winning 6-4. All models correctly favoured the Chinese side, with a most common score of 1-2 and 57% confidence, and Shanghai's attacking display validated that call.

Liverpool and Arsenal both advanced in the League Cup with unanimous support. Liverpool beat Tottenham 3-1, matching a 2-1 consensus at 56% confidence, while Arsenal won 4-2 at Ipswich, exceeding the expected 0-2 scoreline at 60% confidence.

In La Liga, Real Madrid's 3-2 win at Elche was the day's most confident correct call. All 10 models backed Real at 68% average confidence, with a most common score of 0-2, and despite a late scare, the Spanish giants held on.

Where it got it wrong

The most striking miss came in the UAE, where Al Ain dismantled Al-Nassr 4-0. Half the models had backed Al-Nassr to win, with a most common score of 1-2 at 54% confidence, but the Saudi side were overwhelmed.

In the Championship, Bristol City were unanimous picks to beat Lincoln, yet lost 0-1. The consensus expected a 1-0 home win at 56% confidence, making this a costly upset. Middlesbrough were also fully backed to see off Millwall but were held 2-2, with the expected 1-0 scoreline at 53% confidence not materialising.

Scottish Premiership leaders Hibernian were unanimous to beat Kilmarnock but fell 0-1, while Falkirk's 2-1 win over Heart of Midlothian defied 90% support for the visitors. Motherwell's 0-4 thrashing by Aberdeen also went against an 80% draw consensus.

In Poland, Raków Częstochowa were unanimous to beat Zaglebie Lubin but lost 2-3, and Korona Kielce's 0-2 defeat to Gornik Zabrze contradicted a 60% draw lean. The Egyptian Premier League also produced upsets: Wadi Degla's 0-2 loss to El Mokawloon defied an 80% draw consensus, and AL Masry's 0-2 home defeat to Al Ittihad went against 80% support for the hosts.

Models of the day

Claude Sonnet 5 led the field with 20 correct from 36, followed by DeepSeek V4 Pro on 19. Grok 4.6 and Gemini 3.8 Flash each managed 18, matching the overall consensus. At the other end, GPT-5.6 Luna and Kimi K3 struggled with 16 correct, while Cohere Command R+ (08-2024) and Llama 3.1 70B Instruct only made 3 and 1 predictions respectively.

Full results

• AFC Champions League Elite: Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Kyoto Sanga — consensus Daejeon Citizen win (60%) RIGHT
• AFC Champions League Elite: Gamba Osaka 4–1 Công An Nhân Dân — consensus Gamba Osaka win (100%) RIGHT
• AFC Champions League Elite: Kashima 7–1 Newcastle Jets — consensus Kashima win (100%) RIGHT
• AFC Champions League Elite: Ratchaburi 4–6 SHANGHAI SIPG — consensus SHANGHAI SIPG win (100%) RIGHT
• AFC Champions League Elite: Beijing Guoan 3–1 Pohang Steelers — consensus Beijing Guoan win (60%) RIGHT
• AFC Champions League Elite: Johor Darul Takzim FC 1–1 Buriram United — consensus Johor Darul Takzim FC win (100%) WRONG
• AFC Champions League Elite: Al Ain 4–0 Al-Nassr — consensus Al-Nassr win (50%) WRONG
• AFC Champions League Elite: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2–1 Al-Gharafa — consensus Al-Hilal Saudi FC win (100%) RIGHT
• Championship: Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln — consensus Bristol City win (100%) WRONG
• Championship: Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall — consensus Middlesbrough win (100%) WRONG
• CONMEBOL Libertadores: Platense 2–1 Fluminense — consensus Fluminense win (60%) WRONG
• CONMEBOL Sudamericana: Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Santa Fe — consensus Vasco DA Gama win (100%) RIGHT
• Coppa Italia: Genoa 1–0 Sudtirol — consensus Genoa win (100%) RIGHT
• Coppa Italia: Fiorentina 3–0 Pisa — consensus Fiorentina win (100%) RIGHT
• Ekstraklasa: Raków Częstochowa 2–3 Zaglebie Lubin — consensus Raków Częstochowa win (100%) WRONG
• Ekstraklasa: Korona Kielce 0–2 Gornik Zabrze — consensus draw (60%) WRONG
• Eredivisie: Ajax 5–1 Willem II — consensus Ajax win (100%) RIGHT
• FA Cup: Jersey Bulls 1–3 Burgess Hill Town — consensus Jersey Bulls win (60%) WRONG
• La Liga: Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol — consensus draw (58%) WRONG
• La Liga: Alaves 0–1 Valencia — consensus draw (50%) WRONG
• La Liga: Elche 2–3 Real Madrid — consensus Real Madrid win (100%) RIGHT
• League Cup: Peterborough 3–3 Barnsley — consensus Peterborough win (60%) WRONG
• League Cup: West Ham 2–3 Fulham — consensus West Ham win (70%) WRONG
• League Cup: Reading 1–2 Brentford — consensus Brentford win (90%) RIGHT
• League Cup: Liverpool 3–1 Tottenham — consensus Liverpool win (100%) RIGHT
• League Cup: Ipswich 2–4 Arsenal — consensus Arsenal win (100%) RIGHT
• Liga MX: Leon 2–0 Atletico San Luis — consensus Leon win (80%) RIGHT
• Liga Profesional Argentina: Instituto Cordoba 2–1 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto — consensus Instituto Cordoba win (80%) RIGHT
• Premier League: Wadi Degla 0–2 El Mokawloon — consensus draw (80%) WRONG
• Premier League: Asyut Petrol 0–2 Future FC — consensus Future FC win (60%) RIGHT
• Premier League: Al Ahly 2–0 Abu Qair Semad — consensus Al Ahly win (100%) RIGHT
• Premier League: AL Masry 0–2 Al Ittihad — consensus AL Masry win (80%) WRONG
• Premiership: Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen — consensus draw (80%) WRONG
• Premiership: Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock — consensus Hibernian win (100%) WRONG
• Premiership: Falkirk 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian — consensus Heart Of Midlothian win (90%) WRONG
• Super League: Grasshoppers 2–5 FC Sion — consensus draw (80%) WRONG

For today's predictions and to see how the models fare on the next slate, visit the TuringStats today page.

Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.